RaceCafe Tips Thread Updated Daily

[Shad]

6 hours ago, Pete Lane said:

Nice collect off King Palm. Took it at $15 on bet365 and it blew out to $34.

Happy days.

Well done, frustrating when those odds drift a lot longer, but any winning odds good ones,from memory he's same family as the good  horse palmetto, was trained down south but had a change of trainer since.

[nomates]

2 hours ago, Ohokaman said:

Weren’t synthetic tracks supposed to provide more certainty for the punter ?
Sure as hell didn’t at Riccarton today. Form out the window…

Cape Horn - ordinary 6th after 3rd

Pure Artist - looked good thing after close 2nd, very ordinary 4th

Sorcha/Caravella/ Tossuforit - 6th, 7th, 8th

Corps D’Elite - won last start, 15 lengths last today…

Avoriaz - good winner last start, 12th today

Alminette / Hot Cocoa- 4th and 7th after winning

Beau Brummell - big win last start,  11.5 lengths second last today…

Queen of Naples the only one to run up to last start form

Go Your Own Way, Correction and Franni Caccini worth following.

 

The thing is everybody thinks that these surfaces will be exactly the same each time but they are never grooming it exactly the same every time they do , so sometimes it's deeper or fluffier , In fact I wouldn't be surprised if the speed that a track was groomed affected it , and if someone is slower or faster than someone else the end condition is going to vary , and I'm sure if they had an "expert" do a study they would be surprised at the variations .

I have never found the form consistent at any of the tracks , hence won't bet on them 

[nomates]

2 hours ago, Ohokaman said:

Weren’t synthetic tracks supposed to provide more certainty for the punter ?
Sure as hell didn’t at Riccarton today. Form out the window…

Cape Horn - ordinary 6th after 3rd

Pure Artist - looked good thing after close 2nd, very ordinary 4th

Sorcha/Caravella/ Tossuforit - 6th, 7th, 8th

Corps D’Elite - won last start, 15 lengths last today…

Avoriaz - good winner last start, 12th today

Alminette / Hot Cocoa- 4th and 7th after winning

Beau Brummell - big win last start,  11.5 lengths second last today…

Queen of Naples the only one to run up to last start form

Go Your Own Way, Correction and Franni Caccini worth following.

 

The thing is everybody thinks that these surfaces will be exactly the same each time but they are never grooming it exactly the same every time they do , so sometimes it's deeper or fluffier , In fact I wouldn't be surprised if the speed that a track was groomed affected it , and if someone is slower or faster than someone else the end condition is going to vary , and I'm sure if they had an "expert" do a study they would be surprised at the variations .

I have never found the form consistent at any of the tracks , hence won't bet on them .

[nomates]

2 hours ago, Ohokaman said:

Weren’t synthetic tracks supposed to provide more certainty for the punter ?
Sure as hell didn’t at Riccarton today. Form out the window…

Cape Horn - ordinary 6th after 3rd

Pure Artist - looked good thing after close 2nd, very ordinary 4th

Sorcha/Caravella/ Tossuforit - 6th, 7th, 8th

Corps D’Elite - won last start, 15 lengths last today…

Avoriaz - good winner last start, 12th today

Alminette / Hot Cocoa- 4th and 7th after winning

Beau Brummell - big win last start,  11.5 lengths second last today…

Queen of Naples the only one to run up to last start form

Go Your Own Way, Correction and Franni Caccini worth following.

 

The thing is everybody thinks that these surfaces will be exactly the same each time but they are never grooming it exactly the same every time they do , so sometimes it's deeper or fluffier , In fact I wouldn't be surprised if the speed that a track was groomed affected it , and if someone is slower or faster than someone else the end condition is going to vary , and I'm sure if they had an "expert" do a study they would be surprised at the variations .

I have never found the form consistent at any of the tracks , hence won't bet on them .

[nomates]

Ok so your post doesn't disappear after pressing submit , hence the 3 posts . Sorry .

[nomates]

Now it bloody does , aarrgghh .

[Pak Star]

yeah yeah don't have to go on and on about it 

[Pete Lane]

5 hours ago, Shad said:

Well done, frustrating when those odds drift a lot longer, but any winning odds good ones,from memory he's same family as the good  horse palmetto, was trained down south but had a change of trainer since.

Ah but that's the point of my post. Bet365 pay out on the SP if it's higher than the price you took the bet at.

[Shad]

1 hour ago, Pete Lane said:

Ah but that's the point of my post. Bet365 pay out on the SP if it's higher than the price you took the bet at.

