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Steveo13
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Steveo13 started following STEVEO's VALUE RUNNERs 31/05/2024 , MARTON Best bet & Roughie's 21/06/2-24 , OAMARU - Best Bets & Roughie's 20/06/2024 and 6 others
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MARTON Best bet & Roughie's 21/06/2-24
Steveo13 posted a topic in Thoroughbred Competitions and Tips
Best Bet Afterallthistime (5) Form: Placed third last start, indicating good recent form. Track Conditions: No prior synthetic track form, but generally consistent performances suggest adaptability. Distance: Proven ability over a range of distances, including the current race distance. Current Form: Recent strong performance indicates readiness to compete well. Best Roughie Verardino (1) Form: Improved form shown with a recent third-place finish, indicating potential for further improvement. Track Conditions: No synthetic track experience, but has the potential to adapt based on general form. Distance: Competent at the current distance, which can be advantageous. Odds: Likely to be at longer odds, making him a good value bet with potential for a strong performance race 2 Best Bet Stanmore (2) Form: Improved recent form with a third and fourth place in the last two starts. Track Conditions: No prior synthetic track form, but consistent performance suggests adaptability. Distance: Proven ability over similar distances. Current Form: Recent strong performances indicate readiness to compete well. Best Roughie On Alert (8) Form: Improved form with a recent second-place finish. Track Conditions: No prior synthetic track form, but potential for adaptability based on improvement shown in recent races. Distance: Competent at the current distance. Gear Changes: Visor blinkers on, which can positively impact performance. Race 3 Best Bet Platinum Sixty Six (1) Form: Unbeaten on synthetic tracks with two wins from two starts. Track Conditions: Proven success on synthetic surfaces. Distance: Comfortable over the distance, having won at 2140m previously. Current Form: Recent win suggests strong form and capability to repeat performance. Best Roughie Catch And Release (2) Form: Won well at Woodville and had experience in jump races, indicating fitness and stamina. Track Conditions: First attempt on synthetic, but adaptable based on diverse race experiences. Potential: Offers good value due to less consistent form, but capable of surprising given prior wins and versatility. Race 4 Best Bet O'Dee (1) Form: Trial winner with a battling debut at Taranaki. Track Conditions: First try on synthetic, which could suit based on trial form. Distance: Previously ran at 1200m, suggesting the potential for improvement. Potential: Despite a moderate debut, trial performance suggests capability for a strong run on synthetic. Best Roughie Whooshka (7) Form: Has had three runs with some improvement each time. Track Conditions: First attempt on synthetic, which may bring about a better performance. Gear Changes: Several gear changes including side winkers off and nose band on, indicating attempts to optimize performance. Potential: Could surprise with the right conditions and adjustments, offering good value. Race 5 Best Bet Sonnet (7) Form: Game second at Taupo followed by a good fifth at Ruakaka in an open 3YO race, which is a stronger field. Track Conditions: First try on synthetic but has shown adaptability in previous races. Distance: Competed well at 1400m, suiting today's race distance. Gear Changes: Blinkers on, indicating an attempt to improve focus and performance. Best Roughie Good Craic (6) Form: Consistent performer with recent form including third and fourth placings. Track Conditions: Proven ability on synthetic tracks with placements. Distance: Well-suited to the 1400m distance with consistent performances. Potential: Could offer value, given recent form and adaptability on synthetic tracks. Race 6 Best Bet Opawa Jack (2) Form: Strong recent form with a win and a second place in the last two starts. Track Conditions: Unbeaten on the synthetic track with two wins from two starts. Distance: Proven at 1200m, the same as today’s race. Time Performance: Fast times with competitive sectionals, suggesting readiness for another strong run. Best Roughie Gum Basher (7) Form: Showed potential with a win and a third place in recent starts. Track Conditions: Has a good performance on synthetic tracks, which could offer an edge. Distance: Capable over similar distances, making the step up not too challenging. Potential: Could offer value given its decent form and experience on synthetic tracks. Race 7 Best Bet Showbastian Coe (2) Form: Excellent recent form with two consecutive wins on the synthetic track. Track Conditions: Undefeated on the synthetic with two wins out of two starts. Distance: Proven at 1000m, having won recently over this distance. Performance: Consistent times and strong sectionals indicate readiness for another strong performance. Best Roughie Super Warrior (11) Form: Improved performance with a fourth-place finish last time out. Track Conditions: Has a history of performing better on synthetic tracks. Distance: Drop back in distance to 1000m, which may suit better. Potential: Only win has come on synthetic, suggesting capability of surprising at longer odds. Race 8 Best Bet Vee Vee (2) Form: Impressive win last start on the synthetic track, indicating good form. Track Conditions: Undefeated on synthetic, winning its only start on this surface. Distance: Stepping up in distance but has shown good adaptability and strong finishing capabilities. Performance: Won convincingly last start, suggesting readiness to handle the step up in class. Best Roughie Freyja's Goddess (7) Form: Two good placings before a below-par performance, indicating potential for a bounce back. Track Conditions: First run on synthetic, but has shown ability on different track conditions. Distance: Has placed at 1650m, showing it can handle similar distances. Potential: Recent form suggests it's capable of running a competitive race at longer odds. -
Auckland Best bets & Roughie's- 19 June 2024
Steveo13 replied to Steveo13's topic in Thoroughbred Competitions and Tips
Race 1 Best Bet: Great Adventure Recent Performance: 5th in the Listed Staphanos at Novara Park Champagne Stakes over 1600m, indicating good form. Track and Distance Experience: Competed at a higher level in a listed race, showing potential. Heavy Track Suitability: Only one start on heavy track, placing 5th, suggesting it can handle heavy conditions better than most of the field. Best Roughie: Elegant Jazz (3RD) $1.70 Recent Performance: 5th in the Storage Bream Bay over 1200m, with a strong closing section (34.82 for the last 600m). Track and Distance Experience: Has some race experience and decent performance over a similar distance. Heavy Track Suitability: While there is no specific heavy track form, the strong finish in the last race suggests potential in tough conditions. Race2 Best Bet: Rubyshowoff Recent Performance: 5th place finishes in its last two races, showing consistent form. Track and Distance Experience: Has some experience over similar distances and performed decently. Heavy Track Suitability: Performed reasonably well on heavy tracks before, indicating it can handle the conditions. Best Roughie: Shockatillatap Recent Performance: 3rd place in its last start over 1600m, indicating a good recent form. Track and Distance Experience: Competed well over the distance and on similar tracks. Heavy Track Suitability: Although not heavily experienced, its recent form suggests potential. Race 3 Best Bet: Ramblin' Rose Recent Performance: Finished 5th and 3rd in its last two races, showing consistent improvement. Track and Distance Experience: Has race experience and performed well over similar distances. Heavy Track Suitability: While specific heavy track performance isn't detailed, its recent form suggests it can handle varying conditions. Best Roughie: Rareza (1ST $1.70 $1.40) Recent Performance: Finished 2nd in its last race, indicating strong recent form. Track and Distance Experience: Limited race experience but showed promise in its recent start. Heavy Track Suitability: No specific heavy track form mentioned, but its strong finish in the last race suggests potential. Race 4 Best Bet Delz Abeel (3RD) $1.20 Recent Form: Delz Abeel showed promise in his last race, finishing third in a 14-horse field over 1200m. His performance indicates he is in good form and competitive. Track and Distance Suitability: He performed well on a heavy track, showing he can handle the conditions. Comments: With recent form and demonstrated ability to handle a heavy track, Delz Abeel looks like a solid bet. Best Roughie Johnny Rondo (silk5X4) Recent Form: Johnny Rondo finished fourth in his last race over 1200m. While not a standout, he showed enough promise to be considered a roughie. Track and Distance Suitability: He has some experience on heavy tracks, which could give him an edge in this race. Comments: At longer odds, Johnny Rondo could provide good value if he improves on his recent form. Race 5 Best Bet: Camden Recent Performance: Finished 3rd in its last race, indicating good form and potential. Track and Distance Experience: Has shown the ability to handle the conditions. Overall Suitability: With a strong recent performance and added gear (Shadow Roll), Camden is well-positioned to perform well in this race. Best Roughie: Sheeze A Breeze Recent Performance: Finished 3rd in one of its recent races and has shown some form. Track and Distance Experience: Has some experience and could handle the heavy track conditions. Overall Suitability: As a roughie, Sheeze A Breeze has the potential to surprise at longer odds, especially with previous top-three