RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

Swynford

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Everything posted by Swynford

  1. For me I would like to see duplications or line breeding patterns on the female side of the stallion as well.
  2. This horse is one of the BEST in Australia at the moment. Double Danehill does not scare me. When planning a mating I would try and involve the 1st dam, the 2nd dam the 3rd dam and so on. And always ask the question ....where do the line breeding patterns sit in the sire...?
  3. Zabeel served 129 Danehill mares and got 3 Group One winners. One of those mares produced 2 of those Group One winners so only 1 from the other 128. Considering that it was mixing the two best bloodlines in this part of the world I don't believe it was a good cross.
  4. I think the positions were the line breeding occurs is really important, great example below, not really rocket science
  5. very sad news our thoughts with Luigi and the team
  6. Ghibellines 2nd dam is by Danehill so just wondering how does this become an outcross...?
  7. Tavistock didn't even make the top 100 sires in Australia last season and is currently 179 th on the list....?????
  8. Here is another option Tomjr. As you can see it involves both of the parents of your mare and both of the parents of the stallion. (all bases are covered ) It is in simple terms just a mirror image of line breeding patterns, ( using superior female families. ) Way better to try something like this rather than pulling a name out of a hat. Sounds like you may have to hunt the stallion down tho.
  9. Power (ful) pedigree patterns
  10. Two year old winner today at Trenthem
  11. In the mating above its the positions of the patterns that is appealing to me. A huge plus also is that your mare's female line is the family that produced Graustark. If she was my mare I would want to bring that into play. In the family tree below, starting with the mare ask yourself where are the duplications in the mare ...? and then ask same question again with the stallion.
  12. Another smart horse with the same cross Saracino, Don Carlo, Tennessee
  13. First Stakes winner for Bullbars Contessa Vanessa wins the Eight Carat Stakes G2
  14. similar pattern to above...., the right mare... giving you more bang for your buck
  15. How often does a stallion produce a Group One winner. ? Stallion Statistics curtsy of Arion Pedigrees.... Stallion Runners Grp 1 wnrs Frequency Zabeel 1524 46 1 in 33 Redoute's Choice 1256 32 1 .. 39 Tavistock 181 4 1 .. 45 Savabeel 693 15 1 .. 46 Fastnet Rock 1473 31 1 .. 47 Snitzel 777 12 1 ... 65 Darci Brahma 503 7 1 ... 71 Not A Single Doubt 728 8 1 .. 91 Group One winners so far from the 2015 Premier Sale (could be more coming) Bonneval Montoya's Secret Sacred Elixir Heroic Valour On average 1 in every 100 3 out of 4 of Tavistock's Group One winners have Zabeel in their pedigree. Approx 2 per cent for the national foal crop becoming Group One winners may be the norm but Karaka Premier is not the norm. It is the elite of our foal crop. Although it is nearly three years since the 2015 Sale ...ONLY (approx) 30 horses... have won their purchase price back on the race track. Close to 95 % have not. Again this is constantly changing. Agree with you there is a difference in the racing world between a Group One winner and one who runs second, not so much in ability only 'fashion'.