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JOT

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Posts posted by JOT

  1. Jacinda Ardern

    in Main Street Cafe

    Posted

    On 12/22/2022 at 2:47 PM, tripple alliance said:

    Jot , where to start ? this is just one of so many negatives against ardern , her failure to deliver is glaring on so many fronts . Housing , the homeless , hospitals , education absenteeism has never been higher , crime , the continual attacks on the farming community, race relation (disaster) , interest rates completely misjudged (to low which created to high) climate change ,a lack of realistic planning , roading collapse look out when the temperatures get hot , this so called leader can talk and promise so much but fails to deliver . and today this , Grant Robertson has announced that the Government will hike taxes in two stages in February and March next year  Based on the current price of oil and processing, these tax hikes will see Kiwis return to paying more than half the cost at the pump in tax. 

    "Grant Robertson  makes the claim that non-road users are 'subsidizing' the cost of petrol for car drivers, but this is nonsense on stilts. Actually, road users are subsiding the costs of rail travel, walking, and cycle ways, and ineffective campaigns like Road to Zero through the National Land Transport Fund (which fuel taxes are paid into)"

    Shes gotta go .

    Triple A - l understand your stance but your delivery is like watching prime time on Fox.

    Some of the things you say have merit but every NZ government has faced or been accursed of the same defiant behavior by those who oppose.

    If you had quoted stats that showed during this government's tenure, homeless had spiraled, crime at different levels had created stress on tax payer expenditure, interest rates was solely driven by their policy, major national infer structure re-work only happened in the last eight years then I would take notice. BUT you do not see the National Party take this root. Why? Because they have chosen to use division, culture difference and being deprived as a false narrative for their platform. Its the same playbook conservatives used in Australia and the USA  Even with the media on board it didn't work out well for them but not saying it won't shift the balance here.

     

     

     

  2. Jacinda Ardern

    in Main Street Cafe

    Posted

    4 hours ago, Old Man said:

    No global factor, recession or inflation,  IMPRISONED the population of Auckland for 4 months.

    That bitch and all the rest of those pig troughers are going to burn in hell  ...  :) 

    so reading between the lines are you saying if Labour loose the election, they will all move to Invercargill?

  3. Jacinda Ardern

    in Main Street Cafe

    Posted

    JOT this is the very same survey that they conduct fairly regularly , same participants same surveyor etc so this is a record , make no mistake barring miracles ardern is a goner and history will judge her very harshly. 

    Correct, it is a survey the bank do monthly for themselves. They have 700 registered but I suspect not all participate reading their comment agriculture had low numbers this month.. Also looking back at other surveys, the results are presented differently then the current report. When you see that, then you wonder if the narrative has changed when presenting the final outcome but it is their report. 

    Labour may well lose next time but to blame Arden based on this report maybe a stretch when the report say in its intro that global factors, a forecast recession in 2023 and high inflation under pin the results.

  4. Jacinda Ardern

    in Main Street Cafe

    Posted

    14 hours ago, tripple alliance said:

    Another first for jacinda nobody has ever  achieved a 100% score but here it is .

    Business confidence has fallen to an all time low of -70.2

    But if you think that is bad enough, look at the breakdown by industry:

    • Services -64.0
    • Retail -68.6
    • Manufacturing -74.5
    • Construction -75.7
    • Agriculture -100.0

    Thats right, here it is  100% of ag businesses and farmers think the economy is heading into the crap  and other sectors aren't a lot better  well done cindy . 

    The survey stated agriculture was performing as an outlier in some of its charting and had the least number of participants for this survey. It was hard to see if agriculture’s NPS has reached -100 previous due to the limited historical data available. But in saying that, this is just a survey done by a bank for a bank so they can justify keeping their profits high when they increase interest rates or start calling in loan defaults saying they are acting on the behalf of the economy.  

  6. Trump written off

    in Main Street Cafe

    Posted

    20 hours ago, crustyngrizzly said:

    A recent poll has shown the only 53% of Americans favour  continuing to support Ukraine financially and with weapons.

    IMO this is bad news for Ukraine but music to the short Russians ears.

    just another issue i wish they has left Greiner in Russia.

     

    Weeks before the mid-terms the republican leaders we’re saying they would withdraw support for Ukraine. Days before the mid-terms they changed to limit support. Yesterday republicans along with the democrats pass 857b into defence with 800 million to go to Ukraine. Why do this when nearly 50% of Americans want to stop the support for Ukraine? Because their big corporate donors tell them what to do, not those who elected them.

  7. The NZ Herald will hang out the Racing Industry for a headline/click bait

    in Thoroughbred Cafe

    Posted

    21 hours ago, Idolmite said:

    Don't take it personally. They treat everybody with the same and equal disrespect. Many right wing people accuse the NZ Herald of being left leaning. Nobody likes to see their own little patch attacked, but they do it to everyone at some point don't you think?