finishes. Race 6 Best Bet: Baggio Recent Performance: Baggio has shown consistent form with placements, including a second-place finish. Track and Distance Experience: Has been competitive in recent races, indicating good adaptability. Overall Suitability: Baggio's consistency makes him a strong contender for this race. Best Roughie: Pacifico Recent Performance: Pacifico has had competitive finishes, including a second-place finish. Track and Distance Experience: Shows potential to perform well, especially considering recent form. Overall Suitability: As a roughie, Pacifico presents good value with the potential to outperform expectations. Race 7 Best Bet: Poetic Justice Recent Form: Poetic Justice has shown consistency, with a recent second-place finish indicating good form. Track Suitability: Handles wet tracks well, which is crucial for performance on a heavy track. Improvement: The 3-year-old gelding is showing signs of improvement, making him a strong contender. Best Roughie: Pacifico Recent Form: Pacifico has placed in the top three in recent races, including a close second. Track Suitability: Has experience on wet tracks, which might give him an edge. Value: Likely to offer longer odds, providing a good value bet as a roughie with potential to be in it here. Race 8 Best Bet: Charlbury (2ND) $2.20 Recent Form: Charlbury has shown consistent performance, including a strong second-place finish last time out. Track Suitability: Handles heavy tracks well, with previous good performances on wet conditions. Consistency: Recent form indicates reliability, making Charlbury a strong contender. Best Roughie: Penurious (1ST) $7.80 $3.10 Recent Form: Despite mixed recent results, Penurious has had a notable second-place finish in the past. Track Suitability: Has experience on heavy tracks and can perform well if conditions favor. Value: Likely to have longer odds, providing good value as a roughie with potential to place. Race 9 Best Bet: Hey Hey Baby (2ND) $2.00 Recent Performance: Hey Hey Baby has a strong recent win, indicating good form. Track Experience: Performs well in wet conditions and has shown ability to handle heavy tracks. Consistency: Consistent performer with a strong recent run, making it a reliable bet. Best Roughie: Madiran (3RD) $2.90 Recent Performance: Madiran finished third last time out, showing improvement. Track Experience: Has some experience in wet conditions and can perform well if the track is heavy. Value: Given its recent improvement and longer odds, Madiran is a good value pick. -
RACE 1 Best Bet Heidi Hi (7X812) Recent Form: Heidi Hi has shown good form recently, with a win and a second place in her last two starts. Track and Distance Suitability: She has performed well on heavy tracks and her recent form suggests she is comfortable with the conditions. Comments: Given her consistent performance and ability to handle heavy tracks, Heidi Hi is a strong contender for the best bet in this race. Best Roughie Lily Of The Valley (15844) Recent Form: Lily Of The Valley has been performing decently, with her recent fourth-place finish indicating she is competitive. Track and Distance Suitability: As a 7-year-old mare, she has experience and has performed on heavy tracks in the past. Comments: With a fair record and some recent decent performances, Lily Of The Valley offers good value as a roughie in this race. Race 2 Best Bet On The Rivet (20012) Recent Form: On The Rivet has shown strong recent form, finishing second in his last start over 2200m on a heavy track. Track and Distance Suitability: He has proven capability on heavy tracks and at the distance, making him a strong contender. Comments: Given his recent form and proven ability to handle heavy track conditions, On The Rivet looks like the best bet in this race. Best Roughie Hallelujah Brother (9X773) Recent Form: Hallelujah Brother has had a solid recent performance, with a third-place finish in his last start. Track and Distance Suitability: He has experience on heavy tracks and has been competitive over similar distances. Comments: As a horse with recent decent form and proven ability on heavy tracks, Hallelujah Brother offers good value as a roughie. Race 3 Best Bet Domperion (43242) Recent Form: Domperion has shown consistent form, finishing in the top four in her last five starts. She placed second in her most recent race, indicating strong performance. Track and Distance Suitability: She has experience on heavy tracks and has proven herself over similar distances. Comments: Given her recent consistent form and ability to handle heavy track conditions, Domperion is a strong candidate for the best bet in this race. Best Roughie Pomalo (67625) Recent Form: Pomalo has had mixed results but showed promise by placing second in one of her recent starts. Track and Distance Suitability: She has experience on heavy tracks and has been competitive at this distance. Comments: As a horse with some recent competitive performances and proven ability on heavy tracks, Pomalo offers good value as a roughie. Race 4 Best Bet Ataahua Pipedream (69441) Recent Form: Ataahua Pipedream has a strong record on heavy tracks with 3 wins and 1 placing from 9 starts. His last start was a win in a Rating 75 Benchmark race over 1200m, which shows he's in good form. Track and Distance Suitability: Proven on heavy tracks and competitive at similar distances. Comments: His ability to handle heavy conditions and recent winning form make Ataahua Pipedream a solid choice for the best bet. Best Roughie Brancaster Bomber (02027) Recent Form: Brancaster Bomber has shown some ability, with several placings and a second-place finish two starts back. He also has a win and a placing on heavy tracks. Track and Distance Suitability: Has handled heavy conditions well in the past and has experience over similar distances. Comments: Despite a tough gate, Brancaster Bomber's experience and past performances on heavy tracks make him an intriguing roughie option. Race 5 Best Bet Aglow (5) Form: Aglow has been consistent with recent performances, finishing 3rd last start. Suitability: The horse has shown form on soft to heavy tracks, which should be beneficial given the heavy 9 track conditions. Trip: Stepping up in trip should suit as it seems to be improving with distance. Best Roughie Te Kanawa (7) Form: Te Kanawa ran 4th in its last start, showing potential improvement. Freshness: Freshened up for this run and has a history of performing well second-up. Value: As an outsider, Te Kanawa has potential to outperform odds, especially with favorable conditions for an improver on a heavy track. Race 6 Best Bet Where's Wally (1) Form: Last run was a strong second in a Rating 75 Benchmark 1200m race, showing competitiveness at this level. Track Conditions: Proven on heavy tracks with a record of 15 starts on heavy going, resulting in 4 wins and 7 placings. Distance: Although this race is over 1400m, Where's Wally has experience and success at various distances. Gear Changes: Blinkers off, Side Winkers on – these changes could improve focus and performance. Best Roughie Tadita (6) Form: Consistent performer with a recent second place finish in a Rating 75 Benchmark 1200m race. Track Conditions: Handles heavy tracks well, with a solid record in similar conditions. Distance: Has shown capability over this distance, making her a value bet if she performs to her potential. Gear Changes: Hoof Pads (Front) off, Ear Covers Pre-Race on, Barrier Blanket on – these changes might enhance her readiness and comfort. Race 7 Best Bet Imabuster (1) Form: Consistent performer with a good record, including a strong third-place finish in his last start over 1200m. Track Conditions: Proven on heavy tracks, with 3 placings from 5 starts on heavy ground. Distance: Has shown capability at various distances, indicating versatility. Current Form: Consistently in the placings, indicating readiness to perform well. Best Roughie Hakaharry (2) Form: Has shown flashes of ability, including a second-place finish in a 1600m maiden race two starts ago. Track Conditions: Has some experience on heavy ground, although not extensively proven. Distance: The step up to 1400m from his recent 1600m efforts might suit him well. Gear Changes: None mentioned, but his past performance indicates potential for an upset. Race 8 Best Bet Pleasurenpain (4) Form: Consistent performer with multiple placings, including a recent third place over 1600m. Track Conditions: Proven on heavy tracks with 3 wins from 10 starts on heavy ground. Distance: Has experience and success at the 1600m distance. Current Form: Displayed strong performances recently, indicating readiness to perform well. Best Roughie Blood Diamond (6) Form: Has shown potential with a recent second-place finish over 1600m, indicating she is in good form. Track Conditions: Proven on heavy tracks with 2 wins from 7 starts on heavy ground. Distance: Has performed well over the 1600m distance. Gear Changes: No significant changes, but her recent form suggests she could perform well. Race 9 Best Bet Sacred Dior (5) Form: Recently won over 1600m and has shown consistency with another strong performance. Track Conditions: Proven ability on soft to heavy tracks. Distance: Performed well at similar distances, indicating suitability for the current race. Current Form: Recent win suggests she is in good form and capable of handling the conditions. Best Roughie Balzano (4) Form: Although inconsistent, has shown flashes of potential with a recent fourth place finish. Track Conditions: Has some experience on heavy tracks and could improve with the conditions. Distance: Yet to prove at this distance but shows promise and potential for improvement. Gear Changes: No significant gear changes, but the recent form suggests he could be a surprise performer at longer odds.
