Steveo13

Auckland Best bets & Roughie's- 19 June 2024

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Race 1

Best Bet: Great Adventure

  • Recent Performance: 5th in the Listed Staphanos at Novara Park Champagne Stakes over 1600m, indicating good form.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Competed at a higher level in a listed race, showing potential.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: Only one start on heavy track, placing 5th, suggesting it can handle heavy conditions better than most of the field.

Best Roughie: Elegant Jazz

  • Recent Performance: 5th in the Storage Bream Bay over 1200m, with a strong closing section (34.82 for the last 600m).
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has some race experience and decent performance over a similar distance.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: While there is no specific heavy track form, the strong finish in the last race suggests potential in tough conditions.

Race2

Best Bet: Rubyshowoff

  • Recent Performance: 5th place finishes in its last two races, showing consistent form.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has some experience over similar distances and performed decently.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: Performed reasonably well on heavy tracks before, indicating it can handle the conditions.

Best Roughie: Shockatillatap

  • Recent Performance: 3rd place in its last start over 1600m, indicating a good recent form.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Competed well over the distance and on similar tracks.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: Although not heavily experienced, its recent form suggests potential.

Race 3

Best Bet: Ramblin' Rose

  • Recent Performance: Finished 5th and 3rd in its last two races, showing consistent improvement.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has race experience and performed well over similar distances.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: While specific heavy track performance isn't detailed, its recent form suggests it can handle varying conditions.

Best Roughie: Rareza

  • Recent Performance: Finished 2nd in its last race, indicating strong recent form.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Limited race experience but showed promise in its recent start.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: No specific heavy track form mentioned, but its strong finish in the last race suggests potential.

Race 4

Best Bet

Delz Abeel

  • Recent Form: Delz Abeel showed promise in his last race, finishing third in a 14-horse field over 1200m. His performance indicates he is in good form and competitive.
  • Track and Distance Suitability: He performed well on a heavy track, showing he can handle the conditions.
  • Comments: With recent form and demonstrated ability to handle a heavy track, Delz Abeel looks like a solid bet.

Best Roughie

Johnny Rondo (silk5X4)

  • Recent Form: Johnny Rondo finished fourth in his last race over 1200m. While not a standout, he showed enough promise to be considered a roughie.
  • Track and Distance Suitability: He has some experience on heavy tracks, which could give him an edge in this race.
  • Comments: At longer odds, Johnny Rondo could provide good value if he improves on his recent form.

Race 5

Best Bet: Camden

  • Recent Performance: Finished 3rd in its last race, indicating good form and potential.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has shown the ability to handle the conditions.
  • Overall Suitability: With a strong recent performance and added gear (Shadow Roll), Camden is well-positioned to perform well in this race.

Best Roughie: Sheeze A Breeze

  • Recent Performance: Finished 3rd in one of its recent races and has shown some form.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has some experience and could handle the heavy track conditions.
  • Overall Suitability: As a roughie, Sheeze A Breeze has the potential to surprise at longer odds, especially with previous top-three finishes.

Race 6

Best Bet: Baggio

  • Recent Performance: Baggio has shown consistent form with placements, including a second-place finish.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has been competitive in recent races, indicating good adaptability.
  • Overall Suitability: Baggio's consistency makes him a strong contender for this race.

Best Roughie: Pacifico

  • Recent Performance: Pacifico has had competitive finishes, including a second-place finish.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Shows potential to perform well, especially considering recent form.
  • Overall Suitability: As a roughie, Pacifico presents good value with the potential to outperform expectations.

Race 7 

Best Bet: Poetic Justice

  • Recent Form: Poetic Justice has shown consistency, with a recent second-place finish indicating good form.
  • Track Suitability: Handles wet tracks well, which is crucial for performance on a heavy track.
  • Improvement: The 3-year-old gelding is showing signs of improvement, making him a strong contender.

Best Roughie: Pacifico

  • Recent Form: Pacifico has placed in the top three in recent races, including a close second.
  • Track Suitability: Has experience on wet tracks, which might give him an edge.
  • Value: Likely to offer longer odds, providing a good value bet as a roughie with potential to be in it here.

Race 8

Best Bet: Charlbury

  • Recent Form: Charlbury has shown consistent performance, including a strong second-place finish last time out.
  • Track Suitability: Handles heavy tracks well, with previous good performances on wet conditions.
  • Consistency: Recent form indicates reliability, making Charlbury a strong contender.

Best Roughie: Penurious

  • Recent Form: Despite mixed recent results, Penurious has had a notable second-place finish in the past.
  • Track Suitability: Has experience on heavy tracks and can perform well if conditions favor.
  • Value: Likely to have longer odds, providing good value as a roughie with potential to place.

Race 9

Best Bet: Hey Hey Baby

  • Recent Performance: Hey Hey Baby has a strong recent win, indicating good form.
  • Track Experience: Performs well in wet conditions and has shown ability to handle heavy tracks.
  • Consistency: Consistent performer with a strong recent run, making it a reliable bet.

Best Roughie: Madiran

  • Recent Performance: Madiran finished third last time out, showing improvement.
  • Track Experience: Has some experience in wet conditions and can perform well if the track is heavy.
  • Value: Given its recent improvement and longer odds, Madiran is a good value pick.

