RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

stodge

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  1. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    It's been mentioned elsewhere but Olivier Peslier has retired at the age of 51. The two horses with whom I associate him most are PEINTRE CELEBRE and GOLDIKOVA. The former had a srellar season in 1997 winning the Jockey Club, the Grand Prix de Paris and the Arc and his performance in the Arc, when he demolished the track record by three seconds, was brilliant.
    GOLDIKOVA was the top European older horse in both 2009 and 2010 and won a string of Group 1 races at a mile and topped it off by winning the Breeders Cup Mile in 2008, 2009 and 2010.
    One of his biggest friends is Frankie Dettori and he has sent a fulsome tribute to his weighing room colleague.
    Back to the action at hand and we have the declarations for Sandown's flat card on Friday. Seven stand in the Group 2 Mile and as expected the money has come for CHARYN who mixed it in the very best company last season including runs behind PADDINGTON in the Irish Guineas, St James's Palace and Sussex and he was beaten only four lengths each time so that looks good form in Group 2 company. I still think POKER FACE as the one to put up against him but the each way angle has gone so I'll probably stick with CHARYN who wouldn't mind any of the forecast rain.
    There are a couple of Group 3 races on the card and the Classic Trial over 2000m includes Godolphin's ARABIAN CROWN who is currently 12s for the Derby.
    Just seven first entries for the Ganay at Longchamp on Sunday where the ground is Very Heavy. FANTASTIC MOON is one of the better German horses and ran midfield in the Arc. The return at Hoppegarten over Easter was okay and he should be spot on for this. The lightly raced AL RIFFA is interesting for Joseph O'Brien. FEED THE FLAME was three places in front of FANTASTIC MOON in the Arc but was very disappointing in the Harcourt on reappearance.
  2. Like
    stodge got a reaction from THE TORCH in Jumps racing   
    KHAFEEF, who was fourth in the steeplechase, was bred by Shadwell up here and I'm sure they had bigger ambitions than running round northern New Zealand over fences.
    He raced in France in 2019 and won a 2400m race at Le Touquet but that was his only win in four starts.
    If you want to revitalise NZ jump racing come to the UK and Ireland and spread the word - at Stratford (the home of Mr Shakespeare) this afternoon the Class 4 handicap chase nets the winning owner less than £4k (or $8000) yet you have jumps races for £15k. Without being unkind, I'm sure there are plenty of NH horses up here who could compete with your chasers and hurdlers - I mean, if Willie Mullins sent over a plane load of his third-raters, he'd probably clean up.
    Why not create a satellite yard for British and Irish jumpers in NZ - again, it's an alternative to our summer jumping for the fast ground types. Plenty of logistical issues but where there's a will there's usually a dead person (sorry).
    Have a look at the French racing model - in France they have meetings with trotting, flat turf, ordinary jumps and cross country jumps races in the provinces. Imagine a venue where all four exist and you could stage any kind of meeting you like. I have to say the French trotting races (both Monte and Attele which mean ridden and attached so one is where there's a jockey and the other where there's a driver) seem well attended for all some of the tracks look to be in grotty industrial estates.
    Just a few thoughts from a long way away but I enjoy jump racing and there's a place for it. I don't know how many of you watched the Grand National last weekend - it's not the race it was (that's another debate) but it's still visually spectacular. Run the Great Northern or the National for $2,000,000 and invite foreign runners - make it the jump equivalent of the Melbourne Cup.
    Final thought - the grass roots - pony club racing, point to points - both have to be nourished and developed to keep a flow of jockeys and horses. Import two or three jumping stallions from up here.
  3. Like
    stodge got a reaction from mckenzie in Jumps racing   
    KHAFEEF, who was fourth in the steeplechase, was bred by Shadwell up here and I'm sure they had bigger ambitions than running round northern New Zealand over fences.
    He raced in France in 2019 and won a 2400m race at Le Touquet but that was his only win in four starts.
    If you want to revitalise NZ jump racing come to the UK and Ireland and spread the word - at Stratford (the home of Mr Shakespeare) this afternoon the Class 4 handicap chase nets the winning owner less than £4k (or $8000) yet you have jumps races for £15k. Without being unkind, I'm sure there are plenty of NH horses up here who could compete with your chasers and hurdlers - I mean, if Willie Mullins sent over a plane load of his third-raters, he'd probably clean up.
    Why not create a satellite yard for British and Irish jumpers in NZ - again, it's an alternative to our summer jumping for the fast ground types. Plenty of logistical issues but where there's a will there's usually a dead person (sorry).
    Have a look at the French racing model - in France they have meetings with trotting, flat turf, ordinary jumps and cross country jumps races in the provinces. Imagine a venue where all four exist and you could stage any kind of meeting you like. I have to say the French trotting races (both Monte and Attele which mean ridden and attached so one is where there's a jockey and the other where there's a driver) seem well attended for all some of the tracks look to be in grotty industrial estates.
