RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

Ohokaman

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Ohokaman last won the day on February 1

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About Ohokaman

  • Birthday September 10

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    Family have been involved in Racing (both Codes) for many years.
    Advertising and Marketing Agencies NZ and Australia.
    Have worked with Tourism Industry and Racing Clubs in NZ, Australia and South Pacific in senior roles including major restructuring and rebranding exercises.
    Consultant to Tourism Industry South Pacific Region.
    Director Victorian Fine Art



    " Let us be thankful for the fools, for without them the rest of us could not succeed..." Mark Twain

    "Far better it is to dare mighty things, than to take rank with those poor
    timid souls who know neither victory nor defeat.."
    Theodore Roosevelt 1899

    “Without ambition one starts nothing,
    Without work one finishes nothing,
    The prize will not be sent to you. You have to win it.
    The man who knows how will always have a job,
    The man who knows why will always be his boss...”
    Ralph Waldo Emerson

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  1. Rue de Royale it is then Pete….. Then again….. Here is a quick look at the historical and barrier facts since the race was first run in 1957. The most successful barrier with nine wins – barrier 1 – Shinzo (No. 7) The least successful barrier with no wins – barrier 13 – Arkansaw Kid (No. 3) Last year‘s winning barrier – (barrier 1 – Fireburn) – Shinzo (No. 7) The longest losing sequence for a previous winning barrier – (barrier 9 – Sweet Embrace in 1967) – Exploring (No. 13) The first horse drawn in the 2023 Golden Slipper barrier draw – Little Brose (No. 1) barrier 5 The last horse drawn in the 2023 Golden Slipper barrier draw – King’s Gambit (No. barrier 7 Barriers 11, 12, 14 and 16 have produced six of the last 10 Golden Slipper winners – barrier 11 – Platinum Jubilee (No. 11), barrier 12 – Blanc De Blanc (No. 12), barrier 14 – Facile (No. 16), barrier 16 – Red Resistance (No. 6)
  2. Apologies to Pegasus…saw his post after doing mine…..
  3. WILLIAM REID STAKES FINAL FIELD 1 – THE ASTROLOGIST – Leon & Troy Corstens – Declan Bates – 9 – 58.5kg 2 – THE INFERNO – Cliff Brown – Jake Noonan – 8 – 58.5kg 3 – QUEMAN – Shane & Cassie Oxlade – Harry Coffey – 4 – 58.5kg 4 – JOHNNY ROCKER – Nick Ryan – Rhys McLeod – 11 – 58.5kg 5 – IMPERATRIZ – Mark Walker – Opie Bosson – 10 – 56.5kg 6 – BELLA NIPOTINA – Ciaron Maher – John Allen – 3 – 56.5kg 7 – I AM ME – Ciaron Maher – Ben Melham – 2 – 56.5kg 8 – QUEEN OF THE BALL – Michael Freedman – 7 – 56.5kg 9 – HYPOTHETICAL – Anthony & Sam Freedman – Michael Dee – 6 – 56.5kg 10 – CYLINDER – James Cummings – TBD – 1 – 56kg 11 – KING'S GAMBIT – Peter & Paul Snowden – TBD – 5 – 56kg
  4. The barrier draw will be held at 11am. No – Horse – Trainer – Jockey – Barrier – Weight 1 – STORM BOY – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott – Ryan Moore – 2 – 56.5kg 2 – FULLY LIT – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott – Sam Clipperton – 1 – 56.5kg 3 – SHANGRI LA EXPRESS – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott – Regan Bayliss – 3 – 56.5kg 4 – RUE DE ROYALE – Tony & Calvin McEvoy – Chad Schofield – 14 – 56.5kg 5 – TRAFFIC WARDEN – James Cummings – Craig Williams – 6 – 56.5kg 6 – STRAIGHT CHARGE – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott – Tim Clark – 9 – 56.5kg 7 – SWITZERLAND – Chris Waller – James McDonald – 7 – 56.5kg 8 – BODYGUARD – Peter & Paul Snowden – Mark Zahra – 10 – 56.5kg 9 – DUBLIN DOWN – Tony & Calvin McEvoy – Hugh Bowman – 13 – 56.5kg 10 – COLEMAN – Matt Laurie – Kerrin McEvoy – 4 – 56.5kg 11 – HOLMES A COURT – Peter & Paul Snowden – Tom Marquand – 8 – 56.5kg 12 – PROST – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott – Adam Hyeronimus – 11 – 56.5kg 13 – HAYASUGI – Clinton McDonald – Jamie Kah – 16 – 54.5kg 14 – LADY OF CAMELOT – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott – Blake Shinn – 5 – 54.5kg 15 – MANAAL – Michael Freedman – Jason Collett – 17 – 54.5kg 16 – ENEEZA – Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman – Damian Lane – 15 – 54.5kg 17 EMG – ESPIONAGE – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott – Tommy Berry – 12 – 56.5kg **** POST-BARRIER DRAW BETTING (TAB.com.au) $2.10 – Storm Boy $4.50 – Switzerland $11 – Straight Charge, Lady Of Camelot $15 – Espionage $17 – Hayasugi $21 – Fully Lit, Shangri La Express $34 – Bodyguard, Coleman, Manaal $51 – Traffic Warden, Holmes A Court, Prost $71 – Dublin Down, Eneeza $201 – Rue De Royale
