RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

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  1. Insider

    I've been thinking....

    With the imminent demise of Newshub, there is going to be up to 200 very talented people with "media skills" come on the market, between now and June. Entain/TAB, NZTR and the Harness people should be putting the feelers out now, for anyone who might have an interest in our Industry. My guess is that many of them would have an immense amount to offer, if you simply took a line through what Guy Hevelt brought to the Karaka Sales/Karaka race-night presentation. Wouldn't it be wonderful to have Samantha Hayes fronting Trackside. Don't laugh, maybe not Sam, but there are surely dozens of quality people waiting in the wings with nowhere to go. Liz
    14 points
  2. Thanks John - despite a busy day you still managed to get some updates done and round it all up at the end of the day. Very much appreciated by all
    14 points
  3. scooby3051

    TAB website

    I think it is you who needs to look in the mirror...and you wonder why so many people give it to you...well deserved in my opinion...
    12 points
  4. There has been a lot of talk around Entain injecting money to increase stakes, but the Avondale Cup is a case in point around the current state of NZ Racing. The level of input from Entain thus far, in my opinion, is merely 'lipstick on a pig'. Maybe they are taking a cautious approach in the initial stages and hopefully there are more changes to come? Backtracking in time, Spin Around won the 2007 $200,000 Avondale Cup and in 2009 added the $1,000,000 Auckland Cup to his list of acheivements. Now, fast forward more than 15 years, and the Entain 'stakes boost' sees the 2024 Avondale Cup being contested for $175,000 this Saturday and the 2024 Auckland Cup next month at $400,000. In comparison, the 2009 Melbourne Cup was $5.5m and has since increased to $8.0m in 2023. In the 17 years since 2007, the CPI has increased 52%, so all the associated 'operating costs' of your 'investment in the dream' have risen considerably. In 2007-08, there were 177 Stallions registered, 6757 mares served and the NZ Yearling Sales aggregrate was $113.4m. Fast forward again and in 2023 there were 99 Stallions registered, 4313 mares served and a NZ Yearling Sales aggregrate of $82m. Given the current stakes on offer and the associated cost increases over the years, should we be surprised that there is less and less of an appetite to breed racing stock??? Add into the mix that a lot 'breeders and racers' are 'Boomers to GenX' who grew up with on-track live racing, living and breathing the true experience, how confident could we be about the long term future?? Will the younger generations be enticed enough through their mostly electronic experience to take up the reins and breed, race and administrate the future of racing? Let's hope there are some star administrators emerging from the next generations as the current state of affairs appears to be the result of years of gross mismanagement.
    11 points
  5. rdytdy

    MOLLY BLOOM

    Interesting comments Gruff. Molly Bloom has won four of her eight starts and of those four wins I have had her on top in three of them including her as a special bet of the weekend when she won the 1000 Guineas at Riccarton. In her other win on Saturday I had her second selection. Here are the write ups for those four wins. R6 16 MOLLY BLOOM $2.00FF (15/9/2023 Taupo) She has had one start back in April at Avondale when she finished powerfully for a very close third behind two very nice horses. She was given a nice quiet trial at Avondale where she finished fourth and she is going to be very hard to beat in this. For multiples R7 9 MOLLY BLOOM $4.00FF (18/11/2023 Riccarton) She is a filly with plenty of ability and who has been unlucky in three of her four career starts including her last two particularly in the G2 Soliloquy Stakes at Pukekohe last start. Today she steps up over 1600m on a big track and if she can get clear air at the top of the straight and go through her gears she can boom home over them. R8 1 MOLLY BLOOM $1.90FF 26/12/23 Pukekohe) I have her on top as she won the 1000 Guineas with a top run for us at Riccarton last month which had been preceded by a very unlucky fourth in the Soliloquy Stakes here in October. Not sure that she should be at $1.90 but she is a nice filly who has the NZ Oaks as her target at Trentham in March. Look for her to be hitting the line strongly. R4 4 SUDBINA $5.00FF (10/2/24 Te Rapa This filly has won her last two starts over 1400m and 1600m. The latter win was a good effort at Trentham in the Desert Gold Stakes after coming from last. She steps up to 2000m for this as do a number of other fillies but I feel she will get the distance and I do like the fact she has the ace draw. If she can jump and possie up in the trail and then get clear air at the top of the straight she could then prove hard to run down. For multiples: 1 - Molly Bloom - The 1000 Guineas winner Ellerslie was always going to present problems for her last time when she finished fourth. Here over 2000m she will get every chance. I was prepared to put Sudbina on top on Saturday over Molly as Molly’s run at Ellerslie wasn’t the best and created some doubt hence I put her in for second. I believe that the evidence above clearly shows I have rated Molly Bloom pretty well and reiterate four wins with three first selection and a second selection. FYI I did not have her first selection when she was beaten two starts ago at Ellerslie. R6 12 ORCHESTRAL $3.50FF (27/1/24 Ellerslie) She is a smart filly coming in off the back of an impressive win over 1600m at Pukekohe last start and has the ace draw for this with James Mac to ride. I can see her three back on the fence in the running and if James can give her clear air early in the straight then she can let down with her turn of foot and prove hard to beat. Her work this week has been super and she is cherry ripe for this. For multiples: 10 - Molly Bloom - She has won three of her last four and is a top class filly. She will get back and look to run home over them. Whether the post comes up too soon for her on the track is the question mark. By the way I claim no expertise. My selections are but one person's opinion and I am at least prepared to offer them pre-race not afterwards.
    11 points
  6. It’s the introduction to racing for most people. They don’t know that they aren’t great fields. Actually it probably suits them being small, as it will obviously be easier for them to back a winner and get a real thrill. Isn’t it sad that the people in charge have closed down Gisborne, Wairoa and Waipukurau just to name three. All three provided exactly what Wairarapa did today. Liz
    11 points
  7. eljay