    Just a few thoughts from a long way away but I enjoy jump racing and there's a place for it. I don't know how many of you watched the Grand National last weekend - it's not the race it was (that's another debate) but it's still visually spectacular. Run the Great Northern or the National for $2,000,000 and invite foreign runners - make it the jump equivalent of the Melbourne Cup.
    Final thought - the grass roots - pony club racing, point to points - both have to be nourished and developed to keep a flow of jockeys and horses. Import two or three jumping stallions from up here.
  4. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    Looking ahead to the weekend, the centre piece is the two day Sandown meeting which used to be one of the few Mixed (both flat and jumps races) meetings in the calendar but the two cards were split a few years back. Friday is all flat racing while Saturday is the Jumps Finale. The ground on the flat course is Good, Good to Soft in places while the Clerk has been watering the track for the past fortnight to ensure Good ground for the jumpers. In the past, the Whitbread Gold Cup (the final big handicap) was often run on Firm ground.
    Friday's Flat card features the Group 2 Sandown Mile which is run over a mile (not surprising) at Sandown (even less surprising). NOSTRUM is favourite but for me he's been a bit of a talking horse while LORD NORTH was disappointing in the Dubai Turf. CHARRYN looked good at Doncaster but I like POKER FACE who looked to be on the upgrade when winning the Daniel Wildenstein at the Arc meeting last autumn.
    Saturday is the big jumping day - 14 have been entered for the Grade 1 Celebration Chase over 3150m. It's a cracking field and indeed had this lot turned up for the Champion Chase at Cheltenham you wouldn't have batted an eyelid. EL FABIOLO made a desperate mistake at the fence past the stands at Cheltenham and that ended his participation - if he does that at Sandown the result will be the same. JONBON missed Cheltenham but looked very good at Aintree over 4000m. I just wonder if he has the gears these days for a strongly run 3200 (or 3150m) race. GAELIC WARRIOR is the up and coming novice who won the Arkle - apart from his lacklustre performance at the Dublin Racing Festival he's looked very good. EDWARDSTONE was aruguably held by CAPTAIN GUINNESS when coming to grief two out in the Champion Chase. The eventual winner is well held on some pieces of form but looks a solid each way option at 9s. These five dominate the race - the remainder are 150s rated handicappers who will struggle to live with these top notchers.
    The Grade 2 Oaksey Chase over 4450m sees Aintree second AHOY SENOR as favourite but this isn't really the track for him in my view. The stables of Willie Mullins, Gordon Elliott and Henry de Bromhead are well represented in the entries and JOURNEY WITH ME from the de Bromhead has real claims if acting on the quicker ground. The Select Hurdle, another Grade 2 over 4200m, has a number of entries who are also in the chases so we'll know more after the final declarations on Thursday.
    France stages the first European Group 1 of the campaign on Sunday with the Ganay over 2100m - more on that as we get to the final declarations on Friday.
  5. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    Plenty going on up here but not the highest quality currently. There's been no Grade or Group 1 since the last day of the National meeting and the next Group 2 is at Sandown on Friday and the next Grade 1 at Sandown on Saturday.
    Catching up on recent events under both codes:
    Flat:
    Classic trials are very much the order of the day with the Craven meeting at Newmarket and the Spring meeting at Newbury last week both being of interest to an extent. Newmarket's opening meeting of 2024 took place on quick spring ground. The opening day card was low key - the highlight was KIKKULI winning the 1400m 3-y-o maiden. He's a half to none other than Frankel and if he can get anywhere near what that champion achieved, he'll do very well.
    The quality pushed up a notch last Wednesday - JAYAREBE was a likeable winner of the 1800m Listed and could be seen next in a race like the Dante at York but the fillies had their trial in the Nell Gwyn. DANCE SEQUENCE, second or third favourite ante post for the 1000 Guineas, went off a shade of odds on but was just beaten by PRETTY CRYSTAL. The former remains 5s for the classic on May 5th and Charlie Appleby was very much of the view the run and an extra 200m would see her improve a lot - she'd need to on this evidence but the race was run in a very good time and may turn out to be decent. Two other fillies caught my eye at the end of the day - BOLSANA won the 1600m maiden and could be anything while KALPANA was kicked up from 77 to 94 after a ten length win in the 2000m handicap - it will be interesting to see where both go next.
