RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

JOT

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Everything posted by JOT

  1. JOT

    Jacinda Ardern

    so reading between the lines are you saying if Labour loose the election, they will all move to Invercargill?
  2. JOT

    Jacinda Ardern

    JOT this is the very same survey that they conduct fairly regularly , same participants same surveyor etc so this is a record , make no mistake barring miracles ardern is a goner and history will judge her very harshly. Correct, it is a survey the bank do monthly for themselves. They have 700 registered but I suspect not all participate reading their comment agriculture had low numbers this month.. Also looking back at other surveys, the results are presented differently then the current report. When you see that, then you wonder if the narrative has changed when presenting the final outcome but it is their report. Labour may well lose next time but to blame Arden based on this report maybe a stretch when the report say in its intro that global factors, a forecast recession in 2023 and high inflation under pin the results.
  3. JOT

    Jacinda Ardern

    The survey stated agriculture was performing as an outlier in some of its charting and had the least number of participants for this survey. It was hard to see if agriculture’s NPS has reached -100 previous due to the limited historical data available. But in saying that, this is just a survey done by a bank for a bank so they can justify keeping their profits high when they increase interest rates or start calling in loan defaults saying they are acting on the behalf of the economy.
  4. Trading cards? You got hand it to him. He will try a squeeze every last cent out of his followers. FFS
  5. Weeks before the mid-terms the republican leaders we’re saying they would withdraw support for Ukraine. Days before the mid-terms they changed to limit support. Yesterday republicans along with the democrats pass 857b into defence with 800 million to go to Ukraine. Why do this when nearly 50% of Americans want to stop the support for Ukraine? Because their big corporate donors tell them what to do, not those who elected them.
  6. You can attack a subject or opponent with justification or fact but by innuendo then you are being political. I passed the link to a former editor for the NZ herald and his reply was integrity in journalism has been replaced by advertising..
  7. https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/stupid-stupid-thing-to-do-racing-industry-workers-who-destroyed-graveyard-sentenced/4KWM6CDTZ5BSPIXK6HE7IONJQU/ Opening feed, what shit. A person who has been charged has his occupation used in the headline to infer his behavior. If you read the article then the incident had nothing to do with the racing industry. The author is from the area but yet has never posted a positive article or linked any balance that shows any investigative nature. The right wing NZ herald are showing their disdain to the industry.
  8. Fix odds has its purpose. On the punting side it gives those who like to crystal ball, predict or analyze a market to find value days before the event, especially attractive currently with the 'no deductions' clause invoked. (was this implemented knowing this announcement was pending and the timeline this bet option is running till?) Another plus is the fix-odd market is framed by someone's opinion which has no significant pari-mutuel market to compare with when released. Without a fixed odd market then we return to the days of the 70's where big punters manipulated the market which created outrage on-course when results weren't what was advertised at the tote close. Geo blocking is fine. If NZ racing wants to protect their product and can legally, then good luck to them. If it helps create something sustainable for the those who work in the industry in NZ, then mission accomplished. If those (like me) who like to take advantage of a product to make a dollar, then I'll just find other ways. That's what gambling is about
  9. Hell Hedley, the Democrat's are no better than the Republicans in the money grabbing politics they love to indulge in to protect their corporates but to post link with that wanker Jim Jordan and dumb arse Marie Bartiromo presenting - do you understand what your doing!!!!
  10. I want a return of $300 in this market. I see 2 options. invest 160 @1.8 for a return of 300 spread 160 over 4 runners to return 300
  11. The Foxbridge Plate fixed odd market opened @129%. The scratching of a $16 dollar hope plus investments moved the market out to %133. If the favorite was removed then a reduction of %42 would happen on each runner to regain the %133. So how do you bet in to this race to come out on the plus?
  12. JOT

    Data

    no. horse draw wgt stakes starts % win % place % dist % cond % trk % first_up % Second_up % jock/horse strike rate jockey 1 Let'srollthedice 5 58.5 $321,200 75 50 75 0 67 0 100 100 75 Damian Lane 2 El Padrino 4 57.5 $363,400 40 20 40 0 33 0 100 100 0 Jamie Kah 4 Shalaman 3 56 $87,750 75 25 75 0 100 100 100 50 100 Ben Melham 5 Foujita San 2 56 $41,000 100 50 100 100 0 100 100 100 100 Jye McNeil 8 Fast Witness 6 56 $26,925 100 50 100 100 100 0 100 100 100 Ethan Brown 9 Chester Warrior 1 56 $26,550 100 50 100 100 0 0 100 100 100 Daniel Stackhouse Just ran some DATA over your race. The only negative is no starts on the track but I have seen stats from horses with form at Geelong go ok the Valley. $1.70 for top 4 looks the bet. Good luck
  13. Anteater reared in the stalls and tossed Kylie Williams out the back. She got up limping and Matt Cross said something like we could have another scratching. McKenzie Chief who was galloping around the track took 8 minutes to catch. By then both jock and horse were passed fit to start. Matt Cross said something like wise before they jumped..
  14. Interesting article. A professional punting friend in Sydney told me of the same thing. He noted a reduction in value around the win pools in the Sydney and Melbourne metro Saturday meetings in the last 5 years. He said the increase in stakes did not equate to an increase in turnover which is being use to prop up the stake increases. The corporates were adjusting their market’s accordingly to kept afloat. He also talked of other changes which had put the squeeze on some pros who are stepping away.
  15. Just watched a great ride on a horse who has dug his toes for others. Carrying 61 and having just one other ride on him, gave the owners, trainers and punters every chance of competing. So under rated as a hoop.
  16. So his daughter, AJ Barr and 4 of his lawyers tell him he lost the election. What a guy. Last week he’s in Wyoming telling his rally its a lie. Only in America you can get away with this…
  17. Not sure if they are looking after customers. If I backed a $6 chance at $500, BUT my betting history says I am a pro then like Aussie, they offer the price @4.80 to give the $2000 payout but still keeps within there mark (2000 payout) So the point is, 2000 is where they set the line.
  18. Ok so spotted a bit off deception on the website early close and the live market on trackside. That's fine as one market is algorithm driven to hold its value and the other is window shopping to attach the floaters. Now we know the rules, just need to flip and take advantage.
  19. If I was onsite at Te Rapa when the website closed, and I could still punt then I needed to take advantage of 2 punting systems which aren't instinct OR under manned.
  20. I just need to get inside trackside HQ and see if the onsite TAB/on course punts are still punting when the website is down to find the real value
  21. So interesting the next race at Sandown, the website says its running but trackside is showing horses still loading. There is money to be made here.
  22. Feel sorry for Brendon Popplewell who is talking the market movers late but website is closed to see the shift.
  23. Te rapa Race 9 closes with at least 7 to load! Hmm...