RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

chiknsmack

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Everything posted by chiknsmack

  1. I did manual entry of meetings years ago, and it was a time suck. GData can automate it if GRNZ ask them to. If I had a dog of my own I'd probably enter all of its races manually (or harass GRNZ until they reached out to GData).
  2. GRNZ. GData on their end are happy to figure out how to suck the results from the GRNZ website once they have permission, but no-one at GRNZ seems interested in promoting NZ dogs and racing so nothing happens.
  3. @Gruff @gubellini https://www.aucklandracing.co.nz/racing-information/sectional-times/ (I only know about this because I had a runner on Saturday and ATR emailed me the link after her race.)
  4. I’ll preface this by saying that I’m absolutely talking through my kick. And I’m not really one to bash jockeys, I never was a jockey, I couldn’t do better myself, and all that jazz. But I expected something completely different than I got. Race 3 at Invercargill: https://loveracing.nz/Common/SystemTemplates/Modal/Video.aspx?v=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.racingreplays.co.nz%2Fmedia%2F202311%2FM6_STHL_R03_221123.mp4&i=%2FCommon%2FImage.ashx%3Fw%3D720%26h%3D400%26a%3D1%26o%3D1%26bg%3Deeeeee%26p%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.racingreplays.co.nz%2Fmedia%2F202311%2FM6_STHL_R03_221123.jpg&r=Race 3 - MCCALLUMS GROUP MAIDEN&rs=1 Miss Pearl, second favourite. Drawn 14 on a turning track, but has been on the pace in all three starts this prep so the lack of horses drawn outside her only means she’ll have a clean jump from the gates and will be able to slide forward to sit handy again. She is also up in trip, meaning she’s been in faster-run races her past three starts and so is even more likely to have an early speed advantage and land on the pace. #7, in the purple silks. Jumps only average but quickly into stride and for the first four strides looks like she’s going to follow the 9 & 12 forward to eventually roll past them and land handy to the pace as expected. Then the jockey takes hold and drags her back to second-last, three wide, with the horse fighting to go faster at the 1200m. Under a heavy hold, gets one-off in second-last, with the horse still pulling and getting her head up just shy of the 1000m.. Still under a hold, pushed out three wide to the 800m. Pulls out four wide and looks to be trucking into it, until the jockey then takes a hard hold again just before the 600m and drags her back to last, three wide. The horse that was last (#1) has now come around her to start circling the field. At the 400m looks like she’s being pulled up. The #1 horse is now six wide, 2L in front of her, and winding up. At the 300m the jockey pulls hard left to drag her down to the fence. She’s now last, five back on the fence, with no momentum. (The #1 horse is wide and midfield but running on). At the 200m she’s midfield on the inside with nowhere to go, still under a hold (or if being generous, not being asked for an effort). The #1 is widest of all and peaking on its run a touch. She then jogs to the line, having to be restrained at the 50m to avoid getting onto heels, and is beaten only 4L while having not gotten out of second gear. The #1, who was longer in the market, peaked on his run late but still beat her 2L. ------------- Looking back to the first few strides of the race, a positive ride could’ve seen her run outside the #12 horse (which was eventually restrained to be wide in midfield) before sliding past it to be either three-wide no cover or one-out two-back at the 1000m. That would have taken no more energy out of the horse than she used fighting the jockey, would’ve seen her a lot closer to the pace, and would’ve left her free to make a run whenever she wanted (as opposed to never making a run, as she did). Am I wrong to expect a positive ride from a senior jockey on a second-favourite who maps to lead? Is fighting your horse all the way until pulling it back to last five-back on the fence at the 400m giving your horse every possible chance to win? Should I just stop betting on South Island racing and watch lack of punter confidence lead to the death of the industry south of Wellington? Again, I’m not knocking the jockey in general (I knew who was riding when I placed my bet, and in fact took confidence from the fact that the jockey is top 10 in the country this season on strikerate (from jockeys with at least 100 rides) and so is well above average in the SI riding ranks). But in my view a horse that should’ve won was ridden completely backwards and incredibly negatively, and didn’t win. And I’m a little salty about it.