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Race 1 Best Bet: Great Adventure Recent Performance: 5th in the Listed Staphanos at Novara Park Champagne Stakes over 1600m, indicating good form. Track and Distance Experience: Competed at a higher level in a listed race, showing potential. Heavy Track Suitability: Only one start on heavy track, placing 5th, suggesting it can handle heavy conditions better than most of the field. Best Roughie: Elegant Jazz Recent Performance: 5th in the Storage Bream Bay over 1200m, with a strong closing section (34.82 for the last 600m). Track and Distance Experience: Has some race experience and decent performance over a similar distance. Heavy Track Suitability: While there is no specific heavy track form, the strong finish in the last race suggests potential in tough conditions. Race2 Best Bet: Rubyshowoff Recent Performance: 5th place finishes in its last two races, showing consistent form. Track and Distance Experience: Has some experience over similar distances and performed decently. Heavy Track Suitability: Performed reasonably well on heavy tracks before, indicating it can handle the conditions. Best Roughie: Shockatillatap Recent Performance: 3rd place in its last start over 1600m, indicating a good recent form. Track and Distance Experience: Competed well over the distance and on similar tracks. Heavy Track Suitability: Although not heavily experienced, its recent form suggests potential. Race 3 Best Bet: Ramblin' Rose Recent Performance: Finished 5th and 3rd in its last two races, showing consistent improvement. Track and Distance Experience: Has race experience and performed well over similar distances. Heavy Track Suitability: While specific heavy track performance isn't detailed, its recent form suggests it can handle varying conditions. Best Roughie: Rareza Recent Performance: Finished 2nd in its last race, indicating strong recent form. Track and Distance Experience: Limited race experience but showed promise in its recent start. Heavy Track Suitability: No specific heavy track form mentioned, but its strong finish in the last race suggests potential. Race 4 Best Bet Delz Abeel Recent Form: Delz Abeel showed promise in his last race, finishing third in a 14-horse field over 1200m. His performance indicates he is in good form and competitive. Track and Distance Suitability: He performed well on a heavy track, showing he can handle the conditions. Comments: With recent form and demonstrated ability to handle a heavy track, Delz Abeel looks like a solid bet. Best Roughie Johnny Rondo (silk5X4) Recent Form: Johnny Rondo finished fourth in his last race over 1200m. While not a standout, he showed enough promise to be considered a roughie. Track and Distance Suitability: He has some experience on heavy tracks, which could give him an edge in this race. Comments: At longer odds, Johnny Rondo could provide good value if he improves on his recent form. Race 5 Best Bet: Camden Recent Performance: Finished 3rd in its last race, indicating good form and potential. Track and Distance Experience: Has shown the ability to handle the conditions. Overall Suitability: With a strong recent performance and added gear (Shadow Roll), Camden is well-positioned to perform well in this race. Best Roughie: Sheeze A Breeze Recent Performance: Finished 3rd in one of its recent races and has shown some form. Track and Distance Experience: Has some experience and could handle the heavy track conditions. Overall Suitability: As a roughie, Sheeze A Breeze has the potential to surprise at longer odds, especially with previous top-three finishes. Race 6 Best Bet: Baggio Recent Performance: Baggio has shown consistent form with placements, including a second-place finish. Track and Distance Experience: Has been competitive in recent races, indicating good adaptability. Overall Suitability: Baggio's consistency makes him a strong contender for this race. Best Roughie: Pacifico Recent Performance: Pacifico has had competitive finishes, including a second-place finish. Track and Distance Experience: Shows potential to perform well, especially considering recent form. Overall Suitability: As a roughie, Pacifico presents good value with the potential to outperform expectations. Race 7 Best Bet: Poetic Justice Recent Form: Poetic Justice has shown consistency, with a recent second-place finish indicating good form. Track Suitability: Handles wet tracks well, which is crucial for performance on a heavy track. Improvement: The 3-year-old gelding is showing signs of improvement, making him a strong contender. Best Roughie: Pacifico Recent Form: Pacifico has placed in the top three in recent races, including a close second. Track Suitability: Has experience on wet tracks, which might give him an edge. Value: Likely to offer longer odds, providing a good value bet as a roughie with potential to be in it here. Race 8 Best Bet: Charlbury Recent Form: Charlbury has shown consistent performance, including a strong second-place finish last time out. Track Suitability: Handles heavy tracks well, with previous good performances on wet conditions. Consistency: Recent form indicates reliability, making Charlbury a strong contender. Best Roughie: Penurious Recent Form: Despite mixed recent results, Penurious has had a notable second-place finish in the past. Track Suitability: Has experience on heavy tracks and can perform well if conditions favor. Value: Likely to have longer odds, providing good value as a roughie with potential to place. Race 9 Best Bet: Hey Hey Baby Recent Performance: Hey Hey Baby has a strong recent win, indicating good form. Track Experience: Performs well in wet conditions and has shown ability to handle heavy tracks. Consistency: Consistent performer with a strong recent run, making it a reliable bet. Best Roughie: Madiran Recent Performance: Madiran finished third last time out, showing improvement. Track Experience: Has some experience in wet conditions and can perform well if the track is heavy. Value: Given its recent improvement and longer odds, Madiran is a good value pick.
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TE RAPA FORM LINE 15/06/2024
Steveo13 replied to Steveo13's topic in Thoroughbred Competitions and Tips
TE RAPA - SELECTIONS Race 1 Mont Ventoux (3RD) $1.20 Mont Ventoux has shown consistent top performances in recent races and has experience with challenging track conditions. The formline (X223) indicates a strong finishing position in recent starts. Zeefa Zed (2ND) $1.70 Zeefa Zed has a good track record with a strong recent formline (70323). This horse has experience in both flat and jump races, which can be beneficial for handling heavy conditions. Captains Run Captains Run has shown decent form with a recent second-place finish, suggesting good potential on a Heavy 9 track. The horse has placed twice over hurdles, indicating adaptability and stamina. Pacheco (1ST) $3.40 $1.50 Pacheco has a solid recent form (7X285) and good recent efforts on the flat. Making a hurdle debut here could be a positive change, and the horse's performance on a heavy track should be monitored. Race 2 Berry The Cash (1ST) $1.70 $1.10 Recent form is excellent with a formline of 3X311, including a win last time out. The horse is impressive in the current role and well-placed in the weights. Good performance on heavy tracks should be expected. Lord Spencer (3RD) $1.70 Consistent performer with a recent formline of X0432, including a second place in the last start. This horse has shown it can handle heavy conditions and is a lightweight contender in this race. English Gambler (AUS) Has a good track record and won two starts ago. The formline of PX617 indicates some inconsistency, but this horse has proven ability on heavy tracks and could bounce back here. Country Bumpkin Close up when 4th on the flat last week and has previously won over the race distance. Although older, the horse's experience and recent performance suggest it could handle the heavy track well. Race 3 Flutterbelle Recent form is strong with a 2nd place finish in the last start. Close up in both starts this prep, and stepping up to 1400m looks ideal. Proven form on heavy going and a consistent performer make this horse a strong contender. Ice Empress (3RD) $4.10 Fought hard for 4th place in the last start over 1400m. Although not winning, the horse has shown it can handle the distance and is improving. The consistent placement and suitability for heavy tracks place this horse high in the selection. Super Dailo (2ND) $1.90 Placed efforts in the last couple of races and has experience on heavy tracks. Stepping up to 1400m looks ideal for this horse, and its ability to handle wet conditions makes it a respectable choice. Dudaday Running home strongly in the last couple of races and stepping up to 1400m should be advantageous. The horse's form suggests it can handle heavy tracks, making it a good each-way chance in this race. Race 4 Babylon Berlin (AUS) A high-class sprinting mare with a strong record of 9 wins, 4 seconds, and 4 thirds over 19 starts at this distance. Proven performer on heavy tracks with 2 wins from 3 starts. Better for the run resuming over 1100m and expected to go close in this race. Caitlyn's Wish (1ST) $4.10 $2.30 Racing in career-best form with a recent win over 1200m. Has won 4 races at this trip and 5 wins from 10 starts on heavy tracks, showing excellent form in such conditions. A strong lightweight hope in this race. Highlighter (3RD) $NTD Won well over 1100m in the last start, indicating good form. Excels in testing winter ground with 5 wins and 4 placings from 12 starts on heavy tracks. Looks competitive here with strong credentials for wet