RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

weasel57

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  1. Like
    weasel57 got a reaction from Ragamuffin in Aalaalune not happy   
    Anyone with half a racing brain can see that Aalalune has been poorly placed and over-raced ever since she surprised everyone by placing in a Grp 1 as a 2yo. Rogie had dollar signs coming out of his eyes and the horse got wrecked as a result of impatience to get more black type and 3yo glory....but why so early in the Spring?  Beaten in a maiden sprint at Ruakaka, straight into the Tarzino early Spring with a horse whose racing style screamed for more ground and wetter tracks and just a bit of time to grow into herself. She is a shadow of what she might have been if they'd just waited for the autumn of her 3yo season.
    Even now, reckon she'd go alright in Victoria over 2000m+ in the autumn/winter starting with country tracks and maybe a Patrick Payne-type of trainer/ Class is permanent -she's got a motor annd a heart  - but the change of handling and environment is what's required, if it aint too late.
    Just my opinion.
  2. Like
    weasel57 got a reaction from Kingshill in Aalaalune not happy   
    Anyone with half a racing brain can see that Aalalune has been poorly placed and over-raced ever since she surprised everyone by placing in a Grp 1 as a 2yo. Rogie had dollar signs coming out of his eyes and the horse got wrecked as a result of impatience to get more black type and 3yo glory....but why so early in the Spring?  Beaten in a maiden sprint at Ruakaka, straight into the Tarzino early Spring with a horse whose racing style screamed for more ground and wetter tracks and just a bit of time to grow into herself. She is a shadow of what she might have been if they'd just waited for the autumn of her 3yo season.
    Even now, reckon she'd go alright in Victoria over 2000m+ in the autumn/winter starting with country tracks and maybe a Patrick Payne-type of trainer/ Class is permanent -she's got a motor annd a heart  - but the change of handling and environment is what's required, if it aint too late.
    Just my opinion.
  3. Like
    weasel57 reacted to Cooper in Aalaalune not happy   
    Couldn’t help but feeling sad watching Aalaalune going  around again today at Ellerslie . Sure isn’t the same horse since it left Jacob McKays.  I wish they would give it back to him to train where he gave it the TLC it obviously loved.  Some horses just don’t like being in big training establishments. 
  4. Like
    weasel57 reacted to Insider in Aalaalune not happy   
    Probably too late is my opinion. 🥲
  5. Like
    weasel57 got a reaction from Memphis2 in M Cup, what do ya reckon   
    I'm no expert but I think VE is a big chance Tuesday. Classy multiple Grp 1 winner,, well weighted, in-form, handles all tracks (rain no problem) and has the 'will to win' written all over her, if you watch the Caulfield Cup replay the last 50m she had every right to cough it up but dug deep. Could she possibly be another Maybe Diva  in the making? Capable of winning over 1600m-2000m at wfa early in a prep and just gets better and better.. The thing I like most aout her is the ability to put in a very fast 200m sectional -that destructive 'turn of foot' that we saw in the CC. If she can 'go to sleep'/ switch off in the first 2400m of the Melbourne Cup ,she could brain 'em! If she pulls her head off, forget about it!
  6. Like
    weasel57 reacted to Nukkledragga in M Cup, what do ya reckon   
    Have just done a quick tally of weights versus points( ignoring sex and age) compared to AVD at the top ,and sir dragonet comes out way above the rest followed by russian camelot, warning and tiger moth ,and then AVD and VE are level pegging BUT VE is a mare and the russian and tiger NH3yos and would normally get allowances, so will have to be very good indeed on cup day.So sir dragonet ,warning,AVD are top 3 all things being equal, if only it was that simple.
  7. Like
    weasel57 reacted to Nukkledragga in M Cup, what do ya reckon   
    It must be added that VE is the best at WFA in OZ but has been aimed at the big cups ( the cox plate on that wet track would have been at her mercy) now who would second guess Waller .VE  is the best local by a margin but some of the imports are carrying no weight ,but not that much less ( as NH3yos versus VE at WFA) than they will versus VE in the cup so she is fairly weighted against AVD at the top and others at the bottom but will need to be on top of her game.Last year vow and declare was rated 114 or 115 but carried up to 2kg less than other similarly rated horses so the locals can win with the right weight,  VE can win but a little rain would be a boost to her chances and they will all need a large slice of luck
  8. Like
    weasel57 reacted to Bimbo in Greatest Ever Cox Plate   
    Not wrong.  Frankel would never beat Secretariat.
  9. Like
    weasel57 got a reaction from Gruff in 2020 Cox Plate field.....   
    Have to say this year's Cox Plate is underwhelming. Would have preferred to see Verry Ellegant tackle this race rather than Caulfield Cup. Her turn of foot and ability to make ground while cornering would have been dynamite at MV.
  10. Like
    weasel57 got a reaction from Baz (NZ) in 2020 Cox Plate field.....   
    Have to say this year's Cox Plate is underwhelming. Would have preferred to see Verry Ellegant tackle this race rather than Caulfield Cup. Her turn of foot and ability to make ground while cornering would have been dynamite at MV.
  11. Like
    weasel57 got a reaction from Breeder in Bowman wins the Caulfield Cup   
    how about giving some credit to VE for that incredible turn of foot to get to the front and sheer guts to hold out a big strong challenger
  12. Like
    weasel57 reacted to Baz (NZ) in Rosie Myers - Trials Abandoned!   
    UPDATE ON ROSIE !  ♥️
     