  5. Probably. The simple fact is Jenni ran to a rating Brightside never has, that’s why she won. The Australian Cup over further might be a different story. Ladbrokes Pre nom betting…. Australian Cup 2000m (Pre-Noms) March 30, 2024 Mr Brightside $3.30 $1.58 Pride Of Jenni $6.00 $2.25 Gold Trip $7.00 $2.50 Atishu $9.00 $3.00 Riff Rocket $9.00 $3.00 Legarto $9.00 $3.00 Cascadian $9.00 $3.00 Young Werther $13 $4.00 Campionessa $15 $4.50 Buckaroo $15 $4.50 Vow And Declare $15 $4.50 Ashrun $21 $6.00 Foxy Cleopatra $21 $6.00 Yonce $26 $7.25 Valiant King $26 $7.25 Victoria Road $26 $7.25 Unspoken $26 $7.25 Detonator Jack $26 $7.25 Pericles $26 $7.25 Apulia $26 $7.25 Sheraz $31 $8.50 Makram $31 $8.50 Carini $51 $14 Hoo Ya Mal $51 $14 Huetor $51 $14 Future History $51 $14 Mostly Cloudy $51 $14 Nonconformist $51 $14 Selino $51 $14
  6. Some interesting comments here….. Mr Brightside ran to 103.8 in finishing second to Pride Of Jenni, just below his 104.9 best from The Cox Plate last year and equal to the 103.8 he ran to win the 2023 All-Star Mile. There has been a lot of discussion about where he settled in the run, the connections pre-race desire for him to go forward in the early stages and whether that made a difference to the outcome of the race. My analysis says that Mr Brightside didn't win the race because he wasn't as fast as Pride Of Jenni over the 1600m trip, not because of the tactical choices made by Craig Williams. At their previous peak ratings, there was nothing between them. Pride Of Jenni went to a new level on Saturday (107.2) that Mr Brightside has never reached in his career. In a speed rating sense, Mr Brightside travelled faster than ever in his career to the 600m mark. He wasn't poorly "paced" by Craig Williams—quite the opposite. He was well positioned relative to such a brutal early speed, especially given his previous speed profile. Due to the frantic early speed, his sectional speed ratings (against standards) were progressively slowing from the 800m mark, as were all horses. Most importantly, his last 800m, 600m, 400m, and 200m weren't the fastest in the race. That belonged to Cascadian, who was 2-3L behind Mr Brightside at different points in the race. That tells me that Mr Brightside had the chance to run home faster if he could do it on the day. It wasn't physically impossible. Had he run home slightly faster than Cascadian over the final 800m and been the race fastest, he would have won the race in a photo. He couldn't run home as fast or faster than Cascadian because the impact of being 2-3L closer than that horse reduced his available energy. It makes no sense for anyone to claim that settling 3,4,5 lengths closer in the run and using even more energy in the early stages would have somehow seen him run the 1600m over 2L faster than he did to beat Pride Of Jenni. That's not to say if he settled closer, he would have produced a lower rating performance; he may have gone fractionally better; we don't know. However, it defies logic developed by analysing hundreds of thousands of past horse performances in the context of early speed, late speed and position in the running to suggest that if he settled closer to that brutal speed, he would have run two lengths faster overall. While Pride Of Jenni won their battle on Saturday, that's not to say Mr Brightside can't turn the tables in the future. By definition, the spike that Pride Of Jenni produced on Saturday is a level of performance that is likely not to be matched every run in her career. Mr Brightside is an incredibly consistent talent. He puts up a level that takes some beating every start. It just happened on this day that Pride Of Jenni beat his mark, by clearly exceeding her previous best. That doesn't mean she'll be able to do it next time. She has the talent edge on this peak rating now, but on their general level of form, they are very evenly matched.