That's a good deal, well done, I'm a novice on the other tab platforms.

[Leggy]

18 hours ago, Pete Lane said:

Nice collect off King Palm. Took it at $15 on bet365 and it blew out to $34.

Happy days.

$51.27 BSP, not that I backed it.

[scooby3051]

2 hours ago, Leggy said:

$51.27 BSP, not that I backed it.

Pete knows his stuff...he is an asset here.

[Leggy]

2 minutes ago, scooby3051 said:

Pete knows his stuff...he is an asset here.

Very good punter. Knows how to win.

[scooby3051]

2 minutes ago, Leggy said:

Very good punter. Knows how to win.

Also a very decent bloke too...some could learn from him....

[Pete Lane]

Jeez guys you're embarrassing me.

[Shad]

Excuse my ignorance, but I thought they'd stopped overseas betting on other sites, or can one sneak in the backdoor.

[Pete Lane]

3 minutes ago, Shad said:

Excuse my ignorance, but I thought they'd stopped overseas betting on other sites, or can one sneak in the backdoor.

Quite legal at the moment but for how long who knows?

[Pete Lane]

Te Rapa

2. Taika

3. Mercurial 

4. Timetoplaythegame 

7. Irrigate

8. Teak

9. Mr Roquette 

10. Sulabella

[Pete Lane]

Wanganui

1. Fleeting Glimpse

2. Cypress

4. Steal My Thunder 

5. Bradman

[barryb]

11:08 wai R01  5 Doctor Iris       
11:41 wai R02  8 Justice           
12:18 wai R03  4 Caitlyns Wish     
12:50 wai R04  7 Haughty           
13:25 wai R05  1 Catch And Release 
14:02 wai R06  3 Renegade Fighter  
14:40 wai R07  5 Raajoices         
15:15 wai R08 13 Mesa Verde        
15:15 wai R08  6 Dangerous Liaisons
15:50 wai R09 10 Mister Roquette   
16:25 wai R10 12 Bak Da Angel      
16:25 wai R10  6 Joshua Brown     

 
12:00 wgu R01 10 Fleeting Glimpse  
12:35 wgu R02  8 War Queen         
13:10 wgu R03  6 Gum Basher        
13:50 wgu R04  2 Durham Lad        
14:32 wgu R05  4 Tavis Court       
15:42 wgu R07  5 Our Daymo         
15:42 wgu R07  6 Summer Breeze     
16:17 wgu R08 14 Our Lady Brooke   

We have a few similar Pete, best of luck this weekend.

[scooby3051]

Great to have you back Barry...lets see how our residents do against our new returnee...I will sit on the sidelines and know my place and its not as a tipster...that I am sure of....

[Ohokaman]

Early look…at odds….

Te Rapa R4 Rob’s Mistake $11/3.40 - big run last start.
Back in distance not ideal but will finish hard and worth following.

Rosehill R1  Aristocrat $21/4 - ran on well two back, didn’t handle heavy track last start…better track will suit as will distance. W Pinn rides, blinkers on first time.

Swift Legend $34/7 also in that race and same applies. Follow both.

Sandown R5 Until Valhalla $12/3.90 - stable expecting another honest run from our girl, the 3kg allowance will help.

[Ohokaman]

Early look…at odds….

Te Rapa R4 Rob’s Mistake $11/3.40 - big run last start.
Back in distance not ideal but will finish hard and worth following.

Rosehill R1  Aristocrat $21/4 - ran on well two back, didn’t handle heavy track last start…better track will suit as will distance. W Pinn rides, blinkers on first time.

Swift Legend $34/7 also in that race and same applies. Follow both.

Sandown R5 Until Valhalla $12/3.90 - stable expecting another honest run from our girl, the 3kg allowance will help.

One other at Eagle Farm..

R3 Brisbane Cup - Campaldino and Etna Rossa look the obvious.

The upsetter is Star Vega. $21/4 - Terrible form but on heavy tracks he hates. Freedmans have persisted and If EF continues to dry out, his form last year against Smokin Romans and Sea King would bring him right into contention here. Best form anti clockwise a query though.

[Basil brush]

Eagle Farm--Pier hoping for scratchings to get into the  Stradbroke but if they don't come he 

would have to be a gimmee in Race2.

[Pete Lane]

2 hours ago, Basil brush said:

Eagle Farm--Pier hoping for scratchings to get into the  Stradbroke but if they don't come he 

would have to be a gimmee in Race2.

Yep huge run last time and a big fan of the jockey.

[barryb]

Jockey Challenge overs today

Kylan Wiles $14.00

Toni Davies $5.00