conditions. Johny Johny Speedy type with a solid record of 6 wins and 1 placing from 13 starts at this distance. Good performance in heavy going with 3 wins from 6 starts. Better for the run resuming over 1100m and has a good record at Te Rapa, making him a tough contender Race 5 Devoted (3RD) NTD Recent form: Fourth place in the last start (96412). Potential: Competitive based on recent effort and experience. Magic Cannon Recent form: Third place in the last start (846X3). Ground suitability: Experienced runner with a good record on heavy tracks. Super Spirit (1ST) $5.30 $1.60 Recent form: Second place in the last start (00042). Ground suitability: Consistent performer in heavy conditions. Renegade Fighter Recent form: Well beaten in the last start (LX460). Potential: Known for handling challenging conditions. Race 6 The Cossack (1ST) $1.40 $1.30 Form: Champion jumper unbeaten in 3 runs at this distance. Course Record: 7 wins from 12 starts at this course. Distance Record: 3 wins from 3 starts at this distance. Going: 13 wins from 31 starts on similar ground. Comments: Loves Te Rapa and is the one to beat. Izymydaad Form: Scratched from the last start but has shown good performances. Course Record: Consistent performances at this course. Distance Record: Proven over similar distances. Going: Experience on heavy ground. Hey Happy (2ND) $2.10 Form: Placed 3rd in the LJ Hooker Manawatu Steeplechase. Course Record: 2 wins from 4 starts at this course. Distance Record: 1 win and 1 place from 3 starts at this distance. Going: 4 wins from 16 starts on similar ground. Comments: Has shown recent form and should be competitive. Password Form: Fought well to score at 3400m, but just battled up to 4000m in the last start. Course Record: Placed in 3 of 6 starts at this course. Distance Record: Consistent performances over similar distances. Going: 3 wins from 17 starts on similar ground. Comments: Performs well in rain-affected tracks and up in trip appeals. Race 7 Little Bit Of Love (3RD) $1.30 Form: Shooting for 5 wins in a row. Course Record: 3 wins from 3 starts at Te Rapa. Distance Record: Unproven at 1600m but in excellent form. Going: 2 wins from 2 starts on similar ground. Comments: The horse is in outstanding form, unbeaten at the course and on similar going. Turn The Ace (1ST) $5.30 $1.50 Form: Not too far away in a WFA race over 1600m last start. Course Record: 6 wins from 12 starts at this course. Distance Record: 2 wins from 7 starts at this distance. Going: 4 wins from 12 starts on similar ground. Comments: Loves Te Rapa and has a solid record over the distance. Freeze Frame (2ND) $1.70 Form: Racing in solid form and steps up to 1600m. Course Record: 2 wins and 3 places from 8 starts at this course. Distance Record: Yet to place at 1600m but improving. Going: 2 wins and 2 places from 7 starts on similar ground. Comments: Handles all conditions well and is in good form. Seajetz Form: Tidy effort when 3rd resuming over 1400m. Course Record: 1 win and 1 place from 5 starts at this course. Distance Record: 5 wins from 15 starts at this distance. Going: 3 wins and 2 places from 12 starts on similar ground. Comments: Performed well in recent runs and should be competitive over the distance. Race 8 Tavi Ann (3RD) $1.90 Form: Recent winner, in good form. Course Record: Not specified, but recent win is a positive. Distance Record: Not specified, but form suggests capability. Going: Likely adaptable given recent performance. Comments: In good recent form and should handle conditions well. Mister Roquette (2ND) $1.90 Form: Recent win suggests good form. Course Record: Not specified. Distance Record: Not specified. Going: Likely adaptable given recent performance. Comments: Recent win is a strong indicator of form and capability. Jack In The Box Form: Recent 3rd place finish. Course Record: Not specified. Distance Record: Not specified. Going: Likely adaptable. Comments: Recent good performance suggests capability to handle conditions. Up 'n' Gone Form: Recent win indicates form. Course Record: Not specified. Distance Record: Not specified. Going: Likely adaptable. Comments: Recent win suggests ability to handle the conditions. Race 9 Tiger Lily Recent Form: Placed 2nd last start over 1200m, and has consistently placed in recent starts. Course Record: Not specified, but has shown good form. Comments: Consistent performer, commands respect given her form and adaptability to different conditions. Knights Realm (1ST) $11.10 $3.50 Recent Form: Placed 2nd in last start over 1200m and has shown improvement. Course Record: Not specified. Comments: Improved this preparation, likely to perform well again. City Girl Recent Form: Placed 4th in a competitive field over 1200m recently. Course Record: 1 - 0 - 1. Comments: Consistent in recent starts and has the ability to handle wet conditions. Takeshi Recent Form: Finished 6th in last start over 1200m but showed promise in earlier races. Course Record: Not specified. Comments: Expect improvement from the resuming run, handles wet conditions well. Race 10 Sorghaghtani Recent Form: Won last start over 1750m, showing strong form. Course Record: Not specified. Comments: Impressive recent performance, improving mare suited to the 2100m distance. Ata Rangi Recent Form: Consistently placed in recent starts, including a third in the last start over 2200m. Course Record: 21 - 1 - 5. Comments: Racing well this preparation, fought hard last start, consistent performer. Cimarron Recent Form: Fourth in the last start over 2100m, showing good fighting spirit. Course Record: 3 - 0 - 3. Comments: Placed in all three starts at Te Rapa, showing good form at this distance. Charlbury Recent Form: Third in the last start over 1600m, consistently placing in recent starts. Course Record: Not specified. Comments: Racing well this preparation, stepping up to the 2100m, good form to consider. -
Wellington Best Bets & Roughie's 15/06/2024
Steveo13 replied to Steveo13's topic in Thoroughbred Competitions and Tips
Race 1 - Best Bet Pokuru Gold Recent Form: Unbeaten in three outings and has impressed each time. Track and Distance Suitability: Although there's no previous course or distance experience listed, the unbeaten record and impressive performances make this horse a strong contender. Comments: Pokuru Gold’s undefeated streak and ability to perform well under varying conditions make it the most reliable bet. Best Roughie Bella Timing (2ND) $2.60 Recent Form: Finished 6th in a Rating 65 Benchmark race last start. Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown ability but has not yet performed to its full potential. Comments: Given that Bella Timing is stepping back to its own age group and has had a freshening period, it might outperform expectations, making it a good roughie bet in this race. Race 2 - Best Bet Bruno Recent Form: Has had some good placings, showing consistent performance. Track and Distance Suitability: While the details on specific performances in heavy conditions are limited, Bruno’s consistent form suggests he can handle the conditions well. Comments: Given his consistent placings and potential for improvement, Bruno stands out as the most reliable bet. Best Roughie Faustian Bargain Recent Form: Showed a strong performance with a 2nd place finish in the most recent race. Track and Distance Suitability: Has placed in a variety of conditions, and recent form indicates he could handle the heavy track well. Comments: Faustian Bargain has the potential to outperform expectations, making him a good roughie bet in this race. Race 3 -Best Bet The Finnster Recent Form: Resumed with a strong win at Whanganui in a Rating 65 Benchmark race over 1340m. Track and Distance Suitability: Has significant experience on various tracks and handles wet conditions well. Comments: The Finnster’s recent win and consistent performance make him a strong contender, especially on a heavy track. Best Roughie Who's Complainin Recent Form: Two solid runs back this time, with a good performance in both. Track and Distance Suitability: Handles wet tracks well, with one win and three placings on heavy tracks. Comments: Who's Complainin shows potential and form that can be competitive in these conditions, making him a value bet. Race 4 -Best Bet Miss Dixie (1ST) $9.90 $2.70 Recent Form: Fought well for third when resuming at Taranaki in a Rating 65 Benchmark Fillies and Mares race over 1200m. Track and Distance Suitability: Proven performer over similar distances and has shown ability on heavy tracks. Comments: Miss Dixie’s recent performance, coupled with her ability to handle wet conditions, makes her a strong contender in this race. Best Roughie Perfect Turn Recent Form: Fresh up after a long break, with the best run coming in a fresh state last time in. Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown promise in past performances, especially when fresh. Comments: Perfect Turn has the potential to surprise, especially given his form when fresh and his recent trial. Race 5 -Best Bet Aljay Recent Form: Consistently strong performances, including a second place in the Rotorua Cup (Listed Race) over 2200m. Also, has run three top races this prep. Track and Distance Suitability: Proven ability on heavy tracks with solid form, including multiple top finishes on wet surfaces. Comments: Aljay’s consistent form and demonstrated capability on heavy tracks make him the best bet for this race. Best Roughie Soldier Boy (silk57657) Recent Form: While the recent form has been mixed, Soldier Boy has shown potential with a fair fifth at Taranaki and excuses for a less favorable performance last time. Track and Distance Suitability: Has the capability to perform well in heavy conditions, with previous success on wet tracks. Comments: Given his ability to handle heavy tracks and previous form, Soldier Boy represents a value bet as the best roughie in this race. Race 6 -Best Bet King Khan (1ST) $5.30 $2.10 Recent Form: Consistently strong performances, including a second place in the Dunstan Horse-feeds 2200m. Has been close in previous races with a good second at Counties. Track and Distance Suitability: Proven on heavy tracks with multiple top finishes. The step up in distance and wetter conditions should suit him. Comments: King Khan’s consistent form and proven ability on heavy tracks make him the best bet in this race. Best Roughie Ronin Porotene Recent Form: Although form has been mixed, Ronin Porotene showed improvement with a better performance at Hawera. Previous races in wet conditions have been promising. Track and Distance Suitability: Prefers heavy tracks and the extra distance should help. Has performed well in similar conditions before. Comments: With a preference for heavy tracks and an improved recent performance, Ronin Porotene represents good value as the best roughie in this race. Race 7 - Best Bet Conor O'Ceirin's Recent Form: Strong performance with a third place in his last start, indicating good form. His previous runs also show consistent placing, suggesting reliability. Track and Distance Suitability: Handles heavy tracks well and has a solid record over similar distances. His racing style suits wet conditions. Comments: Conor O'Ceirin's recent form and proven ability on heavy tracks make him the best bet for this race. Best Roughie Hot Shockolate Recent Form: Has not performed well in the last few races, which is why he is considered a roughie. However, his breeding suggests he can handle wet tracks (sired by Shocking, known for producing wet-track performers). Track and Distance Suitability: Although recent form is poor, the heavy 10 track may bring out his best, considering his pedigree and past performances in wet conditions. Comments: Hot Shockolate could surprise at good odds due to his potential on heavy tracks despite his recent lackluster performances. Race 8 -Best Bet Pinkerton (1ST) $5.30 $2.00 Recent Form: Pinkerton has shown strong recent form with a win in his last race, indicating good fitness and condition. Additionally, his second place in the race before that further demonstrates his competitive edge. Track and Distance Suitability: Proven to handle wet conditions well and has a solid record over similar distances. Comments: Pinkerton's consistency and recent wins make him a reliable choice for this race, especially on a heavy track. Best Roughie Wheelitin Recent Form: Won her last start, showing a return to form. Previous form was not impressive, which keeps her odds high. Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown she can perform on heavy tracks and is adaptable over different distances. Comments: Wheelitin offers good value as a roughie with a recent win indicating she might be hitting peak form at the right time. -
Race 1 - Best Bet Pokuru Gold Recent Form: Unbeaten in three outings and has impressed each time. Track and Distance Suitability: Although there's no previous course or distance experience listed, the unbeaten record and impressive performances make this horse a strong contender. Comments: Pokuru Gold’s undefeated streak and ability to perform well under varying conditions make it the most reliable bet. Best Roughie Bella Timing Recent Form: Finished 6th in a Rating 65 Benchmark race last start. Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown ability but has not yet performed to its full potential. Comments: Given that Bella Timing is stepping back to its own age group and has had a freshening period, it might outperform expectations, making it a good roughie bet in this race. Race 2 - Best Bet Bruno Recent Form: Has had some good placings, showing consistent performance. Track and Distance Suitability: While the details on specific performances in heavy conditions are limited, Bruno’s consistent form suggests he can handle the conditions well. Comments: Given his consistent placings and potential for improvement, Bruno stands out as the most reliable bet. Best Roughie Faustian Bargain Recent Form: Showed a strong performance with a 2nd place finish in the most recent race. Track and Distance Suitability: Has placed in a variety of conditions, and recent form indicates he could handle the heavy track well. Comments: Faustian Bargain has the potential to outperform expectations, making him a good roughie bet in this race. Race 3 -Best Bet The Finnster Recent Form: Resumed with a strong win at Whanganui in a Rating 65 Benchmark race over 1340m. Track and Distance Suitability: Has significant experience on various tracks and handles wet conditions well. Comments: The Finnster’s recent win and consistent performance make him a strong contender, especially on a heavy track. Best Roughie Who's Complainin Recent Form: Two solid runs back this time, with a good performance in both. Track and Distance Suitability: Handles wet tracks well, with one win and three placings on heavy tracks. Comments: Who's Complainin shows potential and form that can be competitive in these conditions, making him a value bet. Race 4 -Best Bet Miss Dixie Recent Form: Fought well for third when resuming at Taranaki in a Rating 65 Benchmark Fillies and Mares race over 1200m. Track and Distance Suitability: Proven performer over similar distances and has shown ability on heavy tracks. Comments: Miss Dixie’s recent performance, coupled with her ability to handle wet conditions, makes her a strong contender in this race. Best Roughie Perfect Turn Recent Form: Fresh up after a long break, with the best run coming in a fresh state last time in. Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown promise in past performances, especially when fresh. Comments: Perfect Turn has the potential to surprise, especially given his form when fresh and his recent trial. Race 5 -Best Bet Aljay Recent Form: Consistently strong performances, including a second place in the Rotorua Cup (Listed Race) over 2200m. Also, has run three top races this prep. Track and Distance Suitability: Proven ability on heavy tracks with solid form, including multiple top finishes on wet surfaces. Comments: Aljay’s consistent form and demonstrated capability on heavy tracks make him the best bet for this race. Best Roughie Soldier Boy (silk57657) Recent Form: While the recent form has been mixed, Soldier Boy has shown potential with a fair fifth at Taranaki and excuses for a less favorable performance last time. Track and Distance Suitability: Has the capability to perform well in heavy conditions, with previous success on wet tracks. Comments: Given his ability to handle heavy tracks and previous form, Soldier Boy represents a value bet as the best roughie in this race. Race 6 -Best Bet King Khan Recent Form: Consistently strong performances, including a second place in the Dunstan Horse-feeds 2200m. Has been close in previous races with a good second at Counties. Track and Distance Suitability: Proven on heavy tracks with multiple top finishes. The step up in distance and wetter conditions should suit him. Comments: King Khan’s consistent form and proven ability on heavy tracks make him the best bet in this race. Best Roughie Ronin Porotene Recent Form: Although form has been mixed, Ronin Porotene showed improvement with a better performance at Hawera. Previous races in wet conditions have been promising. Track and Distance Suitability: Prefers heavy tracks and the extra distance should help. Has performed well in similar conditions before. Comments: With a preference for heavy tracks and an improved recent performance, Ronin Porotene represents good value as the best roughie in this race. Race 7 - Best Bet Conor O'Ceirin's Recent Form: Strong performance with a third place in his last start, indicating good form. His previous runs also show consistent placing, suggesting reliability. Track and Distance Suitability: Handles heavy tracks well and has a solid record over similar distances. His racing style suits wet conditions. Comments: Conor O'Ceirin's recent form and proven ability on heavy tracks make him the best bet for this race. Best Roughie Hot Shockolate Recent Form: Has not performed well in the last few races, which is why he is considered a roughie. However, his breeding suggests he can handle wet tracks (sired by Shocking, known for producing wet-track performers). Track and Distance Suitability: Although recent form is poor, the heavy 10 track may bring out his best, considering his pedigree and past performances in wet conditions. Comments: Hot Shockolate could surprise at good odds due to his potential on heavy tracks despite his recent lackluster performances. Race 8 -Best Bet Pinkerton Recent Form: Pinkerton has shown strong recent form with a win in his last race, indicating good fitness and condition. Additionally, his second place in the race before that further demonstrates his competitive edge. Track and Distance Suitability: Proven to handle wet conditions well and has a solid record over similar distances. Comments: Pinkerton's consistency and recent wins make him a reliable choice for this race, especially on a heavy track. Best Roughie Wheelitin Recent Form: Won her last start, showing a return to form. Previous form was not impressive, which keeps her odds high. Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown she can perform on heavy tracks and is adaptable over different distances. Comments: Wheelitin offers good value as a roughie with a recent win indicating she might be hitting peak form at the right time.