  7. Well done Showgate, too good today. Day to forget for us, lowest total of the day…roll on next week…..
  8. 1. Trentham R5- 3,10 2. Trentham R6- 5,6 3. Trentham R7- 2,13 4. Trentham R8- 6,7 5. Caulfield R8- 8,12 6. Caulfield R9- 3,9 BB 7. Rosehill R3- 3,10 8. Rosehill R4- 6,7 9. Rosehill R6- 4,5 10. Rosehill R7- 5,11 11. Rosehill R8- 10,11 12. Rosehill R9- 11,13 BB Go well team…..
  9. If for #48 The races with scratchings are Trentham 6, Caulfield 9, Rosehill 3 and 4.
  10. 4 scratchings including a BB. Will post replacements if Phil doesn’t.
  11. Even Tyrone from Coro got in on the act…….
  12. Great to see Sir Alex, Harry and Sam celebrating…..football characters all…. https://www.bbc.com/sport/horse-racing/68536683
  13. Let’s hope we get more than a new logo and colour scheme…. Adding over $200m to the NZ betting market in 5 years will be a tall order if the current economic situation remains. Entain to inject a tripartite shot of new life into TAB NZ by Brian de Lore Published 14 March 2024 Owners, trainers and jockeys have already tasted the benefits this season of increased stakes money emanating from the partnering of TAB NZ with the global betting giant Entain, and by the end of April, punters will get their turn, and it should be a game changer. Come to think of it, a large proportion of owners and trainers (not jockeys, hopefully) will fall into the category of punters, so they will be doubly pleased when Entain announce their three-pronged attack on the TAB NZ betting experience at the end of April. Coming is a state-of-the-art app and betting platform and a refresh of the TAB NZ brand’s livery. Sydney-based Entain CFO and Deputy CEO Lachlan Fitt expressed his enthusiasm for the app at a recent Ellerslie race meeting. The app and new platform comes to TAB NZ after around $200 million of Entain IT development for its global operations. Punters in NZ are historically entitled to a degree of TAB NZ cynicism after a prolonged period of poor service, poor odds, and incompetents in charge —some of whom had never placed a bet in their lives. How did it ever come to that? But suddenly, we have gone from the invisible and uncontactable TAB people to an Entain trio of three passionate racing people – CEO Dean Shannon, Lachlan Fitt and NZ-based Managing Director Cameron Rodger. Rodger. Entain’s main players making the decisions for the future of NZ racing. From left, CEO Dean Shannon, CFO and Deputy CEO Lachlan Fitt, and NZ Managing Director Cameron Rodger The infusion of Entain money into stakes and these three’s presence, enthusiasm and availability has put a spring in the steps of Kiwi racing stakeholders. It’s a refreshing start. Cameron Rodger told me by phone last week: “We’re keeping the name and brand and everything that’s built up on it, but we’re giving it a new colour scheme and logo to give customers frustrated with the old platform – maybe the ones that have not been with us for a while – just to let them know this is a fresh start. And it’s very good—a high-quality customer offering,” continued Rodger. We think the user experience will be top of the market, and the other key part of it is that it’s very stable. We know just how frequently you’ve had outages and downtime with the current platform, and that will be a thing of the past. New technology will provide a new experience So, I asked, what else can punters expect from the new app and platform? “What you have now is the exact product you’ve had all along; we’ve done nothing to improve it. We have put all our time and effort into the new product to get it up as quickly as possible. It will have more generosity, more flexibility, same-game, same-race multi-products—things that have become commonplace with offshore bookmakers and which, in NZ, the technology has lagged. “It will be a huge, ‘brought up to speed,’ moment