    Luk Chin

    Here is the JCA trial https://racingintegrityboard.org.nz/decisions/auckland-tc-16-february-2024-r5-luk-chin/ This is so pathetic on the judiciary you really cant comprehend why a charge was even laid. At worst, Luk should have been called aside and spoken to. Whether a group or just an ordinary race doesn't really come into it, in my opinion.
    10 points
  8. funniest post ever a restricted class horse beaten in a listed race @ $1.30 and the worlds coming to an end.............. and as was advised on the CMR stable mail Craig will likely take luck out of the occasion......... you blokes are dead set kidding yourselves if you think anything other than what the stewards reported,
    9 points
  9. Sad news for the Marsh family with the passing of Bruces wife Kay, mother to Stephen and also his sister Rachel, thoughts and prayers with the Marsh family at this sad time...may Kay forever rest in peace.
    9 points
  10. Just Looking

    Hope Kates OK

    Kate is ok and has been discharged from hospital battered and bruised but is ok
    9 points
  11. scooby3051

    Hastings Abandoned

    Same waffle as last time but 100% for sure it won't be the last and nothing will change...except the excuses...same shyte different day.
    8 points
  12. Been busy today and not able to see any races or results. So came onto the site to see what happened today and scrolled thru SNM's results race by race and it was looking like a disastrous day for me... until I got to near the end and saw the comments posted like WOW Pondy etc etc. So excitely scolled down until I saw the result of the race. Never in doubt... ha ha.!!
    8 points
  13. I reckon every week both teams in any challenge should be starting at even money, less the TAB's percentage obviously because that's how close this comp is. The overall scoreboard may not look like that right now, but it doesn't even take a couple of weeks, just a couple of races sometimes, to turn everything upside down. We've seen some huge collects over the weeks, and if it happens to be a BB as well, anything is possible. I always feel one week I'll score a zero for the day, and after the first few races this afternoon I thought today was today. It took several races to get any return whatsoever. And then we went from 3-2 up after R11 to a 5-1 victory without even picking a winner in R12, it was that close. Place-getters were enough, even that late in the day. Mind you, that's nothing compared to Pondy's R12 collect Fantastic comp. Thanks Scooby, and SNM for keeping us up to date and building the tension!!!
    8 points
  14. Well one thing you want when a mare is close to foaling is for the mare to be relaxed and comfortable , hauling her in for a scan every day isn't going to do that . The foal isn't going to be in the breech position sitting in the womb , only close to foaling would the foal end up in the breech position so a daily scan wouldn't pick it up . Been a long time since I was doing this stuff and the memory isn't what it was , but I think it happens when the foal starts moving into the birthing channel , but backwards . The first the people helping the birth would know is when someone checks the positioning of the foal , what they want find is the front hoofs and legs with head positioned forward , not the hind legs . I have seen foals that were just too big for the mare to foal , usually doesn't end well . In one instance I witnessed a foal that died inside the mare because it was huge and the vet had to cut the foal up to remove so as to save the mare , not pretty . Even in this world full of technology women still die during child birth , not as many as used to but the odd woman still does , go figure .
    8 points
  15. It’s not a flop Hi Ho, I had a conversation with a few this morning here in Cambridge, no soundness issues from their perspective, I didn’t see Chad to ask about his horse. It seems one stable may have had some issues by the word on the street, but if your injecting youngsters joints at this age, you are asking for problems as I see it, the pressure on two and three year olds without letting them mature naturally is always going to give you quite a high casualty rate, so let’s not blame the track for that.
    8 points
  16. To help it bed in I guess?
    8 points
  17. pogo(aus)