    The final day featured the Craven over the full 2000 Guineas trip for the colts. There were some tall reputations on the line with the best form arguably from the Dewhurst third EBEN SHADDAD but he was put in his place by HATTAM from the Richard Hannon stable which has started very well. The winner won the Vintage at Goodwood last year but was eight and a half lengths behind CITY OF TROY in the Dewhurst. The trainer thought better ground would see the horse to better effect and I can see him running well at a price in the 2000 Guineas. The French raider ALCANTOR disappointed by pulling too hard as did the Godolphin challenger NATIVE APPROACH while CAMBRIDGE, from the Aidan O'Brien yard, was well held in fourth.
    On to Newbury's two day card and the one from Friday's racing was the Hannon filly STAR STYLE who bolted up in the 1400m for unraced 3-y-o. She might have beaten trees but she did it well and I look forward to seeing her run again. Saturday saw the two classic trials over the straight 1400m on ground just on the easy side of Good. The Dubai Duty Free for the fillies had only six runners and it was a very tight three way finish which went the way of FOLGARIA who had won five in Italy as a juvenile. How good she really is I don't know but she showed the benefit of experience over some other types who looked gree under pressure. There was another bunch finish in the Greenham for the colts - ESQUIRE produced a shock at 16s but as a gelding cannot run in the 2000 Guineas. Barely half a length separated the next four home with a dead heat for second and third suggesting the form probably isn't that strong.
    The current ante post betting for the 2000 Guineas has CITY OF TROY at 4/6 and ROSALLION at 4s. HAATEM is 20s and there are worse each way bets for all the stable thinks ROSALLION is a bit special.
    The 1000 Guineas is more open - FALLEN ANGEL, who had a racecourse gallop on the Wednesday morning, the 11/4 favourite with YLANG YLANG at 3s and DANCE SEQUENCE at 5s.
    The other points to note are both the Ballydoyle runners at Newmarket ran moderately and the stable hasn't had many runners in Ireland yet while the Newmarket horses seem behind those elsewhere especially Lambourn - the Gosden horses all ran as though they would come on a lot for the race.
    Jumps:
    The season starts to wind down after the National but the ongoing Trainers' Championship battle has provided a real element of interest in the closing stages. The better ground has also meant some types who have basically been unable to run due to the incredibly wet winter, are finally getting a chance to shine. IN EXECLSIS DEO won the 4000m Grade 2 chase at Cheltenham last Wednesday and he's a fine example of a good ground performer - he had run with credit when fifth in a handicap at the Festival on ground which was too slow for him. MALAITA was an impressive winner of the Grade 2 4000m Mares Novice chase on Thursday and is very much one for the notebook.
    The circus moved to Ayr on Saturday for the Scottish Grand National meeting. Willie Mullins effectively sealed the Trainers Championship with a four timer including the £112,500 National over 6400m which saw MCDERMOTT win by a nose. There was a bunch finish for the Grade 2 Scottish Champion Hurdle which saw FAVOUR AND FORTUNE keep the prize for the British just holding off BIALYSTOK from Team Mullins. Mullins will be twisting the knife with a strong raiding party for the three day Perth meeting starting tomorrow and while Dan Skelton is talking a brave race, £180k of gap looks too much to close now.
     
     
  6. Like
    stodge got a reaction from wph in Jumps racing   
    KHAFEEF, who was fourth in the steeplechase, was bred by Shadwell up here and I'm sure they had bigger ambitions than running round northern New Zealand over fences.
    He raced in France in 2019 and won a 2400m race at Le Touquet but that was his only win in four starts.
    If you want to revitalise NZ jump racing come to the UK and Ireland and spread the word - at Stratford (the home of Mr Shakespeare) this afternoon the Class 4 handicap chase nets the winning owner less than £4k (or $8000) yet you have jumps races for £15k. Without being unkind, I'm sure there are plenty of NH horses up here who could compete with your chasers and hurdlers - I mean, if Willie Mullins sent over a plane load of his third-raters, he'd probably clean up.
    Why not create a satellite yard for British and Irish jumpers in NZ - again, it's an alternative to our summer jumping for the fast ground types. Plenty of logistical issues but where there's a will there's usually a dead person (sorry).
    Have a look at the French racing model - in France they have meetings with trotting, flat turf, ordinary jumps and cross country jumps races in the provinces. Imagine a venue where all four exist and you could stage any kind of meeting you like. I have to say the French trotting races (both Monte and Attele which mean ridden and attached so one is where there's a jockey and the other where there's a driver) seem well attended for all some of the tracks look to be in grotty industrial estates.
    Just a few thoughts from a long way away but I enjoy jump racing and there's a place for it. I don't know how many of you watched the Grand National last weekend - it's not the race it was (that's another debate) but it's still visually spectacular. Run the Great Northern or the National for $2,000,000 and invite foreign runners - make it the jump equivalent of the Melbourne Cup.
    Final thought - the grass roots - pony club racing, point to points - both have to be nourished and developed to keep a flow of jockeys and horses. Import two or three jumping stallions from up here.