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TE RAPA - SELECTIONS Race 1 Mont Ventoux Mont Ventoux has shown consistent top performances in recent races and has experience with challenging track conditions. The formline (X223) indicates a strong finishing position in recent starts. Zeefa Zed Zeefa Zed has a good track record with a strong recent formline (70323). This horse has experience in both flat and jump races, which can be beneficial for handling heavy conditions. Captains Run Captains Run has shown decent form with a recent second-place finish, suggesting good potential on a Heavy 9 track. The horse has placed twice over hurdles, indicating adaptability and stamina. Pacheco Pacheco has a solid recent form (7X285) and good recent efforts on the flat. Making a hurdle debut here could be a positive change, and the horse's performance on a heavy track should be monitored. Race 2 Berry The Cash Recent form is excellent with a formline of 3X311, including a win last time out. The horse is impressive in the current role and well-placed in the weights. Good performance on heavy tracks should be expected. Lord Spencer Consistent performer with a recent formline of X0432, including a second place in the last start. This horse has shown it can handle heavy conditions and is a lightweight contender in this race. English Gambler (AUS) Has a good track record and won two starts ago. The formline of PX617 indicates some inconsistency, but this horse has proven ability on heavy tracks and could bounce back here. Country Bumpkin Close up when 4th on the flat last week and has previously won over the race distance. Although older, the horse's experience and recent performance suggest it could handle the heavy track well. Race 3 Flutterbelle Recent form is strong with a 2nd place finish in the last start. Close up in both starts this prep, and stepping up to 1400m looks ideal. Proven form on heavy going and a consistent performer make this horse a strong contender. Ice Empress Fought hard for 4th place in the last start over 1400m. Although not winning, the horse has shown it can handle the distance and is improving. The consistent placement and suitability for heavy tracks place this horse high in the selection. Super Dailo Placed efforts in the last couple of races and has experience on heavy tracks. Stepping up to 1400m looks ideal for this horse, and its ability to handle wet conditions makes it a respectable choice. Dudaday Running home strongly in the last couple of races and stepping up to 1400m should be advantageous. The horse's form suggests it can handle heavy tracks, making it a good each-way chance in this race. Race 4 Babylon Berlin (AUS) A high-class sprinting mare with a strong record of 9 wins, 4 seconds, and 4 thirds over 19 starts at this distance. Proven performer on heavy tracks with 2 wins from 3 starts. Better for the run resuming over 1100m and expected to go close in this race. Caitlyn's Wish Racing in career-best form with a recent win over 1200m. Has won 4 races at this trip and 5 wins from 10 starts on heavy tracks, showing excellent form in such conditions. A strong lightweight hope in this race. Highlighter Won well over 1100m in the last start, indicating good form. Excels in testing winter ground with 5 wins and 4 placings from 12 starts on heavy tracks. Looks competitive here with strong credentials for wet conditions. Johny Johny Speedy type with a solid record of 6 wins and 1 placing from 13 starts at this distance. Good performance in heavy going with 3 wins from 6 starts. Better for the run resuming over 1100m and has a good record at Te Rapa, making him a tough contender Race 5 Devoted Recent form: Fourth place in the last start (96412). Potential: Competitive based on recent effort and experience. Magic Cannon Recent form: Third place in the last start (846X3). Ground suitability: Experienced runner with a good record on heavy tracks. Super Spirit Recent form: Second place in the last start (00042). Ground suitability: Consistent performer in heavy conditions. Renegade Fighter Recent form: Well beaten in the last start (LX460). Potential: Known for handling challenging conditions. Race 6 The Cossack Form: Champion jumper unbeaten in 3 runs at this distance. Course Record: 7 wins from 12 starts at this course. Distance Record: 3 wins from 3 starts at this distance. Going: 13 wins from 31 starts on similar ground. Comments: Loves Te Rapa and is the one to beat. Izymydaad Form: Scratched from the last start but has shown good performances. Course Record: Consistent performances at this course. Distance Record: Proven over similar distances. Going: Experience on heavy ground. Hey Happy Form: Placed 3rd in the LJ Hooker Manawatu Steeplechase. Course Record: 2 wins from 4 starts at this course. Distance Record: 1 win and 1 place from 3 starts at this distance. Going: 4 wins from 16 starts on similar ground. Comments: Has shown recent form and should be competitive. Password Form: Fought well to score at 3400m, but just battled up to 4000m in the last start. Course Record: Placed in 3 of 6 starts at this course. Distance Record: Consistent performances over similar distances. Going: 3 wins from 17 starts on similar ground. Comments: Performs well in rain-affected tracks and up in trip appeals. Race 7 Little Bit Of Love Form: Shooting for 5 wins in a row. Course Record: 3 wins from 3 starts at Te Rapa. Distance Record: Unproven at 1600m but in excellent form. Going: 2 wins from 2 starts on similar ground. Comments: The horse is in outstanding form, unbeaten at the course and on similar going. Turn The Ace Form: Not too far away in a WFA race over 1600m last start. Course Record: 6 wins from 12 starts at this course. Distance Record: 2 wins from 7 starts at this distance. Going: 4 wins from 12 starts on similar ground. Comments: Loves Te Rapa and has a solid record over the distance. Freeze Frame Form: Racing in solid form and steps up to 1600m. Course Record: 2 wins and 3 places from 8 starts at this course. Distance Record: Yet to place at 1600m but improving. Going: 2 wins and 2 places from 7 starts on similar ground. Comments: Handles all conditions well and is in good form. Seajetz Form: Tidy effort when 3rd resuming over 1400m. Course Record: 1 win and 1 place from 5 starts at this course. Distance Record: 5 wins from 15 starts at this distance. Going: 3 wins and 2 places from 12 starts on similar ground. Comments: Performed well in recent runs and should be competitive over the distance. Race 8 Tavi Ann Form: Recent winner, in good form. Course Record: Not specified, but recent win is a positive. Distance Record: Not specified, but form suggests capability. Going: Likely adaptable given recent performance. Comments: In good recent form and should handle conditions well. Mister Roquette Form: Recent win suggests good form. Course Record: Not specified. Distance Record: Not specified. Going: Likely adaptable given recent performance. Comments: Recent win is a strong indicator of form and capability. Jack In The Box Form: Recent 3rd place finish. Course Record: Not specified. Distance Record: Not specified. Going: Likely adaptable. Comments: Recent good performance suggests capability to handle conditions. Up 'n' Gone Form: Recent win indicates form. Course Record: Not specified. Distance Record: Not specified. Going: Likely adaptable. Comments: Recent win suggests ability to handle the conditions. Race 9 Tiger Lily Recent Form: Placed 2nd last start over 1200m, and has consistently placed in recent starts. Course Record: Not specified, but has shown good form. Comments: Consistent performer, commands respect given her form and adaptability to different conditions. Knights Realm Recent Form: Placed 2nd in last start over 1200m and has shown improvement. Course Record: Not specified. Comments: Improved this preparation, likely to perform well again. City Girl Recent Form: Placed 4th in a competitive field over 1200m recently. Course Record: 1 - 0 - 1. Comments: Consistent in recent starts and has the ability to handle wet conditions. Takeshi Recent Form: Finished 6th in last start over 1200m but showed promise in earlier races. Course Record: Not specified. Comments: Expect improvement from the resuming run, handles wet conditions well. Race 10 Sorghaghtani Recent Form: Won last start over 1750m, showing strong form. Course Record: Not specified. Comments: Impressive recent performance, improving mare suited to the 2100m distance. Ata Rangi Recent Form: Consistently placed in recent starts, including a third in the last start over 2200m. Course Record: 21 - 1 - 5. Comments: Racing well this preparation, fought hard last start, consistent performer. Cimarron Recent Form: Fourth in the last start over 2100m, showing good fighting spirit. Course Record: 3 - 0 - 3. Comments: Placed in all three starts at Te Rapa, showing good form at this distance. Charlbury Recent Form: Third in the last start over 1600m, consistently placing in recent starts. Course Record: Not specified. Comments: Racing well this preparation, stepping up to the 2100m, good form to consider.
