chiknsmack
-
Posts
748 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
8
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Gallery
Posts posted by chiknsmack
-
-
3 hours ago, mckenzie said:
They definitely seem computer generated. Look at Joliestar, a G1 winner at her last run at end of her last campaign, the comment says "Wasn't far away in Benchmark 68 company first-up last campaign. Consider." Why refer to a Benchmark 68 race 4 runs ago when she's since won the Thousand Guineas at Caulfield?
Because she's first up today, so how she has gone first up in the past is relevant.
-
4 minutes ago, Memphis3 said:
What was wrong with the old track ?
When it rained it got muddy and took time to recover. Not good enough when we want 40 meetings per year at "Headquarters" from September to April.
This new track though can take a foot of rain in ten minutes and be a good 4 half an hour later. Water just runs clean through it. It definitely doesn't get muddy (or slippery).
-
On 4/7/2024 at 11:41 AM, MisterEd said:
I agree. Why can't they have New Zealand meetings first instead of having to scroll through a bunch of complete shit to get to what you want. I want it on the first page when I click racing. The sooner they get rid of this website and put something decent in its place the better.
When you click on racing then click on Harness, it scrolls on its own so the domestic harness meetings are at the top.
Gallops is more popular than harness, so it makes sense for it to be at the top. Harness is doing well to stay above greyhounds, tbh.
I know at least one Aussie bookie has/had six buttons at the top of their page; one "Aust/NZ" and one "Intl" for each code. Under that setup you could click the Aust/NZ Harness button and unclick the rest and all you'd see when you clicked racing would be Aust/NZ Harness. Maybe Entain will have that when they update the website.
-
Aussies traditionally don't bet the place; it's one of the big differences in punting culture between us and them. So I'm not surprised Entain don't see place odds as important.
Nelli's right though; complain enough (via the right avenues, not here) and maybe if there's enough demand for place odds they'll change it.
-
Greyhound racing is the bulwark for the horse codes. Anyone who doesn't see that a ban on greyhound racing is a stepping stone to a ban on harness, then gallops, then farming, then pets, is an idiot.
If you support anything towards the end of that list, you must stand up for those things towards the start of it under the banner of "Don't tell us what to to do and we won't tell you what to do".
-
11 hours ago, stodge said:
Good to see 2020 English Derby winner SERPENTINE back in the winners enclosure for the first time since that surreal July afternoon when the race was run at an empty racecourse. He made every yard that day but since then it's been a long road.
He actually won back last autumn in Queensland, beating Kalapour. And this was his second win this prep; first up over 2000m he beat Bois d'Argent and Military Mission at listed level, then yesterday won again over 2000m with a brave fightback after being clearly headed halfway down.
He's 50/1 for the Queen Elizabeth in a fortnight (Via Sistina is fave at evens), but with yesterday's Australian Cup runner-up Pride of Jenni likely to be there with her tearaway running style he's unlikely to get to dominate from the front as he seems to like.
He's one of my faves at the moment though; I usually back him as I like frontrunners and he's done me well this prep.
-
It's better to regret selling than regret not selling. Seven figures for a gelding when you own the dam and most of the siblings is an easy sell. Even if (IF) he comes out and wins the Caulfield Guineas and the Kiwi next year you'd still struggle to be mad that you sold.
- Pak Star, We're Doomed, JJ Flash and 1 other
-
4
-
18 hours ago, Pak Star said:
Close enough in the cup.
Good Shepherd gets in nicely compared to your scale in the sprint. All over the $4.80 I assume?
Handicappers don't handicap on a race-by-race basis anymore, so anyone could've told you the weight spread in advance (top weight gets 60 or 61kg, others get 0.5kg allowance per rating point, mares get an extra 2kg, minimum 54kg).
TN could argue that The Good Shepherd's rating is a few points light, but at a glance I don't see it.
-
-
On 3/19/2024 at 3:05 PM, scooby3051 said:
Just ask Leggy it should be a walk in the park as barriers don't matter....LOL
That barrier is a positive for her. Much better than being drawn in the inside half of the field.
Leggy is right that on an overall basis "barriers don't matter" to a statistically-significant degree, especially when you consider that most punters think they do and so overbet horses drawn inside and underbet horses drawn outside. But on a case-by-case basis they matter; in this case the wide draw with only one runner outside her means Imperatriz should get a clean start without being hindered, and should land off the fence where she can come wide and round the leaders up late.
-
17 hours ago, Ohokaman said:
For those interested in EPIH, this article from Racing Vic is worth reading….( tap report )
(You might need to right-click the link and open it in a new tab.)
-
19 hours ago, richie said:
Have messaged help desk over 2 hours ago and they were going get back to me.Still says I'm in queue but looks like they not paying out on successful power plays,Only head to heads and only showing the power plays that missed
Also interesting that the results there say "WitzEnd/GrailSeeker/MoetDown All Top8" when the market I bet into (and the market in my resulted bets) say Top 10. Might be worth just ignoring powerplays entirely (if it wasn't already).
-
4 minutes ago, Palliser said:
Why was Moet Down allowed to race in the Wellington Guineas ?? had leg over the gate for an eternity, Michael McNab shaking his head obviously not happy. Finally backed out and had a 2 second vet check ?? .. then declared fit to race and runs a long last
.. feel sorry for those have invested their hard earned.