    Orchestral (nz)

    i told Zelda i would buy her a thesaurus for her birthday but she said "ím two old for Dinosaur toys, n0? "" Orchestral (nz)
    7 points
  18. Nah you would be asking for trouble these people are indoctrinated with treaty mania , NOT AS BAD as TV1 but still likely to bring turn off habits with them , that's one of the main reasons many don't watch the news today and advertising revenue has plummeted for both of them, same reason . TV1 get away with it because they are publicly funded , the racing industry might suffer the same remote control fate as TV3 if they were to employ some of these people .
    7 points
  19. 2019 Melbourne Cup on VOW AND DECLARE near the ride of the century by Willow after drawing wide and working forward . And Winning for Australia. And Craig has been to Ukraine 3 times to try and help with humanitarian aide to the war -torn country. (his wifes home country) Be hard to find a better more honest bloke at the racecourse. with Jimmiestar he Gets beat very late on , on one horse who was up in grade and the world is ending for some poor punter somewhere (Willow rode 2 winners on the day as it was ) . best the Punter goes to Crimea Ukraine and see's what the end of the World is really like.
    7 points
  20. The draw and a better horse on the day beat Jimmy, plain and simple.
    7 points
  21. We're Doomed

    Very Poor

    Very poor attitude towards Invercargill on Trackside today I thought. Ellerslie running late all day, apart from the TAB cockup, and ran over the top of Invercargill every race. The worst one was the last at Ellerslie running 8 minutes late. Both fields were loaded and ready to jump at the same time so they took Ellerslie live and recorded Invercargill, despite the southern club running on time. Surely the late race should wait in the queue? And its not as if the Ellerslie race was more important, both the same class and virtually identical stakes. It was hardly as if the massive crowd at Ellerslie overwhelmed them on course.
    7 points
  22. Any judge with half a brain and phenomenal eyesight.... I spent significant money getting my eyesight corrected but even then couldn't make out Jimmy's breath Back to Specsavers for me...
    7 points
  23. matched at 479/1 on the fair and BSP @ 316/1 are they idoits n0? don't they read the form guide that one was for my old mate Von Cettescs Mr McGinty , go you good thing !
    7 points
  24. nomates

    TAB website

    I want to call you a dick but would that be sex appropriate , but if I call you the appropriate sex part I would be banned .
    7 points
  25. scooby3051

    TAB website

    And this shambles cost how much..50 million????? What a joke.
    7 points
  26. It's called progress
    7 points
  27. nomates

    Top 5 NZ track surfaces ?

    And if Ellerslie keeps playing up they can xfer next years Millions to Foxton . I'd be there .
    7 points
  28. You are not going to hear anything critical from the racing media, of the moves made at Ellerslie. Guerin et al act more like PR merchants than journos. I get that they are partly there to sell the product, but the lack of transparency around what is clearly a significant issue is alarming.
    7 points
  29. THE TORCH

    Ellerslie track issues

    How often has Manawatu racing had to rely on Foxton for trials and even trackwork opportunities? So many of our provincial tracks prop up the city in their catchment area. Looks like Foxton has copped a lot of use lately especially with Awapuni being out of use. Imagine that Foxton track with 5% of the funding that Ellerslie received to produce an absolute lemon.
    7 points
  30. Leggy

    Prowess Positive

    Really? Do you think that a horse that would otherwise be hurting might not perform better with pain relief?
    7 points
  31. scooby3051

    Prowess Positive

    And the risk of injury running a horse with but in its system...I seem to remember a catastrophic injury because of this same drug...the rules are meant for all to keep a level playing field no matter who it is they all should be treated the same.
    7 points
  32. I personally think they should have gone with some smaller trainers that don't get the recognition and credit they massively deserve. Yes all the trainers that they gave them to are good at what they do and there is a reason they are getting regular winners but without all of the smaller stables racing wouldn't be able to survive. Like I still think Chris Wood is a very good trainer - doesn't get the best bred horses but still gets some nice horses that are well turned out and are getting results for him a lot. The likes of Kelso, Danica Guy, Patterson, Didham, Thurlow and many others of examples of trainers that I'd much prefer my horse to go to.
    7 points
  33. Was at Tauherenikau today - great crowd sure good weather helped but everyone seemed to be having a great time with their picnics and gazebos. Good racing too even if the track firmed up with 32+ degrees and a slight wind. Great country racing atmosphere!
    7 points
  34. scooby3051

