RaceCafe Tips Thread Updated Daily

[Maximus]

3 hours ago, scooby3051 said:

Congrats nomates a big win from a very decent mare...she should be given a chance in a decent race on the grass...I would love to own one with anywhere near the amount of heart and ability that she has...she is a real trier with a great will to win.

to whom do we refer? Brazen Beau?

[nomates]

30 minutes ago, Maximus said:

to whom do we refer? Brazen Beau?

Yes .

[Ohokaman]

38 minutes ago, Maximus said:

to whom do we refer? Brazen Beau?

Brazen Affair actually….

[Maximus]

36 minutes ago, Ohokaman said:

Brazen Affair actually….

LOl I meant Brazen Affair, just came out wrong! Well done indeed.

[nomates]

4 minutes ago, Maximus said:

LOl I meant Brazen Affair, just came out wrong! Well done indeed.

And there was me think you were just trying to be subtle .

[Ohokaman]

On 9/8/2025 at 8:01 PM, Ohokaman said:

In at Sandown on Wednesday R3. Scratched on Saturday for this.

Back in distance only negative @  $5.

Did you get on Maxi ? She was very impressive today……

[Maximus]

16 minutes ago, Ohokaman said:

Did you get on Maxi ? She was very impressive today……

left the race alone but saw the win. Very good indeed.

[Theladdownsouth]

Antz Official Saturday Set

Turning up the heat this Saturday

Saturday’s program across Riccarton, Rosehill, and Flemington features debutants with potential, proven Group performers, and value plays. The card offers opportunities for confident selections and strategic wagers alike.

Best Bets

Riccarton
• Race 1 #11 War Of Silence – A well-bred colt making his debut. Trials show ability and composure. Drawn to settle comfortably, he should feature in the finish.

Rosehill
• Race 6 #1 Autumn Boy – A high-class colt with proven Sydney metropolitan form. Tactical versatility and a strong finishing burst make him a reliable anchor.
• Race 7 #2 Jolliestar – A seasoned mare with consistent top-level performances. Late acceleration and racecraft make her a genuine threat in races with a strong tempo.
• Race 9 #5 Autumn Glow – Honest and consistent, this mare thrives under tempo and is expected to finish strongly.

Flemington
• Race 8 #5 Via Sistina – An established champion, fully race-fit and proven at the highest level. Tactical versatility and a sustained, powerful finishing burst suit Flemington’s long straight perfectly. Under James McDonald, she is expected to dominate late.
• Race 9 #3 Lazzura – A lightly raced filly with clear progressive potential. Expected to settle midfield and finish strongly.

Each-Way Play

Flemington
• Race 5 #5 Warnie – A reliable gelding who consistently finishes strongly. Durable and consistent, making him an attractive each-way option.
Value Shot

Flemington
• Race 10 #8 Pounding – Back to an ideal trip with expected solid tempo. Market undervaluation makes him a strong value play.

Closing Thoughts

Saturday’s card allows for a layered approach:
• Riccarton: War Of Silence is an intriguing debutant.
• Rosehill: Autumn Boy and Jolliestar provide high-class anchors, while Autumn Glow adds reliable late-program coverage.
• Flemington: The principal theatre for high-confidence and strategic plays. Via Sistina is the standout champion; Lazzura offers progressive upside; Warnie delivers dependable each-way value; Pounding presents genuine market value.
Combining confident selections with calculated value plays positions punters to maximise both certainty and profit potential across all three venues.

[Ohokaman]

14 hours ago, Maximus said:

left the race alone but saw the win. Very good indeed.

What’s that about horses and water……?

[Shad]

Did like endean ace today in the Jericho qualifier,  but didnt get a start, is in tomorrow at matamata, but out of class, see a few jumpers in the Jericho race today,anyone know if there's a condition for gaining a start in the qualifying race.

[Ohokaman]

A couple at Kembla today worth a look.

R1 Uncle Barry $12 - ex Kiwi, disappointing over there but better last time.

