RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

drewandjo

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drewandjo last won the day on March 8 2022

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  1. You are using domestic ratings for your exercise Berri - ratings used for the purpose of rating black type races are completely different. see point 9 from the Executive Summary of the 20/21 Pattern Committee report 9. The race rating is determined by the peak World Best Racehorse Ranking (WBRR) that season for the average of the first four finishers in the race. Note that the WBRR has no relationship with the points-based domestic NZ handicap rating and the two measures should not be confused. Aegon's final rating at the end of 20-21 was 115. Both Melody Belle & Avantage were rated 120 while Levante, before she had won her 2 Gr.1's, was rated 115. There is no doubt however that there is pressure on some of our black type races because of various factors. Our 3YO ratings have seemed low when we see those horses go to other jurisdictions and immediately be rated points higher. At present we have 6 Group 1's with a warning attached, 4 of them for 3YOs. However the Asian Pattern Committee benchmark for 3YO races looks like it will be reduced by 2 points which will help those races with warnings.
  2. Pretty easy to look at 1 year in isolation Berri and start a panic. Yes the 2022 figures are low but if you look back over the last 8 years there have only been 2 where the NZ-purchased average was higher than the sale average (when you take the obvious big price purchases made by NZ agents for Aus clients). Only last year we made up 8.44% of the purchases and the spend was $10.3 million out of a sale turnover of $142 million. No doubt questions should be asked of purchasers from previous years and of our major studs around their recent buying strategies and we may get a clearer picture - or it could just be an off year. There is no doubt it is getting harder to buy at the middle to top end of the market with the likes of Yulong buying anything with a half decent pedigree in the last couple of years. I share your concern because it is always good to see imported (aus and other) bloodlines being brought in to the NZ market. However - not sure I see where the number bought versus the number of NZ-breds racing in Aus is relevant. And how does the average price of broodmare compare with the average type of horse racing in Aus? Five years ago at this sale kiwis spent $9.1 million out of a turnover of 103 million with the average higher than the sale average. Is your argument that the quality of our black type racing is diminishing because of less investment (those quality mares from 5 years ago will now have progeny racing in those races so by your argument those black type races should be rating higher) or that we should be trying to buy at least the number of broodmares as compared to the number of kiwi-breds currently racing in Australia?
  3. Rosehill Race 4 - #5 Sword Point Rosehill Race 6 - #11 Our Playboy
  4. Paul Sugden's first winner - Doncast Not Sure by Oakville. had a habit of running home late for second - one of the first I strapped - pretty sure owned by Peter Rogers
  5. changing to SW & P hasn't worked for a number of former handicaps
  6. Set weights & penalties Berri
  7. and Charlie you missed my one of my favourites - big old Finton, a son of Ruddington. I remember one morning riding him and leading 1 each side to the track from the Pekerau stables and as we passed the Park Lodge motel on the main road their telephone bell on the outside of the motel rang, extremely loud, and Finton jumped 10 feet sideways, right in to the middle of the road. Thank goodness nothing was coming although I think I may have slightly shit my pants!!!!
  8. Grizzly won the George Adams (Tatt's) at the Ellerslie summer carnival - now the Rich Hill Mile
  9. Nadeem 5.9 Zed 5.3 Alamosa 5.1 Ocean Park 5.0
  10. agent for NZB in Aus - based in Melbourne
  11. no...I want you to tell me which 2 are now using either Paxlovid or the Pfizer pill
  12. you didn't seem to have a problem veering away from the topic until your "facts" were proven to not be correct........
  13. which would surely be 2018/19....and the number there was 34,000........that's the problem with you head wearers of tinfoil...you seem to prefer "alternative facts" to the real ones