    Orchestral (nz)

    One word about this girl...Outstanding...she brained them...well done to all concerned.
    6 points
  35. I think all credit to John...as much as I hate it and don't understand the scoring..it is THE BEST comp on the internet that I know of..sorry PJ.
    6 points
  36. Insider

    Hastings Abandoned

    Two points: 1] When Scooby said: Great planning before a Group 1 2400m race...they really don't have a clue, I don't think that he was having a go at you. 2] Did you accidentally type your last sentence the wrong way around? In other words with the Caps lock on, because you started the sentence with a small i? Or maybe you have caught it from Pogo. n0?
    6 points
  37. Insider

    I've been thinking....

    Really? I cant believe what I have just read.
    6 points
  38. nomates

    I've been thinking....

    Take your crap elsewhere .
    6 points
  39. scooby3051

    Hastings Abandoned

    obviously too dry to start with too hard underneath...just another day with the same results...not good enough...you can have all the fancy cocktail parties you want but when the single most important thing...tracks... is stuffed, then what's the point of pouring never ending money in...it needs fixing NOW.
    6 points
  40. Pam Robson

    Hastings Abandoned

    Was a really good idea, scuttling Gisborne/Wairoa in favour of Hastings.
    6 points
  41. bloke

    Hastings Abandoned

    The Lowland is a Wairarapa race, it used to be run by the Masterton Racing Club.
    6 points
  42. Augusta

    Its a drought in Otaki

    It hasn't rained here in Otaki for 3 weeks. 1mm last night, Thats not rain. How much irrigation did they put on? Desert Lightning wanted to scratch cause too wet. Horses coming out to middle of track. Ridiculous. Rain wasn't forecast till Saturday night. If they couldn't get a good track today, they never will. How many million litres of water went on the track. Don't tell Wellington, just down the road. They are on water restrictions. We should be racing on Good 3 this time of year like Melbourne every week
    6 points
  43. Team Veandercross would be quite happy if team McGinty all picked a bunch of 100:1 shots this coming weekend. Lightning can’t strike twice nO?
    6 points
  44. Watch V E 's maiden win at Ruakaka as I weep and applaud her . She changed my life and so many other believers with her often arrogant heads up style. Erratic head carriage. She had 3 great trainers. In Australasia Nick B, D W and Waller. Many horse lovers are perplexed about the sad decisions her new ownership made. Bastards. Waller knew she had had enough and deserved a non European campaign. The Paddock with Snitzell. maybe. Her Northen Hemisphere performances were embarrassing. Lets remember her as one of our greatest NZ bred mares. Here is her Maiden win. https://loveracing.nz/RaceInfo/47234/3/Race-Detail.aspx
    6 points
  45. rdytdy

    Vale - Verry Elleegant

    Very sad indeed to hear of the loss of this great mare. I backed her at her very first start at Te Rapa in July 2018 in a 2yo race and had made her top selection for the BGP. She was at $30.00 & $6.00 and finished second and she then won her next two starts in NZ before crossing the ditch and having an illustrious career. 36 starts for 16 wins 11 at G1 level.
    6 points
  46. So so sad...RIP great mare.
    6 points
  47. 6 points
  48. JJ Flash

    Luk Chin

    JASINOVA - Driver L Chin admitted a charge under Rule 869(4) and the Home Straight Regulations in that he allowed his mare to shift into the passing lane in the final 100m. After hearing submissions on penalty the Adjudicative Committee suspended Dr Chin's Driver's licence from the conclusion of racing tonight up to and including 1 March 2024 (3 days). When questioned Dr Chin advised that a recent gear change of replacing an overcheck bit with a chinrest had been beneficial with the desired improvement in the mare's manners. But why did he plead guilty? Because he was under the rule he was charged. Stupid rule as you all say and saw. Never interfered with any other runner. To any outsider they would think why get involved. Shooting the game in the foot again. 3 days is literally nothing as well
    6 points
  49. It wouldn't have mattered and is all a storm in a tea cup. Maher should pull his head in. Makram was finishing too well and ran the fastest 1400m of the day on course.
    6 points