R3 Lady Giovanna $4.50 - McEvoy on for Waller, stable like it.

[Ohokaman]

One at Newcastle today.

Been following GREBENI for a while now, has been unlucky multiple times.

Good second up (3/5) and McEvoy has won on him five times.

$17/4 looks worth a bet.

EX kiwi NATOYA ($14) fresh up on Saturday Newcastle R8.

Looked very good winning here for Roger James.

 

 

[Maximus]

7 minutes ago, Ohokaman said:

One at Newcastle today.

Been following GREBENI for a while now, has been unlucky multiple times.

Good second up (3/5) and McEvoy has won on him five times.

$17/4 looks worth a bet.

EX kiwi NATOYA ($14) fresh up on Saturday Newcastle R8.

Looked very good winning here for Roger James.

 

 

OK, by Hokey....no pressure!

[Ohokaman]

6 hours ago, Maximus said:

OK, by Hokey....no pressure!

Apologies Maxy..so much for stats, that was an awful run……

[Maximus]

8 minutes ago, Ohokaman said:

Apologies Maxy..so much for stats, that was an awful run……

win some, lose some

[nomates]

Couple of things of interest at Flemington todAY .

Race 2 Seychelles , full sister to Prowess .

And good luck to Suzy Gordon , has Ka Ying Lucky in R6 carrying 60.5 over 1100m , big ask but good on her and the owners for having a crack .

[Shad]

Good win for the battlers today, miss onaki, long time between drinks since last win, broke my punting drought to,  fixed odds caught me out again, went from 27s to 40s in short time, one doubts there changes an how they set them, pleased tor the connections, she's had a few trainers and owners, and may have been in the pike stable early on.

[say no more]

On 9/6/2025 at 1:26 PM, say no more said:

Randwick R6 - Apocalyptic - spotted this one at the trials in the summer and went a nice race in its only start.  Was well in the Slipper market but something must have gone wrong with that prep.  Couple of nice easy trials leading into this and has a top jockey up and hopefully gets a nice trip from the ace draw.

This girl is pretty good.  $2 favourite now to win the Flight Stakes.

[sunlineboy]

Couldn't quite believe the betting drift on Saturday. She did it tough and still put them away with ease.

[Maximus]

On 9/21/2025 at 4:06 PM, Shad said:

Good win for the battlers today, miss onaki, long time between drinks since last win, broke my punting drought to,  fixed odds caught me out again, went from 27s to 40s in short time, one doubts there changes an how they set them, pleased tor the connections, she's had a few trainers and owners, and may have been in the pike stable early on.

 seem to remember her breaking maidens at Ellerslie? At least 2 mebbe 3 years ago...

[Alf Riston]

James Cummings rated this horse (alongside Beiwacht) as being lined up for some big races so looks decent money on offer in a minor race at Sandown R3?

The drift possibly a worry but I'm going anyway 

[Alf Riston]

Marble Arch might be worth a look at MV R8 tonight - went well first up and at decent money - could get caught off the track is the worry but should give you a decent run for your $

[Ohokaman]

I’ll be following up on Skybird at $7.50 in a good race.

La Dorada looks well placed in R5 18 rating points ahead of anything else at set weights. ( Fave is R78 ) $10 looks value but no money for it so far.

Interested to see how Point Barrow goes ( R70 )..this is tough but she is good.

[say no more]

I'm keen on Baraqiel in the Manikato tonight.  Loves Moonee Valley and won very well last start.  3rd run back from a spell should be at peak for this.  I've gone Win/Show/Place on fixed odds.  Win ($5), Show ($2.50) and Place ($1.70).  Charm Stone my roughie from the good gate ($3 Top 4).

On a different note, when has Roger James ever had a 2yo racing in September?  The world has gone mad!  (Otaki R2, Spellbound).

[sunlineboy]

A good run from Point Barrow

Punters graveyard so far at The Valley, as always. Treasurethe Moment and Lady Shen looking to end that.