  5. Agreed. I went looking for a market for next year's cup after watching a couple of replays, but the TAB only have a Caulfield Cup market up so far (with no Interpretation). Sportsbet offering 51 & 14 for Interpretation next year.
  6. Word is that the guy who had the $200 (actually $199.92) bet was already a multi, so a massive collect but not quite as good a story as old mate living in a garage. Well done though to the guy who owned a share in two placegetters. Plenty of people dream of having one runner in their life.
  7. He had a few rides at Moonee Valley last night. Has a few tomorrow at Mornington.
  8. No. Japanese and Irish stakes form are both among the strongest in the world. Japanese horses tend to go better on firmer ground than the Euros too.
  9. “The Lexus isn’t the goal, it’s the Cup obviously but he can have a good look at Flemington and get a feel for the crowd before Tuesday,” Sharrock said. “There was one wise old trainer who always raced them on the Saturday and then the Cup and that was Bart Cummings, so I don’t see any problem with it. “He can pull a little bit in his races, so a run on Saturday will just take that edge off him, it should work out well.” https://loveracing.nz/News/42933/PositivereportsflowingonKiwiMelbourneCuphope.aspx
  10. MissJools annoyed me quite a bit early on, but it's turning into a bit of a pile-on now. I've decided I'm going to just let her be; I think she's gotten the idea that those in glass houses shouldn't throw stones and she does contribute some handy info (sometimes she even posts it before someone else did three posts earlier).
  11. Hi all. Got a response from the RIB today. I won't be sharing it verbatim, but the reason Jasmine Fawcett was able to ride on October 21 (in the middle of a period during which she was suspended) is that she was booked to ride in the Sweynesse at Rotorua before her suspension started, it was postponed until the WTR meeting at Te Rapa on the 21st, and so she was allowed to ride at Te Rapa. "Rule 1106 (3) Each suspension of a Rider from riding in Races, which is imposed under these Rules by an Adjudicative Committee otherwise than during any day of a Race Meeting shall take effect as follows: (a) if, at the time the suspension is imposed, the Rider has no engagements to ride a horse in a Race during the next ten day period after that day, from the day the suspension is imposed; or (b) if, at the time the suspension is imposed, the Rider is engaged to ride a horse or horses in a Race(s) during the next ten day period after that day, then from the earlier of: (i) the completion of such engagements within that ten day period; or (ii) the completion of that ten day period provided that, if any race for which the Rider has an engagement within the ten day period is postponed for any reason, the Rider may fulfill that engagement on the day to which the engagement is postponed and may take engagements for any other races on that day. The dates of the suspension imposed by the Adjudicative Committee will not be affected, irrespective of whether the Rider fulfills a postponed engagement, or not. [Amended 3 October 2023]" This is a brand new amendment to the rules, so it's the first time it's come up.
  12. Is that the Kamara/St Leonards cross? If it's truly and properly unique, it's very interesting. (It's still interesting even if not unique.)
  13. I emailed the RIB midweek about this. Haven't heard anything yet.
  14. 1. Te Rapa R7 1 2. Te Rapa R8 5 3. Trentham R8 8 4. Caulfield R2 2 5. Caulfield R3 1 6. Caulfield R5 8 7. Caulfield R6 4 8. Caulfield R7 7 9. Caulfield R8 3 10. Caulfield R9 6 11. Randwick R8 5 12. Ascot (Perth) R8 4 Thanks.
  15. 1. Te Rapa R8 3,5 2. Caulfield R3 1,10 3. Caulfield R5 7,8 4. Caulfield R6 4 BB 5. Caulfield R7 5,7 6. Caulfield R8 3,11 BB 7. Caulfield R9 2,6 8. Randwick R6 1,9 9. Randwick R7 9 10. Randwick R8 5,14 11. Randwick R9 4,16 12. Randwick R10 2,13 Thanks.
