Steveo13

STEVEO's VALUE RUNNERs 29/05/2024

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Here's a summary and some insights on your selections for the races at Waikato:

Race 1

  • Lucky Bay: Short odds favorite with a top jockey and a favorable draw of 4. Best chance so far to win.
  • Holy Orange: Impressive last run, coming from behind from a draw of 6. With front hoof pads on again, if settled closer, can challenge the favorite.
  • Show Me Love: Had issues with a heavy track last start but showed promise with a second in a trial on the same track. Keep an eye on.
  • Trust Alone: Black booker with a strong pedigree. Worth watching based on its lineage and previous performances.

Race 2

  • Arrowette: Expected to win soon and well-placed in this race. Should be the strongest contender.
  • Vino Valentino: Racing consistently well. A place on the surface makes him a major player.
  • Breckon Power: Impressive trial winner. Should not be dismissed and could surprise.

Race 3

  • Tregor: Might need one more race to hit peak form but comes from a strong family.
  • Brynderwyn: Well-supported in previous starts, trial winner on this surface. Despite the bad draw, worth considering.
  • Finest Hours: Placed first up before, has a good draw and is well-placed.

Race 4

  • Gasal: Strong finish in the last run, should benefit from the extra distance. Big show expected.
  • Racing Glory: Another runner who will benefit from more ground and is fitter for the last run. Each-way potential.

Race 5

  • Hanalei: Should perform well on this surface and is expected to bounce back.
  • Poly Plum: Due for a win, with weight off and a good draw, will be tough to beat.
  • Luxuriant: Despite struggling with distance previously, had a super win last time. Can't be ignored.

Race 6

  • Tear of Victory: Gets a 2kg advantage over the favorite and has early tote support. Good each-way bet.
  • Ultimate Focus: Likely favorite with good form but weight is a concern.
  • Delorean: With a 4kg advantage, could win by a margin if in top form.

Race 7

  • Unequivocal: Forsman runner in good form, with money backing. Worth following.
  • Wry Smile: Indicated next-up potential with a fourth-place finish at Matamata. Good trial form but tricky draw.
  • Please Sir: Will enjoy the surface and the 2000m distance. With favorable weight and draw, has a big show.

Race 8

  • You Know: Looks well-placed and appears to be the top contender in this race. Strong chance to win.
  • Waihi Warrior: Coming in fitter after the last run, with distance and surface suiting well. Good value bet.
  • Jivetalkin: Showing signs of returning to form in trials. Fitter after two runs in and should handle the 2000m distance well. Worth watching.

Overall Strategy:

  • Focus on the strong favorites like Lucky Bay, Arrowette, and Unequivocal.
  • Keep an eye on value bets and each-way options like Holy Orange, Gasal, and Tear of Victory.
  • Watch out for horses with good trial form and favorable conditions such as Breckon Power, Brynderwyn, and Please Sir.

Good luck with your selections!


 

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Race 1

  • Lucky Bay: Short odds favorite with a top jockey and a favorable draw of 4. Best chance so far to win.
    • Ist $2.10 $1.40
  • Holy Orange: Impressive last run, coming from behind from a draw of 6. With front hoof pads on again, if settled closer, can challenge the favorite.
  • Show Me Love: Had issues with a heavy track last start but showed promise with a second in a trial on the same track. Keep an eye on.
  • Trust Alone: Black booker with a strong pedigree. Worth watching based on its lineage and previous performances.

Race 2

  • Arrowette: Expected to win soon and well-placed in this race. Should be the strongest contender.
    • 2nd $1.70
  • Vino Valentino: Racing consistently well. A place on the surface makes him a major player.
  • Breckon Power: Impressive trial winner. Should not be dismissed and could surprise.
    • 3rd $2.40

Concession Double: $2.20

Race 3

  • Tregor: Might need one more race to hit peak form but comes from a strong family.
  • Brynderwyn: Well-supported in previous starts, trial winner on this surface. Despite the bad draw, worth considering.
    • 1st $12.10  $3.60
  • Finest Hours: Placed first up before, has a good draw and is well-placed.

Race 4

  • Gasal: Strong finish in the last run, should benefit from the extra distance. Big show expected.
    • 3rd $2.50
  • Racing Glory: Another runner who will benefit from more ground and is fitter for the last run. Each-way potential.

Race 5

  • Hanalei: Should perform well on this surface and is expected to bounce back.
    • 2nd $3.50
  • Poly Plum: Due for a win, with weight off and a good draw, will be tough to beat.
  • Luxuriant: Despite struggling with distance previously, had a super win last time. Can't be ignored.

Race 6

  • Tear of Victory: Gets a 2kg advantage over the favorite and has early tote support. Good each-way bet.
  • Ultimate Focus: Likely favorite with good form but weight is a concern.
    • 1st $1.70 $1.40
  • Delorean: With a 4kg advantage, could win by a margin if in top form.

Race 7

  • Unequivocal: Forsman runner in good form, with money backing. Worth following.
    • 2nd $1.50
  • Wry Smile: Indicated next-up potential with a fourth-place finish at Matamata. Good trial form but tricky draw.
    • 3rd $2.30
  • Please Sir: Will enjoy the surface and the 2000m distance. With favorable weight and draw, has a big show.

Race 8

  • You Know: Looks well-placed and appears to be the top contender in this race. Strong chance to win.
  • Waihi Warrior: Coming in fitter after the last run, with distance and surface suiting well. Good value bet.
    • 3rd $2.70
  • Jivetalkin: Showing signs of returning to form in trials. Fitter after two runs in and should handle the 2000m distance well. Worth watching.

Overall Strategy:

  • Focus on the strong favorites like Lucky Bay, Arrowette, and Unequivocal.
  • Keep an eye on value bets and each-way options like Holy Orange, Gasal, and Tear of Victory.
  • Watch out for horses with good trial form and favorable conditions such as Breckon Power, Brynderwyn, and Please Sir.

Good luck with your selections!

 
 


 

 

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