Wellington Best Bets & Roughie's 15/06/2024

[Steveo13]

Race 1  - Best Bet

Pokuru Gold 

• Recent Form: Unbeaten in three outings and has impressed each time.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Although there's no previous course or distance experience listed, the unbeaten record and impressive performances make this horse a strong contender.
• Comments: Pokuru Gold’s undefeated streak and ability to perform well under varying conditions make it the most reliable bet.

Best Roughie

Bella Timing 

• Recent Form: Finished 6th in a Rating 65 Benchmark race last start.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown ability but has not yet performed to its full potential.
• Comments: Given that Bella Timing is stepping back to its own age group and has had a freshening period, it might outperform expectations, making it a good roughie bet in this race.

 

Race 2 - Best Bet

Bruno 

• Recent Form: Has had some good placings, showing consistent performance.
• Track and Distance Suitability: While the details on specific performances in heavy conditions are limited, Bruno’s consistent form suggests he can handle the conditions well.
• Comments: Given his consistent placings and potential for improvement, Bruno stands out as the most reliable bet.

Best Roughie

Faustian Bargain 

• Recent Form: Showed a strong performance with a 2nd place finish in the most recent race.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has placed in a variety of conditions, and recent form indicates he could handle the heavy track well.
• Comments: Faustian Bargain has the potential to outperform expectations, making him a good roughie bet in this race.

 

Race 3 -Best Bet

The Finnster 

• Recent Form: Resumed with a strong win at Whanganui in a Rating 65 Benchmark race over 1340m.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has significant experience on various tracks and handles wet conditions well.
• Comments: The Finnster’s recent win and consistent performance make him a strong contender, especially on a heavy track.

Best Roughie

Who's Complainin 

• Recent Form: Two solid runs back this time, with a good performance in both.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Handles wet tracks well, with one win and three placings on heavy tracks.
• Comments: Who's Complainin shows potential and form that can be competitive in these conditions, making him a value bet.

Race 4 -Best Bet

Miss Dixie 

• Recent Form: Fought well for third when resuming at Taranaki in a Rating 65 Benchmark Fillies and Mares race over 1200m.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Proven performer over similar distances and has shown ability on heavy tracks.
• Comments: Miss Dixie’s recent performance, coupled with her ability to handle wet conditions, makes her a strong contender in this race.

Best Roughie

Perfect Turn 

• Recent Form: Fresh up after a long break, with the best run coming in a fresh state last time in.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown promise in past performances, especially when fresh.
• Comments: Perfect Turn has the potential to surprise, especially given his form when fresh and his recent trial.

 Race 5 -Best Bet

Aljay 

• Recent Form: Consistently strong performances, including a second place in the Rotorua Cup (Listed Race) over 2200m. Also, has run three top races this prep.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Proven ability on heavy tracks with solid form, including multiple top finishes on wet surfaces.
• Comments: Aljay’s consistent form and demonstrated capability on heavy tracks make him the best bet for this race.

Best Roughie

Soldier Boy (silk57657)

• Recent Form: While the recent form has been mixed, Soldier Boy has shown potential with a fair fifth at Taranaki and excuses for a less favorable performance last time.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has the capability to perform well in heavy conditions, with previous success on wet tracks.
• Comments: Given his ability to handle heavy tracks and previous form, Soldier Boy represents a value bet as the best roughie in this race.

Race 6 -Best Bet

King Khan 

• Recent Form: Consistently strong performances, including a second place in the Dunstan Horse-feeds 2200m. Has been close in previous races with a good second at Counties.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Proven on heavy tracks with multiple top finishes. The step up in distance and wetter conditions should suit him.
• Comments: King Khan’s consistent form and proven ability on heavy tracks make him the best bet in this race.

Best Roughie

Ronin Porotene 

• Recent Form: Although form has been mixed, Ronin Porotene showed improvement with a better performance at Hawera. Previous races in wet conditions have been promising.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Prefers heavy tracks and the extra distance should help. Has performed well in similar conditions before.
• Comments: With a preference for heavy tracks and an improved recent performance, Ronin Porotene represents good value as the best roughie in this race.

Race 7 - Best Bet 

Conor O'Ceirin's

• Recent Form: Strong performance with a third place in his last start, indicating good form. His previous runs also show consistent placing, suggesting reliability.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Handles heavy tracks well and has a solid record over similar distances. His racing style suits wet conditions.
• Comments: Conor O'Ceirin's recent form and proven ability on heavy tracks make him the best bet for this race.

Best Roughie

Hot Shockolate 

• Recent Form: Has not performed well in the last few races, which is why he is considered a roughie. However, his breeding suggests he can handle wet tracks (sired by Shocking, known for producing wet-track performers).
• Track and Distance Suitability: Although recent form is poor, the heavy 10 track may bring out his best, considering his pedigree and past performances in wet conditions.
• Comments: Hot Shockolate could surprise at good odds due to his potential on heavy tracks despite his recent lackluster performances.

Race 8 -Best Bet

Pinkerton 

• Recent Form: Pinkerton has shown strong recent form with a win in his last race, indicating good fitness and condition. Additionally, his second place in the race before that further demonstrates his competitive edge.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Proven to handle wet conditions well and has a solid record over similar distances.
• Comments: Pinkerton's consistency and recent wins make him a reliable choice for this race, especially on a heavy track.

Best Roughie

Wheelitin 

• Recent Form: Won her last start, showing a return to form. Previous form was not impressive, which keeps her odds high.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown she can perform on heavy tracks and is adaptable over different distances.
• Comments: Wheelitin offers good value as a roughie with a recent win indicating she might be hitting peak form at the right time.