 

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Race 1

Best Bet: Great Adventure

  • Recent Performance: 5th in the Listed Staphanos at Novara Park Champagne Stakes over 1600m, indicating good form.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Competed at a higher level in a listed race, showing potential.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: Only one start on heavy track, placing 5th, suggesting it can handle heavy conditions better than most of the field.

Best Roughie: Elegant Jazz (3RD) $1.70

  • Recent Performance: 5th in the Storage Bream Bay over 1200m, with a strong closing section (34.82 for the last 600m).
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has some race experience and decent performance over a similar distance.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: While there is no specific heavy track form, the strong finish in the last race suggests potential in tough conditions.

Race2

Best Bet: Rubyshowoff

  • Recent Performance: 5th place finishes in its last two races, showing consistent form.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has some experience over similar distances and performed decently.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: Performed reasonably well on heavy tracks before, indicating it can handle the conditions.

Best Roughie: Shockatillatap

  • Recent Performance: 3rd place in its last start over 1600m, indicating a good recent form.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Competed well over the distance and on similar tracks.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: Although not heavily experienced, its recent form suggests potential.

Race 3

Best Bet: Ramblin' Rose

  • Recent Performance: Finished 5th and 3rd in its last two races, showing consistent improvement.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has race experience and performed well over similar distances.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: While specific heavy track performance isn't detailed, its recent form suggests it can handle varying conditions.

Best Roughie: Rareza (1ST $1.70 $1.40)

  • Recent Performance: Finished 2nd in its last race, indicating strong recent form.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Limited race experience but showed promise in its recent start.
  • Heavy Track Suitability: No specific heavy track form mentioned, but its strong finish in the last race suggests potential.

Race 4

Best Bet

Delz Abeel (3RD) $1.20

  • Recent Form: Delz Abeel showed promise in his last race, finishing third in a 14-horse field over 1200m. His performance indicates he is in good form and competitive.
  • Track and Distance Suitability: He performed well on a heavy track, showing he can handle the conditions.
  • Comments: With recent form and demonstrated ability to handle a heavy track, Delz Abeel looks like a solid bet.

Best Roughie

Johnny Rondo (silk5X4)

  • Recent Form: Johnny Rondo finished fourth in his last race over 1200m. While not a standout, he showed enough promise to be considered a roughie.
  • Track and Distance Suitability: He has some experience on heavy tracks, which could give him an edge in this race.
  • Comments: At longer odds, Johnny Rondo could provide good value if he improves on his recent form.

Race 5

Best Bet: Camden

  • Recent Performance: Finished 3rd in its last race, indicating good form and potential.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has shown the ability to handle the conditions.
  • Overall Suitability: With a strong recent performance and added gear (Shadow Roll), Camden is well-positioned to perform well in this race.

Best Roughie: Sheeze A Breeze

  • Recent Performance: Finished 3rd in one of its recent races and has shown some form.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has some experience and could handle the heavy track conditions.
  • Overall Suitability: As a roughie, Sheeze A Breeze has the potential to surprise at longer odds, especially with previous top-three finishes.

Race 6

Best Bet: Baggio

  • Recent Performance: Baggio has shown consistent form with placements, including a second-place finish.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Has been competitive in recent races, indicating good adaptability.
  • Overall Suitability: Baggio's consistency makes him a strong contender for this race.

Best Roughie: Pacifico

  • Recent Performance: Pacifico has had competitive finishes, including a second-place finish.
  • Track and Distance Experience: Shows potential to perform well, especially considering recent form.
  • Overall Suitability: As a roughie, Pacifico presents good value with the potential to outperform expectations.

Race 7 

Best Bet: Poetic Justice

  • Recent Form: Poetic Justice has shown consistency, with a recent second-place finish indicating good form.
  • Track Suitability: Handles wet tracks well, which is crucial for performance on a heavy track.
  • Improvement: The 3-year-old gelding is showing signs of improvement, making him a strong contender.

Best Roughie: Pacifico

  • Recent Form: Pacifico has placed in the top three in recent races, including a close second.
  • Track Suitability: Has experience on wet tracks, which might give him an edge.
  • Value: Likely to offer longer odds, providing a good value bet as a roughie with potential to be in it here.

Race 8

Best Bet: Charlbury (2ND) $2.20

  • Recent Form: Charlbury has shown consistent performance, including a strong second-place finish last time out.
  • Track Suitability: Handles heavy tracks well, with previous good performances on wet conditions.
  • Consistency: Recent form indicates reliability, making Charlbury a strong contender.

Best Roughie: Penurious  (1ST) $7.80 $3.10

  • Recent Form: Despite mixed recent results, Penurious has had a notable second-place finish in the past.
  • Track Suitability: Has experience on heavy tracks and can perform well if conditions favor.
  • Value: Likely to have longer odds, providing good value as a roughie with potential to place.

Race 9

Best Bet: Hey Hey Baby (2ND) $2.00

  • Recent Performance: Hey Hey Baby has a strong recent win, indicating good form.
  • Track Experience: Performs well in wet conditions and has shown ability to handle heavy tracks.
  • Consistency: Consistent performer with a strong recent run, making it a reliable bet.

Best Roughie: Madiran (3RD) $2.90

  • Recent Performance: Madiran finished third last time out, showing improvement.
  • Track Experience: Has some experience in wet conditions and can perform well if the track is heavy.
  • Value: Given its recent improvement and longer odds, Madiran is a good value pick.

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