RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

shaneMcAlister

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Everything posted by shaneMcAlister

  1. In Brian De Lore's latest article (http://www.theoptimist.site/) he has a graph on the shrinkage of our mares served and foal crop. He has actuals and then forecast. I have added in the % row. How would he have the foal crop as a percentage to mares served shrink from 60% down to 49%? I always assumed that less mares served could actually result in a very slight increase in the foal crop as a percentage.
  2. I think they will thrive over there, they are still at a stage in life where they are young enough to give it a good crack. They have the access to top jockeys too. Look forward to supporting them over there.
  3. I am just guessing here, but think they cannot find enough staff in todays tight employment market to count all the money made through racing horses in NZ.
  4. I hope this is proved incorrect. Jump racing offers so much to racing and those that particiapate in jump racing.
  5. In my humble opinion, jump racing is better for horse welfare than the emphasis on 2yo racing. In Ireland you buy store horses, unbroken 4yo's for a career at jumps. They will race generally between 5-10 years old. Very often 2yo racing can be the end of a horses career.
  6. They do a bit of it in Ireland and France too....
  7. You are never replicating this anywhere else in the world. Cheltenham is a different beast. People live and breath the festival, no bands needed, no free entry, no fashion parades just the horses and the betting. The crowds line the walk back to the winners enclosure to cheer the horses, they love the horses and the participants. Jump racing has a different breed of supporters to the flat. Ascot is great but it is not pure like Cheltenham.
  8. WORLD POOL EXPLAINED World Pool is a collaboration between the Hong Kong Jockey Club, TDCO Limited and Tpoolco Limited (together trading as “Tote”) and Ascot Racecourse. It enables racegoers to bet into a global pool consisting of over 20 countries, resulting in significantly bigger pools and increasing the total amount that can be won.
  9. This is not correct. Fixed odds markets are framed at a percentage, TAB can be as high as 135% in early markets and work its way down to 115% before the off. However they can still have a losing race, if their take on each horse is not inproportion, and it never wlll be. Tote markets have a % take out. Both operate separately, so you don't add one to the other. I am a massive advocate of the world tote.
  10. I would prefer we had a 1% human welfare contribution rather than the animal one. I think our game would be in a better place. Good luck to her. All owners and trainers should be able to take care of their own animal welfare, humans not so unfortunately.
  11. Didn't see that happening......Naturally all owners and trainers will be compensated for costs incurred....
  12. What Te Akau charge is totally up to them. It's like a coffee shop charging $6 for a coffee as opposed to $4.50 for a coffee, if the market can stand it then so be it. Te Akau would have some overheads that other outfits don't, higher marketing costs, high communication costs with owners etc too. I am sure that a business the size of Te Akau's would have to encounter some bad debts too that have to be rightfully spread across the business. What I find hard to take is the media projection that only DCE can buy good horses. Why whenever a Te Akau horse wins that the article has to say how much the horse cost and that is was purchased by DCE, whereas that is not the case for other stables. I think this angle tends to make the casual public think that the only way for success in racing is to join Te Akau.
  13. Looking forward to following Jamie’s success. Good luck to him and Mark Walker back in nz.
  14. I’m won’t be disappointing for the purchaser…I think they have a great purchase. Correct foal and you could get most of it back
  15. Hi I presume you are discussing this website, https://www.metvuw.com/forecast/forecast.php?type=rain&region=nzni I personally use this one too. Track preparation, like all of NZ racing needs massive financial investment too. This extends to being able to pay high salaries to obtain and retain the suitably qualified staff.
  16. Covid protocols, jump jockeys staying separate from flat jockeys
  17. Hi I am no longer part of Counties since the merger (I believe this will be a total success). But I will provide my two cents for what its worth. The vast majority of todays scratchings will be dry track horses I am guessing as I think the track will race ok. Due to the timing of Counties races the track renovations have always occurred after the mid December meeting and before the late January one. This was the only real window they had. As you can imagine there could not be a worse time of year to try and regrow the grass. This year was particularly dry. However a renovation needed to be done so that the track could handle the extra race meetings. Going forward it is hoped that the programming will allow annual renovations to be done in a better time of the year. With money spent I think Pukekohe has the potential to produce a very good racing surface from Oct to May. There is a bore there so no issue with water. However money (hence the merger) must be spent to get a fit for pupose irrigation system. This would cost around $500K to be done properly. Winter will always be a problem for Pukekohe, it is low lying cost that has a lot of fog in winter so difficult to dry. I still dream of a winner there one day......
  18. Her first win was impressive. I think she should make over $1M comfortably. On her breeding and type she has the potential to be a better broodmare than Melody Belle.
  19. I think Mark Walker will find the horses he is competing against a lot different than when he was last here too.
  20. Murray Baker has an incredible record. Jeff Lynds has an astonishing record with unfashionably bred horses. He has given Danske, Just a Dancer, Electronic Zone and Don Edurado their only group 1 winners. Just off top of head. I think Jamie Richard’s, on top of his horse skills he has all the all round package (runs a big team of horses and staff, personable, modern and great communictor) to be a big success in HK. He has had Te Akau as a force in Oz since he has been there.
  21. I am happy to be corrected if this is not correct. I believe our pattern races have a minimum thresold to reach to ensure they keep their status. These thresolds are: Listed race (100) 56 races Group 3 (102) 43 races Group 2 (107) 27 races Group 1 (112) 21 races I believe for the pattern review our horses are rated on an international scale so will differ to NZ ratings. Excluding Roch 'N' Horse and Levante (who do not have new NZ ratings yet and will be deservedly hight) we only have about 16 horses in NZ currently rated above 100. And only one of these is rated above 107, that is Entriviere who is rated 108.
  22. I wholeheartly agree with this decision, I just would not catagorise as "Smart Work". To me this is the same as looking into a paddock and realising the grass is gone and you need to move the cattle to another paddock.
  23. There was a rising tide for all bookmakers world wide during Covid. I somehow do not feel like these record distributions have filtered down to grass roots yet. Their website and app still under perform and crash. But the solution is to "just reload the app".
  24. I can't understand why we must have the same track ratings as Australia yet we don't have the same corrrective aid (whip) rule as Australia. That is no limit inside the final 100.
  25. I was in the Uk when this family was flying, all the Abdulla colours. Good luck.