  16. It was one of the banner ads that they scroll through at the top of the page. I think it was mentioned in one of the Everest TV ads, and it was mentioned a couple of times on Trackside on the day. A touch over 479m possible combos, so it's a huge effort (or a whole lot of luck) to nail it in one. Finding the first four or five seems relatively easy in hindsight (it was market order or close to it, excluding Overpass) and so does penning Mazu (50/1 and threw a plate in the week leading up to the race) and Alcohol Free (also 50/1 and not really a sprinter). "A New Zealand punter has won $10 million by accurately predicting the finishing order of 12 horses in The Everest through a TAB promotion. The punter, from Auckland, discovered the competition while betting on the Rugby World Cup and decided to give it a shot. Their selections, made without much thought, turned out to be spot on, with the New Zealand horse “I Wish I Win” finishing second. “I’m absolutely blown away,” said the winner. “I saw the promotion on the TAB site and thought I’d give it a crack. I didn’t put too much thought into my picks and just dropped the runners where I thought it could go. “I honestly could not believe I’d won it. I actually thought it was a hoax when they first rang me – I called the TAB back, and it took quite a lot of convincing before it sank in. “To have pulled it off, winning $10 million in a free-to-play competition, is truly incredible for my family and I.” The Everest had over 479 million possible finish results, making this one truly remarkable feat." (https://www.justhorseracing.com.au/news/australian-racing/nz-punter-wins-10000000-on-the-everest/790623)
  17. 1. Hastings R6 7,10 2. Hastings R8 4,11 3. Caulfield R3 4 BB 4. Caulfield R4 2,6 5. Caulfield R8 10 6. Caulfield R9 1,5 7. Randwick R4 3 8. Randwick R5 1,7 9. Randwick R6 2,15 10. Randwick R7 2,6 11. Randwick R8 1 BB 12. Randwick R9 2,3 Thanks.
  18. The first five dams of Poetic Champion are all chestnut, as are the second, third, and fourth damsires. The first damsire is out of a chestnut mare. On the sires side the colour is from Super Seth's second dam Toast of the Coast (chestnut), whose parents are Rory's Jester (chestnut) and Solo Show (bay, but half of her great grandparents were chestnut). From his yearling photo he looks to me like Rory's Jester more than anything, but at that age it's hard to tell.
  19. Six of the past seven local MC winners have run on Turnbull day (five in the Turnbull, one in the Bart Cummings). ------------------ Taupo 3. Cinnamon Girl 4. Fonsi 5. Academy Award 7. Suzuka 9. Massive Prince I also agree with Pete on Mahoe and Ballyane (though I also like Westwood vs the latter). Fields for Saturday come out later today. Hezashocka was 4-wide the trip and well beaten first up, and is going to the Might and Power; he's $26 but won't be starting that price on the day.
  20. 1. Flemington R2 2,8 2. Flemington R3 5,10 3. Flemington R4 2,4 4. Flemington R5 4,5 5. Flemington R6 3,6 6. Flemington R7 18 7. Flemington R8 1,3 8. Flemington R9 1,2 9. Rosehill R6 5,13 10. Rosehill R7 6 BB 11. Rosehill R8 1,13 12. Rosehill R9 3,5 BB Thanks.
  21. Eleven races. Two of them one short of max capacity, but four others with six emergencies. A great effort by all concerned to accommodate the obvious demand by owners and trainers to race at Phar Lap.
  22. It's a shame there's already another SI meeting on Sunday; you could take all the horses balloted out from Timaru on Friday and run a whole 'nother meeting. Tuesday's free if the powers that be move quickly enough. There's some extra money in the kitty from the Rotorua abandonment too so it's not a funding issue, and the Friday meeting is mostly low-grade races so you wouldn't be cannibalising Ashburton on the 14th too much.