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Te Aroha Race Tips R4 TROUVILLE: Won well on soft ground at trials, likely to handle conditions, one to beat. SHOOTING STRIDE: Dam won 8 of 19, fitter after two runs, consider at odds. R6 POETIC JUSTICE: Looks strong here, each-way chance. HE SO FINE: Won on soft ground at trials, worth a bet in this even field. R7 RUA ROCKS: Gets weight off, will be in the finish. PACHECO: Maps well, could win with a good run behind the speed. R8 PIER: Nice trial win to prepare for this race. ARIS ARIS: Suited here, loves 1300m, will be running on. Blowout: GOSPODIN: Better than form suggests, could surprise the favorites. R9 DIOMEDES: Better after fresh run, performs well at this class and distance, consider. ABOVE THE CLOUD: Improved after two runs, each-way chance at odds. THREE NINETY: Finished strong for 5th last run, a roughie. R10 LADY GREY: Fitter than some, looks strong in this lineup. TIME TO WONDER: Showed fight when 3rd at recent trials, if repeats that, can be close today.
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Wingatui Race Tips R1 POWERFUL MOSS: Freshened for this run, good record fresh, back to 1600m helps, each-way chance. CLASSIC DIVA: Not the best draw, but will run well if the track improves. BAUBLE: Keeps winning in Saturday company, can't be ignored. R2 BENARD: Well placed, nice draw, down to 56 kg, can win. ATOMIC: Winner of 5 here, strong chance with weight claim. NIGHT RAIDER: From a stable in form, looks good in R65, can step up. R3 ON THE WALL: Unlucky recently, finding form, could surprise. I HOPE I NEVER: Nicely bred, stable in form, worth following. VICTOR ROGUE: Would benefit from a drying track, capable in big races, each-way chance. R4 IMPTEE: Good trial winner, first start, each-way chance. GLADUS: Dam won 1 of 2 in Auckland, worth following. LET ME LOOSE: Another good trial performer, each-way chance. R5 SADLER WELLS: Big drop in weight, don't dismiss. LETRIUM LAD: 2 kg drop helps, good strike rate over 2000m, each-way chance. LOFTY'S GIFT: Winning form is good form, can continue. R6 FIVE PRINCESS: Out of form since the 1980s, but back in contention, don't dismiss. HELLY BELLY: Has been disappointing but capable of better, each-way chance. ZAMBEZI ZIPPER: Winner of 3 here, strong chance. R7 GOODANYA: Due for a win, maps well from 7. GO LOTTE: Right race to win, weight off helps, consider. FIERY RED: Back to 1400m helps, will be running on. R8 STOP YELLING: Winner on this track, good chance in this field. AUTHORITY: Blinkers on, each-way chance. SAVABOURBON: Third run in, fitter now, adds interest. R9 MAGIC ACE: Southern debut, capable, will go close. THE IMMIGRANT: Racing in stronger fields, tough to beat. MININJAGIRL: In form, bad draw of 18, but will finish strong, watch. R10 EXPLOSIVE LASS: Maps well from 2, can win. MOALLA MISS: The one to watch, tough run at Riccarton. GABBY DIAZ: CC always wins one on this track, likely to finish strong, each-way chance.
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STEVEO's VALUE RUNNERs 31/05/2024
Steveo13 replied to Steveo13's topic in Thoroughbred Competitions and Tips
Riccarton Race Day Race 1: VOICE OVER: Second up after a spell, performs well when fresh. Good weight swing from first run, can't be dismissed. 1st 6.40 $3.20 SAILING AWAY & RUE DE RIVOLI: Worth considering. WATCH HORSE: ELUSIVE IMPACT: Dam won 9 races, strong trial performance on the 14th. Watch the tote. Race 2: CINNAMON GIRL: Strong chance with a great draw, capable of leading. Each way. 2nd $1.10 WISEMAN DIVA: Finished strong last time, solid chance. WATCH HORSES: GEORGIE: Impressive trial winner, from a winning family. FIRE AWAY: Tongue tie added, green on debut but had good trials, could surprise. Race 3: MORE THAN WORDS: Winner of 6 races, likes the surface, good draw, strong contender. SORCHA & KITH N KIM: Good draws, both have a chance. Each way. 2nd $3.20 Race 4: HEY NOW: Could be hard to beat if sets an even pace from barrier 2. 1st $2.60 $1.30 TIME IS KING: From an in-form stable, poor draw but worth considering. 2nd $1.90 DASH OF RED: Can surprise fresh, live chance if jumps well. Quinella, $7.30 Race 5: CHANNA: First time at 2200m, dam had a strong record at this distance, big chance. PEARL OPULENCE: In form, only concern is the distance. 1st $2.10 $1.10 RACCOURCI: Fought well last run, gear change may help her settle, strong chance. 2nd $1.40 Quinella, $7.70 Double $5.80 Concession $4.20 Race 6: OUR MILLY BEE: In good form, has placed on this surface, worth sticking with. DEMAND RESPECT: Top weight, loves the surface and distance, deserves respect. 3rd $1.60 SWAY UP & MY DEGREE: Stablemates bred for the distance, stable is hot right now. Consider. Race 7: BELLO MIO: Big run in the straight last time, just needs a little luck. CORRECTION: No luck recently, better over longer distances but has a chance here. PEGAU: Big drop in weight, will improve from last run. Consider. Race 8: STOLEN DECREE: Talented, second up after a break, fitter now, strong chance. INCA BELLE: Due for a win, best over 1200m, but a good chance here. TURF WAR: Back to 1600m, nice draw, the one to beat. 1st $3.10 $1.60 Race 9: KOPUTAROA: Unlucky last run, bred to be a star, close to finding form. KIKIMORA: Maps well, nice third last run. Each way. SINCERE: Back in same grade, carries a bit more weight but can figure in the finish from barrier 1. 1st $3.00 $1.60 Double $12.30 -
WANGANUI R1 NEVER LOOK BACK, eye catching at Woodville, drops 1 kg to 57.5kg happy to stick with. KAHU ROCK, winner on 7 on heavy tracks, looks well placed here 4th up. CARPE DIEM, last raced here on a heavy 10 on the 3/06/2023, went down a short margin to Kahu Rock, chance on that. R2 DURHAM LAD has had two trials to get him ready, good fresh record, E/W. WEWILLROCK, solid work this week over two rounds, question mark on heavy 10, but is fit. BOLD BELLE carries no weight here, major threat. R3 CONNELLO, nice recent win, looks like she will handle a heavy track, E/W, HE’s LUCID, adds interest here, strong late runs at both trials, unknown of heavy. BELARDI, likely favorite, smart type, super trainer, and jockey, hard to beat. R4 SOPHMAZE, nice work this week, has fresh record, big show. RINGTHEBELLEDARCI, showed readiness when a good second on a soft 6 at trials, grow another leg here, consider fresh. ICONIC LASS, happy to stick with here, worked home well at Taranaki meeting, E/W R5 BADGERTHEWITNESS, good trial win, however, it was right-handed. Will be running on. EYEGEEGEE, wont mid the heavy track and steps up in distance, rates here. BIKINDY, finds best form when track is heavy, one to beat here. WATCH HORSE, SHARADA, jump out winner this week, over 100m in 1.01.6, forward enough to be worth considering. R6 ELIUD, bred to run distance, dam won 4 from 1600m – 2400m, if handles the track, he is the bet of the day. NOTABADSPILLLANE, back out of group company, struggled right-handed, keep safe. LOCH KATRINE will handle the track, that’s a big help here. WATCH HORSE: BOZO, mid-week open trial winner in preparation for this, adds interest. R7 TURN THE ACE, winner of 8 from 23, looks well placed here. JUSTASKME, solid last week, expecting a big run this week. BELARDO BOY, loves the course and has won 3 of 5 at distance, will be thereabouts at finish. R8 PERFECT TEST, better suit here than of the soft 7 2nd up, can bounce back, SUBTLE TEASE, drops to light weight, was ok at Wellington, can back up. LADY PERFROMER, loves it wet, can win the last here. AUCKLAND R1 POKURU GOLD, super nice win against similar rivals, twice placed right-handed, one to beat. NAXOS, grand dam won 4 of 13 and won a little over $200,000, happy to give another shot here. CITY GIRL, backed win with a solid 2nd to favorite, maps well here to have one run late. E/W R2 SHAKING STEVENS, followed a nice trial win with a first up 4th. OPIE hops on and so should we. CASH TREASURE, little unlucky at Waikato, weight off and blinkers on, solid chance here. BAGGIO, winner right-handed at trials, will get a sit, will be in the finish. R3 DELZ ABEEL, has looked good working up to his first race-day start, watch tote. RAREZA, Cole runner who has had plenty of work before a nice 5th first up, happy to follow. THE EXPONENT, top jock onboard, gear changes and hard to beat here. Only question is the heavy nature of the track. R4 RAAJOICES, due to run into form, loves it wet and right-handed, expecting a big run here. TE ATATU MEMPHIS, suited by track and distance, fitter for two runs, strong chance. PRINCESS ADDA, fitter for recent racing, has been disappointing, but can figure when right. R5 WESSEX, showed real fight at Rotorua, maps to win here. LITTLE BIT OF LOVE, tricky draw, but is incredibly talented, E/W. ACQUAREILO, keeps going from strength to strength. Keep safe. KAKADU, the extra 200m suit this guy, good 2nd up record, don’t leave out. R6 WINEXPRESS, better for two runs in, solid trial placing before that, is coming to had, big watch. SLIVER JAVELIN, tricky draw, but drops in weight, goes ok right-handed, one to beat. FOOTLOOSE, super trial in the mud at Te Aroha on the 18/05/2024, finished strongly behind Pier, follow next few runs. E/W R7 MISTER PUCCI, is due after running home late last couple, more rain the better. JAFFIRA, drops to 57 kgs. Wide draw should help by this time, big show late. THREE NINETY, spotted charging home when 5th, ODDS. MALDINI, cannot beat winning form, draw 1 could be concern this time of the day, consider.
