RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

Gruff

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  1. Haha
    Gruff got a reaction from nomates in Ellerslie track issues   
    Petal is obviously a decent man and has earned his stripes, but why target me? What is an opinion?  And if you have a problem prove your point...the only God on these sites is Turny, so ask him
  2. Haha
    Gruff got a reaction from Pete Lane in Ellerslie track issues   
    I asked a question related to a runner that was described later  as unlucky from a Stipes report and was banned  , after tipping Pulritchudulous, Persiflage and Rumeur .... Slipper had a perfect trip '2nd' up and ran 6 lengths slower than fresh after a solid 2nd  trial against Master Fay....i have out tipped everyone on Race Place in a week and was banned from their punters club after investing the total amount on day one. What's going on?
  3. Thanks
    Gruff reacted to crustyngrizzly in YANK HYPOCRISY   
    Why  do , Palestinians have to die if Hammas don't surrender.
  4. Haha
    Gruff reacted to mikenz in Putin.   
    Election time, his country need him, he's awake to the great threat from Finland and Sweden, hence he's going to mobilize troops and systems of destruction, just in case, he's also ready for nuclear war it seems, I think he's caught something off his buddy in North Korea.
    If it wasn't so serious it would be funny.
    The biggest threat to Russia is him.
  5. Thanks
    Gruff reacted to Eclipsed in Trevor Luke - RIP   
    Others on here will know Trevor far better, however a doff of the cap to a man who always took a punt.
    Alamosa arguably his best, however an owner in plenty of good winners - was the South Island’s largest investor at yearling sales for a number of years.
    A punter from day one. He took a massive hunch on VHS videotapes over Betamax in the really early days of digital.
    When the market in this sector was 50/50 re the technology path, he invested more than he had on VHS cassettes and connected his punt for the blank VHS tapes with a fledgling NZ retail format called The Warehouse. Ka-Ching moment!
    Raced many good ones over 30 years with Peter McKay.and other top trainers.
    His car number plate was 164 no - a top cricketer to boot!
    One of a kind -  a top man.
  6. Thanks
    Gruff reacted to Idolmite in Ellerslie infographic   
    Will be interesting what the stats say [since reportedly data doesn't lie  ] with a much greater number of races as a sample, say after 12 months. 
    While maybe the data doesn't lie, people that work with numbers can make those numbers say anything they want them too. Data can be manipulated and those releasing the data can choose what to release and what not to release. Do the stats look a lot better when you use 600 metres as the base point, as opposed to say 450 metres or 700 metres? Who knows.
    To the naked eye without even giving it too much thought [I'm a very small and extremely casual punter - I never watch an entire meeting - lying on the couch and often nodding off 🤣 ] or bothering to watch any replays, the first meeting looked like a leader's bias and improving slightly at more recent meetings. The stats appear to back that up, but we're only talking 40 races total, even less with the split to get the "improving data". It would be nice to see the three sets of figures they are using at 33.33333333333% each. Unless they're doing a Pride of Jenni or Kotare Chief, I much prefer watching races with horses running on from midfield or beyond. That's nothing to do with punting.. l just find it more spectacular and interesting to watch than follow the leader stuff. Like Kiwi in the Melbourne Cup. 
  7. Haha
    Gruff reacted to Pete Lane in Ellerslie infographic   
  8. Confused
    Gruff reacted to nomates in William Reid Stakes field…..tougher for Imperatriz ?   
    So you can't work out that if OPB is on a form runner drawn 10 out of 10 that he is still worth backing against the second fav who has drawn 2 but has a jockey with a 1 in 10 strike rate , simple equation . 
  9. Thanks
    Gruff reacted to Leggy in William Reid Stakes field…..tougher for Imperatriz ?   
    Might not be hard for you, but I'm interested in learning more about how to do that. I thought that's what these forums were about.
  10. Like
    Gruff got a reaction from Goodison in Efeso Collins   
    Trips. Are you on some heavy shit? Efeso Collins just dropped dead after what would equate to walking down the Dairy ....with emergency medics on site..
    If  this is something you consider normal after claiming we will all live to 90 you need help with all due respect, does your affliction create pressure around the cranium?
  11. Sad
    Gruff reacted to nomates in What do others think   
    Oh I could be distracted for a lot less , I'm not greedy .
  12. Thanks
    Gruff reacted to Memphis3 in What do others think   
    I could be distracted for a grand a week Onemate. 
  13. Sad
    Gruff reacted to tripple alliance in What do others think   
    23 Feb 2023 — Jacinda Ardern's meeting with BlackRock:,
    I think Key and Luxon lunching together is small fry compared to cindy and Blackrock having a chat.
  14. Sad
    Gruff reacted to tripple alliance in Covid study 99 million people   
    extremely rare , you are deliberately ignoring that part , just role up your sleeve and get on with it .
     