that will include simple things such as navigating quickly between races. It will be one or two clicks for what currently might take four or five. And that makes a world of difference for someone trying to quickly get on pre-race or pre-match. “Betting on sports has been a big pain point for customers. It’s painfully slow, taking too long to accept, which has led people to think the bookmakers are being conservative, but it’s actually just the platform which was wired that way and can’t be changed.” Thanks, Mr Allen, Ms Hughes and company, for spending $50 million on a dud platform and committing the TAB to pay $17 million annually for the updates for ten years. But that commitment happened only five-and-a-half years ago, so has Entain negotiated its way out of the contract? I asked Cameron Rodger if we had settled the Openbet and Paddy Power baggage. Openbet and Paddy Power red-carded “Yes, we have completely moved off that platform, and there’s no residual Openbet or Paddy Power reliance. As part of the deal we struck, it was our cost to bear, which we factored into our equations. That was all sorted and squared away after we signed up. “It was a big cost, but we couldn’t stand still on that platform.” What a relief to hear that the potential to be weighed down by the ball and chain NZRB Allen/Hughes debt had been rectified and kicked for touch. But in my chat with Cameron Rodger, the ‘music to my ears’ part came when he said: “I think the big one I can give you that hopefully will be interesting and exciting for people to hear is that we are huge believers in freeware and broadening the television coverage to a wider audience.” Free-to-air televised racing? Free to air Trackside – wow, that would be a game-changer on its own. According to the constitution, marketing racing is supposedly the domain of NZTR but is rarely actuated. By default, it’s now the territory of Entain, whose presence has generated newsworthy coverage on mainstream TV and radio. At the Karaka Sales, Dean Shannon told me that Entain knew they had to make a ‘big splash’ to kick start racing here in NZ—it needed to be jolted into life to move forward. On the same question, Cameron Rodger recognised the need to revive the racing marketing and encourage new people to engage. We have had droll accountants making the decisions, closing down radio, newspaper content, and TAB retail outlets, reducing broadcasting costs, and annoying the customer base. How does any industry thrive on a downsizing mentality? Entain has shown it is diametrically opposed to that thinking. And since its arrival, it has injected $30 million more into NZ racing than its commitment to the contract. Other positives have happened in NZ racing in the past year: the revival of Ellerslie; NZ Bloodstock embracing the arrival of Entain and joining in with sponsorship, and NZTR initiating ‘The Kiwi’ slot race, which, according to several sources, is a collaboration between all three parties. Entain dragging the industry up with it Simply put, Entain is dragging the rest of the industry along with its dynamism. Meanwhile, the TAB NZ board can only be sitting on its hands, doing practically nothing, and wondering if it should be embarrassed by continuing to draw directors’ fees. The board is now relatively powerless and has failed to produce a half-year and full-year report for the year ending July 31, 2023. Why haven’t they? The answer simply lies in an embarrassing rise in costs and a downturn in profits for the year in question. At the half-year mark last financial year, the TAB profit had fallen behind by $9.4 million on the previous year and heading for a record annual running cost in the vicinity of $130 million. My regular reviews of the TAB’s financial downturn caused the bosses to stop publishing the monthly figures. And now, no half-year or annual report. There is no transparency or accountability, which is the short history of NZ racing. The TAB board comprises Anna Stove (Chair), Wendie Harvey, Raewyn Lovett, and Bill Birnie. Kristy McDonald no longer appears on the website as a director, so she presumably has resigned. Dean Shannon told me I shouldn’t be concerned about the cost of running the TAB from now on because Entain now covers all its expenses, along with a guaranteed minimum payment of $150 million a year to run the codes and provide stakes. He also said Entain expected to lose money for two years but should be in the black by year three. 