    You can attack a subject or opponent with justification or fact but by innuendo then you are being political. I passed the link to a former editor for the NZ herald and his reply was integrity in journalism has been replaced by advertising..   

  8. The NZ Herald will hang out the Racing Industry for a headline/click bait

    in Thoroughbred Cafe

    Posted

    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/stupid-stupid-thing-to-do-racing-industry-workers-who-destroyed-graveyard-sentenced/4KWM6CDTZ5BSPIXK6HE7IONJQU/

    Opening feed, what shit. A person who has been charged has his occupation used in the headline to infer his behavior. 

    If you read the article then the incident had nothing to do with the racing industry. The author is from the area but yet has never posted a positive article or linked any balance that shows any investigative nature.

    The right wing NZ herald are showing their disdain to the industry.

     

  9. TAB what is the big announcement coming???

    in Thoroughbred Cafe

    Posted

    Fix odds has its purpose. On the punting side it gives those who like to crystal ball, predict or analyze a market to find value days before the event, especially attractive currently with the 'no deductions' clause invoked. (was this implemented knowing this announcement was pending and the timeline this bet option is running till?)  Another plus is the fix-odd market is framed by someone's opinion which has no significant pari-mutuel market to compare with when released.

    Without a fixed odd market then we return to the days of the 70's where big punters manipulated the market which created outrage on-course when results weren't what was advertised at the tote close. 

    Geo blocking is fine. If NZ racing wants to protect their product and can legally, then good luck to them. If it helps create something sustainable for the those who work in the industry in NZ, then mission accomplished. If those (like me) who like to take advantage of a product to make a dollar, then I'll just find other ways. That's what gambling is about

  11. TAB looking after customers & listening

    in Thoroughbred Cafe

    Posted

    17 hours ago, JOT said:

    The Foxbridge Plate fixed odd market opened @129%. The scratching of a $16 dollar hope plus investments moved the market out to %133. If the favorite was removed then a reduction of %42 would happen on each runner to regain the %133. So how do you bet in to this race to come out on the plus?

    I want a return of $300 in this market. I see 2 options.

    invest 160 @1.8 for a return of 300

    spread 160 over 4  runners to return 300

     

  13. Data

    in Thoroughbred Cafe

    Posted

    21 hours ago, Fredd002 said:

    Thanks Leggy. Still undecided if he will run given draw and rail out so far. Will wait to see if there are any/many early scratchings before a decision made. Trouble is he needs to race and win a couple more, to get into some of the premier races we have planned for him. 

     

    no. horse draw wgt stakes starts % win % place % dist % cond % trk % first_up % Second_up % jock/horse strike rate jockey
    1 Let'srollthedice 5 58.5 $321,200 75 50 75 0 67 0 100 100 75 Damian Lane
    2 El Padrino 4 57.5 $363,400 40 20 40 0 33 0 100 100 0 Jamie Kah
    4 Shalaman 3 56 $87,750 75 25 75 0 100 100 100 50 100 Ben Melham
    5 Foujita San 2 56 $41,000 100 50 100 100 0 100 100 100 100 Jye McNeil
    8 Fast Witness 6 56 $26,925 100 50 100 100 100 0 100 100 100 Ethan Brown
    9 Chester Warrior 1 56 $26,550 100 50 100 100 0 0 100 100 100 Daniel Stackhouse

     

    Just ran some DATA over your race. The only negative is no starts on the track but I have seen stats from horses with form at Geelong go ok the Valley. $1.70 for top 4 looks the bet. Good luck 

  15. Matt Cross

    in Thoroughbred Cafe

    Posted

    On 6/30/2022 at 1:54 PM, Palliser said:

    What is it with this guy, he stated on Trackside that Anteater and Mr McKenzie were declared late scratchings. Went outside came back in and watched the race and Anteater was racing ?? .. saved my money, but that's not the point. Get your shit together Matt.

    Anteater reared in the stalls and tossed Kylie Williams out the back. She got up limping and Matt Cross said something like we could have another scratching. McKenzie Chief who was galloping around the track took 8 minutes to catch. By then both jock and horse were passed fit to start. Matt Cross said something like wise before they jumped.. 

     

  16. Aussie bookmakers not happy…

    in Thoroughbred Cafe

    Posted

    Interesting article. A professional punting friend in Sydney told me of the same thing. He noted a reduction in value around the win pools in the Sydney and Melbourne metro Saturday meetings in the last 5 years. He said the increase in stakes did not equate to an increase in turnover which is being use to prop up the stake increases. The corporates were adjusting their market’s accordingly to kept afloat. He also talked of other changes which had put the squeeze on some pros who are stepping away.