  15. Haha
    Gruff reacted to Ohokaman in Covid study 99 million people   
    This would be Gruff’s worst nightmare……..😆
    https://time.com/6852933/covid-19-217-vaccines/
  16. Sad
    Gruff reacted to Memphis3 in YANK HYPOCRISY   
    You make it sound like no Palestinians have been massacred. That’s a nice balanced outlook. 
    In real life fo you have one eye or just a patch. 
  17. Like
    Gruff reacted to crustyngrizzly in YANK HYPOCRISY   
    You obviously have read your history and i've read mine but they differ so i will leave it there.
  18. Confused
    Gruff reacted to tripple alliance in YANK HYPOCRISY   
    Rubbish if Hamas doesn't surrender many more Palestinians will die , WHAT do you expect Israel to do Hamas slaughtered 1200 Israeli civilians there's no escaping that fact. I see the proposed ceasefire is in doubt because Hamas won't provide the names of the hostages they hold , again if they chose to sabotage the proposed cease fire it's on them and they will get what they deserve , Netanyahu didn't start this nigh mare Hamas did .
  19. Thanks
    Gruff reacted to crustyngrizzly in YANK HYPOCRISY   
    a Hammas surrender won't stop anything because Netenyahu is nuts.
  20. Like
    Gruff reacted to crustyngrizzly in YANK HYPOCRISY   
    The yanks are giving aid to the Palestinians and then the same Palestinians get killed by weapons suppled by the Yanks
    HUH
  21. Thanks
    Gruff reacted to mikenz in Hurricane womens Haka.   
    Easily sort the problem, sponsors pull the pin and tear up dissidents contracts, sacked for bringing game into disrepute.
    Might be awkward to cancel contracts though for some as I would doubt they would be able to sign one.
    Just get on with the game and cut out all this shit.
  22. Confused
    Gruff reacted to mikenz in Cricket Test.   
    There is a different psychology when if comes to Cricket in NZ and Cricket in Australia and test Cricket is the game that defines a Cricket player, many of ours are show ponies but a lot starts at the top by basically playing mostly white ball Cricket it was a good game and it's easy to look at the game in hindsight, I think the tail end collapse yesty probably was the difference.
    Kuggeliejn is another Ferguson, mostly a white ball player, Santner ain't no different, would he have made any difference, probably not, Southees weak dismissal yesty was poor, so many of our guys can't wait to hit boundarys, just sometimes ic needs to be curbed.
    Maybe everyone would be different if we had of won but one thing that comes out of the game is the 5 day game is what matters most and over history our very best wins over the best teams have happened when our greatest players have stepped up, one need to go back 50 years ago when our first win over Aussie, Turner a century in each innings then later on Hadlees and Crowes efforts, they also lift other players up, not really sure if we have many like that playing for NZ these days, but plenty of show ponys.
  23. Like
    Gruff reacted to nomates in Eric Carmen ""gone all the way ""   
    Was there a better heart break song than "All By Myself" , RIP .
  24. Like
    Gruff reacted to Con45 in an offer ......   
    I am hoping that there is someone out there who could do with a helping hand.I am a 50y old single male,was married 25 years and raised a family and honestly can say that I do miss the raising the kids part a lot. I have a full driving licence and have never been disqualified and have had plenty of experiance towing horsefloats,I dont drink alcohol,I am honest,reliable and have plenty of common sense. I am not looking for a full time job as I do have an injury that plays up occasionally,but I would love to find someone who could do with a helping hand and here are some of the things I was hoping someone might need a hand with,security caretaking experiance,accepting deliveries and checking off etc,mixing feeds and feeding out,I most definitly could muck out but am not looking to be doing heaps of stables,I wouldnt mind going to trials or staying behind so that you know someone is around the place,being there for farrier etc and besides all of that I am not too bad a cook lol. Anyway to make this a bit briefer,Im sure I could be a good person for someone to have around,I am not looking for wages but would appreciate decent accomodation and besides some of the things I have listed above,I am sure there are plenty of other things I could do and do with a smile,I really do love animals and wouldnt mind hearing from thoroughbred or harness person,anyway heres hoping that I can be of use to someone and we can both benefit. Contact Neil 0273419262 if interested in having a chat.
  25. Haha
    Gruff reacted to nomates in Ellerslie track issues   
    I would have said FOS .