30 percent of NZ online betting placed with Bet365 He aims to claw back the 30 percent of all online betting in New Zealand that goes directly offshore to Bet365, a privately owned platform that gives nothing back for the use of NZ racing. Cameron Rodger said Entain would not be pushing the issue of geo-blocking but leaving it to the due process of government to decide. The codes will benefit by an additional $100 million from Entain if it’s passed into law. Things have improved since Entain’s arrival, but this partnership has a cautionary side regarding the long-term sustainability of racing. We are in the honeymoon phase but should remember that the deal has to work financially for both parties to survive beyond the annual $150 million guarantee, which ceases in 2028. The five years will come around quickly, after which the partnership will be conducted on a 50/50 gross profit basis. We need Entain to turn its massive NZ investment into an excellent annual long-term profit so we can run for prizemoney that will incentivise Kiwis to grow breeding and racing back to higher levels than we have now. So, what do we really know about Entain beyond the charismatic trio of Shannon, Fitt and Rodger? What we know about Entain We know it’s a highly geared $4 billion global betting empire that, in August 2020, changed its name from GVC Holdings to Entain and has since invested heavily in various betting jurisdictions worldwide, including our TAB NZ. We know that the company is registered in the tax-haven Isle of Man, where it runs worldwide gambling operations under the Ladbrokes, Neds, BetCity, Eurobet, Sportingbet, Crystalbet, Coral, PartyPoker, bwin and BetMGM brands. BetMGM is Entain’s joint venture with MGM Resorts. We know the company’s share price fell by 40 percent last year, which caused shareholder dissatisfaction and indifferent reviews. Since then, replacements have arrived for the CEO and several board members. We know that Entain expects the NZ betting market of approximately NZ$600 million to grow by 35 percent over the next five years. We know that in an Australian interview last week, Dean Shannon was asked if he thought a 17 to 20 percent betting downturn across the board was a sizeable shift. He answered, “Yes, it has been a sizeable shift, but it shouldn’t be that surprising. This is predominantly driven by macroeconomic factors such as higher interest rates and cost-of-living pressures.” We know, most importantly, that if it hadn’t done a deal with Entain, TAB NZ would now be either broke or less attractively partnered with one of two alternative offers – fact. What else is there to know beyond that last bit?
  14. There is one CMN, but not much use here……
  15. Below is the field for Saturday's All-Star Mile at Caulfield. No – Horse – Trainer – Jockey – Barrier – Weight 1 – MR BRIGHTSIDE (NZ) – Ben, Will & JD Hayes – Craig Williams – (11) – 59kg 2 – CASCADIAN (GB) – James Cummings – Ben Melham – (7) – 59kg 3 – ATTRACTABLE – Sara Ryan – Ms Linda Meech – (2) – 59kg 4 – MUNHAMEK (GB) – Nick Ryan – Mark Zahra – (10) – 59kg 5 – DOM TO SHOOT – Sean & Jake Casey – Damian Lane – (12) – 59kg 6 – BUFFALO RIVER (USA) – Michael Moroney – Ms Celine Gaudray (a) – (9) – 59kg 7 – PINSTRIPED – Enver Jusufovic – Ben Allen – (1) – 59kg 8 – DESERT LIGHTNING (NZ) – Peter & Dawn Williams – Vinnie Colgan – (8) – 59kg 9 – AYRTON (NZ) – Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) – Ms Jamie Kah – (5) – 59kg 10 – PUNTURA (NZ) – Robbie Patterson – Craig Grylls – (4) – 59kg 11 – HOLYMANZ (NZ) – Ciaron Maher – Blake Shinn – (3) – 59kg 12 – PRIDE OF JENNI – Ciaron Maher – Declan Bates – (6) – 57kg BETTING $1.85 MR BRIGHTSIDE, $3.40 Pride Of Jenni, $11 Cascadian, $15 Desert Lightning, Ayrton, $21 Attractable, $31 Holymanz, $34 Dom To Shoot, Pinstriped, $41 Munhamek, Buffalo River, $61 Puntura.