I checked the Powerplays which I usually forget to do and saw Witz End+Moet Down+Grail Seeker all Top 10 at $1.80. I figured Grail Seeker could beat four home and the other two were my top two picks, so that looked massive overs to me. Glad I didn't unload quite as large as I'd considered.
-
Are Pick 6 and Place 6 available with Aussie (particularly other Entain) corps? I never hear mention of P6s in Aussie broadcasts, but they all mention the quaddies. It could be as simple as "We're replacing the current betting software with a TAB-coloured version what we use for Lads and Neds" and it'll have upsides (fewer crashes, quicker acceptance of sports bets) which outweigh the downsides (No P6, Pl6, FO F4).
Place 6 was a great bet type, but if the stock Entain software doesn't allow it and it doesn't make financial sense to upgrade the software to add it then it has to go.
-
2 hours ago, Insider said:
Guess what Leggy and Chiknsmack it’s exactly as I explained and expected.
Unfortunately it's not as NZTR explained and I expected. And I have doubts that it's enough to fix the problems with the track. Good luck to them though.
- nomates and Hi Ho Silver
-
2
-
-
I'm not sure "Rising 14yo mare whose first foal - by an excellent sire in So You Think - is a 19-start South Island maiden who bled last prep but ran 2nd fresh up this prep at Ashburton" is a great advertisement. Though SYT needed a wind op, so maybe you can put all the blame for the bleeder on him.
"Maiden broodmare who won recorded her only win as a 6yo, whose dam is now 3/3 winners to runners after a winner at Ashburton" is perhaps slightly better.
-
I remember backing his rides a lot in 2021, often purely because he was on them. He'd have a few rides at the main Saturday meeting and then was usually nailed on to win a couple at Toowoomba that night. He hasn't kicked on the way I thought he would (I thought he was Queensland's James McDonald and would end up in Sydney) but nomates is right; he can ride.
- Black Kirrama and Swoopa
-
2
-
Fast forward a few months:
The September and October Racedays, incorporating the G1 Hawkes Bay Challenge Stakes, G1 Horlicks Plate, and G1 Ormond Memorial, will now be held by Auckland Thoroughbred Racing at Ellerslie, and not at Hastings. After an inspection of the Hastings track last Friday it was evident that the current issues with the Hastings track will not be remedied in time to hold this important raceday. No, we haven't inspected the Ellerslie track. We're sure it's fine.
And then:
The November Racedays, incorporating the G1 NZ 1000 and 2000 Guineas, will now be held by Auckland Thoroughbred Racing at Ellerslie, and not at Riccarton. After an inspection of the Riccarton track last Friday via Google Maps it was evident that we'd rather run all G1 races at Ellerslie. We haven't had a chance to test the Ellerslie track since remedial work after last month's abandonments, but we will run the G1s as the first races on their respective days so that the meeting won't be abandoned before they've been run.
-
Slipper Island backing up on Saturday. Drawn the ace again, it maps further back (I had it 3-back the fence last start when it trailled; I have it 4-back or maybe 3-back this week) off a hotter tempo with a worse jockey. Do we go again? (I'm guessing it's @Gruff's money that has brought it from $7 into $6 already, given he blames McNab for it missing a place last start).
-
6 hours ago, mooseman said:
Not tote prices...these are fixed odds prices.....nothing to do with the nz tab tote price
Look at the SuperTab column.
6 hours ago, mooseman said:Tote prices are never 'on offer' you dont know what price you will get until the race is run and confirmed.
I took "on offer" to mean "how long before the start the extra ~$160,000 was added to the pool". Obviously if it'd been lumped on two minutes before the jump more people would've noticed and taken some of the $11.80. -
I'm still not confident the Ellerslie surface is entirely fair, but there's no blatant bias I can point to yet either.
I don't know what McNab was supposed to do on Slipper Island. Maybe you can argue he should've gone under the leader; the head-on isn't available yet but from side on it looks like the leader didn't roll off the rail until the 300m, at which point Kingfisher had poked up under Slipper Island and so McNab couldn't go back to the inside. Ordinarily he could push the 1x1 horse out of the way late in the turn to go around the two leaders, but there was a 3-wide horse there too.
-
6 hours ago, Insider said:
When Scooby said: Great planning before a Group 1 2400m race...they really don't have a clue, I don't think that he was having a go at you.
I think you've stumbled upon the truth. Miss Jools doesn't work for the TAB, she works for NZTR.
To your "full renovation" point, I take what they're doing at Awapuni (starting from scratch, adding sand to the soil to improve drainage, installing new drainage and irrigation) to be a full renovation. Washing a house doesn't count as a renovation, nor does mowing a track and cleaning up debris.
-
Wasn't there talk of building a new track a wee way south-west of town? Rather than a full reno of the turf at the present site why not sell the current track for houses (it's already surrounded by them) and build new? Bonus points if you design a track with a decent start point for the 1600m.
Just Ben
in Thoroughbred Cafe
Posted
I went to Karaka for the first time in 2017 and my pick of the sale of the horses I saw was Avantage. I went again in 2019 and my pick of the sale was Just Ben. It seems I have an eye for a good horse, but also an eye for a not-so-good horse. Unfortunately I don't know which eye is which.