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STEVEO's VALUE RUNNERs 30/05/2024
Steveo13 replied to Steveo13's topic in Thoroughbred Competitions and Tips
Fielding Race Tips Race 1 IT’S AMERILA: Rated 59, should find this race easier. Hard to beat. 2nd $1.70 JAZZ WITH DRAGON: Performs well on this surface and will settle just off the lead. Worth considering. Race 2 SHOWBASTIAN COE: Capable of running sub-56, will be tough to catch if in the right mood. 1st $4.40 $2.20 WRITTEN UP: Drawn wide but has a good fresh record and has won on this course and distance in around 58.4. Race 3 ON ALERT: Held up at the wrong time here on May 5th, has a poor draw but will finish strong. TIKEMYSON: Enjoyed the soft 7 at Wellington, unlucky here on May 5th, has a chance if given clear air. 1st $2.10 $1.20 Double $13.00 DEALORNODEAL: Will have learned a lot from her 3 runs over 2000m, from a good stable, and is close to finding form. Race 4 JUSTASKPERCEY: Dropping back from R75, with 4 kgs off, brings the 7-year-old into contention. Likely to apply pressure from the 600m, big chance. HAYATE: Can't be left out even from draw 10, with a top jockey and stable. E/W. PATATUIM SIXTY-SIX: Drawn wide but showed promise at Wellington and is improving. Worth considering at odds. 1st $5.70 $2.00 Treble $144.80 Race 5 MANZAPPEAL: Blinkers on today, expecting a bounce back after being a short-price favorite last time. MISS ROSE: Ran out of room here on May 5th, can win if she gets a good start. From the same family as ALLY MCBEAL, who preferred a firmer surface. E/W. Race 6 BEE ENCHANTED: Has 3 wins on this surface, carrying 60kgs but still a good pick. 2nd $1.30 SHARE POWER: Hung while trying to take a gap last run, big chance if this is sorted. MOON MONEY: Talented but often her own worst enemy. Can't be left out. 3rd $1.80 -
Riccarton Race Day Race 1: VOICE OVER: Second up after a spell, performs well when fresh. Good weight swing from first run, can't be dismissed. SAILING AWAY & RUE DE RIVOLI: Worth considering. WATCH HORSE: ELUSIVE IMPACT: Dam won 9 races, strong trial performance on the 14th. Watch the tote. Race 2: CINNAMON GIRL: Strong chance with a great draw, capable of leading. Each way. WISEMAN DIVA: Finished strong last time, solid chance. WATCH HORSES: GEORGIE: Impressive trial winner, from a winning family. FIRE AWAY: Tongue tie added, green on debut but had good trials, could surprise. Race 3: MORE THAN WORDS: Winner of 6 races, likes the surface, good draw, strong contender. SORCHA & KITH N KIM: Good draws, both have a chance. Each way. Race 4: HEY NOW: Could be hard to beat if sets an even pace from barrier 2. TIME IS KING: From an in-form stable, poor draw but worth considering. DASH OF RED: Can surprise fresh, live chance if jumps well. Race 5: CHANNA: First time at 2200m, dam had a strong record at this distance, big chance. PEARL OPULENCE: In form, only concern is the distance. RACCOURCI: Fought well last run, gear change may help her settle, strong chance. Race 6: OUR MILLY BEE: In good form, has placed on this surface, worth sticking with. DEMAND RESPECT: Top weight, loves the surface and distance, deserves respect. SWAY UP & MY DEGREE: Stablemates bred for the distance, stable is hot right now. Consider. Race 7: BELLO MIO: Big run in the straight last time, just needs a little luck. CORRECTION: No luck recently, better over longer distances but has a chance here. PEGAU: Big drop in weight, will improve from last run. Consider. Race 8: STOLEN DECREE: Talented, second up after a break, fitter now, strong chance. INCA BELLE: Due for a win, best over 1200m, but a good chance here. TURF WAR: Back to 1600m, nice draw, the one to beat. Race 9: KOPUTAROA: Unlucky last run, bred to be a star, close to finding form. KIKIMORA: Maps well, nice third last run. Each way. SINCERE: Back in same grade, carries a bit more weight but can figure in the finish from barrier 1.
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STEVEO's VALUE RUNNERs 29/05/2024
Steveo13 replied to Steveo13's topic in Thoroughbred Competitions and Tips
Race 1 Lucky Bay: Short odds favorite with a top jockey and a favorable draw of 4. Best chance so far to win. Ist $2.10 $1.40 Holy Orange: Impressive last run, coming from behind from a draw of 6. With front hoof pads on again, if settled closer, can challenge the favorite. Show Me Love: Had issues with a heavy track last start but showed promise with a second in a trial on the same track. Keep an eye on. Trust Alone: Black booker with a strong pedigree. Worth watching based on its lineage and previous performances. Race 2 Arrowette: Expected to win soon and well-placed in this race. Should be the strongest contender. 2nd $1.70 Vino Valentino: Racing consistently well. A place on the surface makes him a major player. Breckon Power: Impressive trial winner. Should not be dismissed and could surprise. 3rd $2.40 Concession Double: $2.20 Race 3 Tregor: Might need one more race to hit peak form but comes from a strong family. Brynderwyn: Well-supported in previous starts, trial winner on this surface. Despite the bad draw, worth considering. 1st $12.10 $3.60 Finest Hours: Placed first up before, has a good draw and is well-placed. Race 4 Gasal: Strong finish in the last run, should benefit from the extra distance. Big show expected. 3rd $2.50 Racing Glory: Another runner who will benefit from more ground and is fitter for the last run. Each-way potential. Race 5 Hanalei: Should perform well on this surface and is expected to bounce back. 2nd $3.50 Poly Plum: Due for a win, with weight off and a good draw, will be tough to beat. Luxuriant: Despite struggling with distance previously, had a super win last time. Can't be ignored. Race 6 Tear of Victory: Gets a 2kg advantage over the favorite and has early tote support. Good each-way bet. Ultimate Focus: Likely favorite with good form but weight is a concern. 1st $1.70 $1.40 Delorean: With a 4kg advantage, could win by a margin if in top form. Race 7 Unequivocal: Forsman runner in good form, with money backing. Worth following. 2nd $1.50 Wry Smile: Indicated next-up potential with a fourth-place finish at Matamata. Good trial form but tricky draw. 3rd $2.30 Please Sir: Will enjoy the surface and the 2000m distance. With favorable weight and draw, has a big show. Race 8 You Know: Looks well-placed and appears to be the top contender in this race. Strong chance to win. Waihi Warrior: Coming in fitter after the last run, with distance and surface suiting well. Good value bet. 3rd $2.70 Jivetalkin: Showing signs of returning to form in trials. Fitter after two runs in and should handle the 2000m distance well. Worth watching. Overall Strategy: Focus on the strong favorites like Lucky Bay, Arrowette, and Unequivocal. Keep an eye on value bets and each-way options like Holy Orange, Gasal, and Tear of Victory. Watch out for horses with good trial form and favorable conditions such as Breckon Power, Brynderwyn, and Please Sir. Good luck with your selections! Quote