[Steveo13]

Race 1  - Best Bet

Pokuru Gold 

• Recent Form: Unbeaten in three outings and has impressed each time.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Although there's no previous course or distance experience listed, the unbeaten record and impressive performances make this horse a strong contender.
• Comments: Pokuru Gold’s undefeated streak and ability to perform well under varying conditions make it the most reliable bet.

Best Roughie

Bella Timing  (2ND) $2.60

• Recent Form: Finished 6th in a Rating 65 Benchmark race last start.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown ability but has not yet performed to its full potential.
• Comments: Given that Bella Timing is stepping back to its own age group and has had a freshening period, it might outperform expectations, making it a good roughie bet in this race.

 

Race 2 - Best Bet

Bruno 

• Recent Form: Has had some good placings, showing consistent performance.
• Track and Distance Suitability: While the details on specific performances in heavy conditions are limited, Bruno’s consistent form suggests he can handle the conditions well.
• Comments: Given his consistent placings and potential for improvement, Bruno stands out as the most reliable bet.

Best Roughie

Faustian Bargain 

• Recent Form: Showed a strong performance with a 2nd place finish in the most recent race.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has placed in a variety of conditions, and recent form indicates he could handle the heavy track well.
• Comments: Faustian Bargain has the potential to outperform expectations, making him a good roughie bet in this race.

 

Race 3 -Best Bet

The Finnster 

• Recent Form: Resumed with a strong win at Whanganui in a Rating 65 Benchmark race over 1340m.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has significant experience on various tracks and handles wet conditions well.
• Comments: The Finnster’s recent win and consistent performance make him a strong contender, especially on a heavy track.

Best Roughie

Who's Complainin 

• Recent Form: Two solid runs back this time, with a good performance in both.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Handles wet tracks well, with one win and three placings on heavy tracks.
• Comments: Who's Complainin shows potential and form that can be competitive in these conditions, making him a value bet.

Race 4 -Best Bet

Miss Dixie (1ST) $9.90 $2.70

• Recent Form: Fought well for third when resuming at Taranaki in a Rating 65 Benchmark Fillies and Mares race over 1200m.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Proven performer over similar distances and has shown ability on heavy tracks.
• Comments: Miss Dixie’s recent performance, coupled with her ability to handle wet conditions, makes her a strong contender in this race.

Best Roughie

Perfect Turn 

• Recent Form: Fresh up after a long break, with the best run coming in a fresh state last time in.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown promise in past performances, especially when fresh.
• Comments: Perfect Turn has the potential to surprise, especially given his form when fresh and his recent trial.

 Race 5 -Best Bet

Aljay 

• Recent Form: Consistently strong performances, including a second place in the Rotorua Cup (Listed Race) over 2200m. Also, has run three top races this prep.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Proven ability on heavy tracks with solid form, including multiple top finishes on wet surfaces.
• Comments: Aljay’s consistent form and demonstrated capability on heavy tracks make him the best bet for this race.

Best Roughie

Soldier Boy (silk57657)

• Recent Form: While the recent form has been mixed, Soldier Boy has shown potential with a fair fifth at Taranaki and excuses for a less favorable performance last time.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has the capability to perform well in heavy conditions, with previous success on wet tracks.
• Comments: Given his ability to handle heavy tracks and previous form, Soldier Boy represents a value bet as the best roughie in this race.

Race 6 -Best Bet

King Khan (1ST) $5.30 $2.10

• Recent Form: Consistently strong performances, including a second place in the Dunstan Horse-feeds 2200m. Has been close in previous races with a good second at Counties.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Proven on heavy tracks with multiple top finishes. The step up in distance and wetter conditions should suit him.
• Comments: King Khan’s consistent form and proven ability on heavy tracks make him the best bet in this race.

Best Roughie

Ronin Porotene 

• Recent Form: Although form has been mixed, Ronin Porotene showed improvement with a better performance at Hawera. Previous races in wet conditions have been promising.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Prefers heavy tracks and the extra distance should help. Has performed well in similar conditions before.
• Comments: With a preference for heavy tracks and an improved recent performance, Ronin Porotene represents good value as the best roughie in this race.

Race 7 - Best Bet 

Conor O'Ceirin's

• Recent Form: Strong performance with a third place in his last start, indicating good form. His previous runs also show consistent placing, suggesting reliability.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Handles heavy tracks well and has a solid record over similar distances. His racing style suits wet conditions.
• Comments: Conor O'Ceirin's recent form and proven ability on heavy tracks make him the best bet for this race.

Best Roughie

Hot Shockolate 

• Recent Form: Has not performed well in the last few races, which is why he is considered a roughie. However, his breeding suggests he can handle wet tracks (sired by Shocking, known for producing wet-track performers).
• Track and Distance Suitability: Although recent form is poor, the heavy 10 track may bring out his best, considering his pedigree and past performances in wet conditions.
• Comments: Hot Shockolate could surprise at good odds due to his potential on heavy tracks despite his recent lackluster performances.

Race 8 -Best Bet

Pinkerton (1ST) $5.30 $2.00

• Recent Form: Pinkerton has shown strong recent form with a win in his last race, indicating good fitness and condition. Additionally, his second place in the race before that further demonstrates his competitive edge.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Proven to handle wet conditions well and has a solid record over similar distances.
• Comments: Pinkerton's consistency and recent wins make him a reliable choice for this race, especially on a heavy track.

Best Roughie

Wheelitin 

• Recent Form: Won her last start, showing a return to form. Previous form was not impressive, which keeps her odds high.
• Track and Distance Suitability: Has shown she can perform on heavy tracks and is adaptable over different distances.
• Comments: Wheelitin offers good value as a roughie with a recent win indicating she might be hitting peak form at the right time.