  13. Like
    weasel57 reacted to Dissident in Rosie Myers - Trials Abandoned!   
    Kellys last update a few days ago
    "An update on Rosie..
    Not conscious yet but making some progress. Doctors took her breathing tube out yesterday afternoon which is good. Her breathing became extremely difficult, was touch and go re having to put it back in. Was hard to watch and I wouldn’t have thought anyone could sustain that sort of effort..  super stoked to get a text from Will first thing to say she’d made it through night unassisted and was much more comfortable💪😍#Legend
    She’s got this, toughest little person I know💓"
  14. Like
    weasel57 reacted to henry30 in Great Northern Steeplechase   
    Watched the race and saw the idiot on the track but did anyone else spot the stray golf ball almost hit the horses and riders on the first round. About 2min13sec into the race...could have been a bloody disaster.
  15. Like
    weasel57 reacted to scooby3051 in Melbourne Cup Carnival 2020   
    One things for sure is she will get in again sadly...can only hope the USA sees sense finally...A half sane JB is much better than a loonie DT...JMO.
  16. Like
    weasel57 reacted to pogo(aus) in Jason Collett   
    all great tactical rides too , doubtful any one else could have steered those four winners home.
    any young jock aspiring to great heights only needs to look at his winning  ride on the autumn sun in the caulfield guineas 
    JMAC , great jockey, up there with the best ever to come from NZ IMHO.
  17. Like
    weasel57 got a reaction from Huey in Rosie Myers - Trials Abandoned!   
    yes, and all of them display more personal courage (not to mention understanding, affection for and appreciation of horses), than the 'animal welfare' loonies 
  18. Like
    weasel57 got a reaction from Baz (NZ) in Rosie Myers - Trials Abandoned!   
    yes, and all of them display more personal courage (not to mention understanding, affection for and appreciation of horses), than the 'animal welfare' loonies 
  19. Like
    weasel57 got a reaction from Black Kirrama in Matamata Cup?   
    bloody good question Baz...thought I was the only one who'd noticed that in the noms
  20. Thanks
    weasel57 got a reaction from Patiti in Probabeel   
    H. Munroe-Brown.
     
  21. Like
    weasel57 reacted to shaneMcAlister in Rosie Myers - Trials Abandoned!   
    Get well soon Rosie. 
  22. Like
    weasel57 reacted to Pukemoe in Rosie Myers - Trials Abandoned!   
    Thinking of Rosie and her family, stay strong people 😔
  23. Like
    weasel57 reacted to Red Rum in Why can't they be professional and care?   
    I've spent 5 hours today doing the Las Piedras form for the meeting starting tomorrow at 430am , are you saying it could be a bit iffy accuracy wise them , bugger .
  24. Like
    weasel57 reacted to Berri in Why can't they be professional and care?   
    Decided to see the odd for the Arc this evening in France. Has a squizz at Stradivarius. Saw they had him as a 4 year old gelding. Then looked at Enable...guess what?...she's also a 4yo gelding. No sire, no dam. no anything!!! Come on TAB. This is only the best championship race in Europe. Why isn't there anyone who cares enough to get this stuff right? It's the most basic of basic. Aren't we trying to promote betting?
  25. Like
    weasel57 reacted to rdytdy in Rosie Myers - Trials Abandoned!   
    Rosie is in the Intensive care Unit at Wellington Hospital in an induced coma. Has some fractures to her face.
    Wishing for the best possible outcome for Rosie.