  7. Like
    stodge got a reaction from Aaron Bidlake in Jumps racing   
    KHAFEEF, who was fourth in the steeplechase, was bred by Shadwell up here and I'm sure they had bigger ambitions than running round northern New Zealand over fences.
    He raced in France in 2019 and won a 2400m race at Le Touquet but that was his only win in four starts.
    If you want to revitalise NZ jump racing come to the UK and Ireland and spread the word - at Stratford (the home of Mr Shakespeare) this afternoon the Class 4 handicap chase nets the winning owner less than £4k (or $8000) yet you have jumps races for £15k. Without being unkind, I'm sure there are plenty of NH horses up here who could compete with your chasers and hurdlers - I mean, if Willie Mullins sent over a plane load of his third-raters, he'd probably clean up.
    Why not create a satellite yard for British and Irish jumpers in NZ - again, it's an alternative to our summer jumping for the fast ground types. Plenty of logistical issues but where there's a will there's usually a dead person (sorry).
    Have a look at the French racing model - in France they have meetings with trotting, flat turf, ordinary jumps and cross country jumps races in the provinces. Imagine a venue where all four exist and you could stage any kind of meeting you like. I have to say the French trotting races (both Monte and Attele which mean ridden and attached so one is where there's a jockey and the other where there's a driver) seem well attended for all some of the tracks look to be in grotty industrial estates.
    Just a few thoughts from a long way away but I enjoy jump racing and there's a place for it. I don't know how many of you watched the Grand National last weekend - it's not the race it was (that's another debate) but it's still visually spectacular. Run the Great Northern or the National for $2,000,000 and invite foreign runners - make it the jump equivalent of the Melbourne Cup.
    Final thought - the grass roots - pony club racing, point to points - both have to be nourished and developed to keep a flow of jockeys and horses. Import two or three jumping stallions from up here.
  8. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Pam Robson in Jumps racing   
    KHAFEEF, who was fourth in the steeplechase, was bred by Shadwell up here and I'm sure they had bigger ambitions than running round northern New Zealand over fences.
    He raced in France in 2019 and won a 2400m race at Le Touquet but that was his only win in four starts.
    If you want to revitalise NZ jump racing come to the UK and Ireland and spread the word - at Stratford (the home of Mr Shakespeare) this afternoon the Class 4 handicap chase nets the winning owner less than £4k (or $8000) yet you have jumps races for £15k. Without being unkind, I'm sure there are plenty of NH horses up here who could compete with your chasers and hurdlers - I mean, if Willie Mullins sent over a plane load of his third-raters, he'd probably clean up.
    Why not create a satellite yard for British and Irish jumpers in NZ - again, it's an alternative to our summer jumping for the fast ground types. Plenty of logistical issues but where there's a will there's usually a dead person (sorry).
    Have a look at the French racing model - in France they have meetings with trotting, flat turf, ordinary jumps and cross country jumps races in the provinces. Imagine a venue where all four exist and you could stage any kind of meeting you like. I have to say the French trotting races (both Monte and Attele which mean ridden and attached so one is where there's a jockey and the other where there's a driver) seem well attended for all some of the tracks look to be in grotty industrial estates.
    Just a few thoughts from a long way away but I enjoy jump racing and there's a place for it. I don't know how many of you watched the Grand National last weekend - it's not the race it was (that's another debate) but it's still visually spectacular. Run the Great Northern or the National for $2,000,000 and invite foreign runners - make it the jump equivalent of the Melbourne Cup.
    Final thought - the grass roots - pony club racing, point to points - both have to be nourished and developed to keep a flow of jockeys and horses. Import two or three jumping stallions from up here.
  9. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from fermoy in Jumps racing   
    KHAFEEF, who was fourth in the steeplechase, was bred by Shadwell up here and I'm sure they had bigger ambitions than running round northern New Zealand over fences.
    He raced in France in 2019 and won a 2400m race at Le Touquet but that was his only win in four starts.
    If you want to revitalise NZ jump racing come to the UK and Ireland and spread the word - at Stratford (the home of Mr Shakespeare) this afternoon the Class 4 handicap chase nets the winning owner less than £4k (or $8000) yet you have jumps races for £15k. Without being unkind, I'm sure there are plenty of NH horses up here who could compete with your chasers and hurdlers - I mean, if Willie Mullins sent over a plane load of his third-raters, he'd probably clean up.
    Why not create a satellite yard for British and Irish jumpers in NZ - again, it's an alternative to our summer jumping for the fast ground types. Plenty of logistical issues but where there's a will there's usually a dead person (sorry).
    Have a look at the French racing model - in France they have meetings with trotting, flat turf, ordinary jumps and cross country jumps races in the provinces. Imagine a venue where all four exist and you could stage any kind of meeting you like. I have to say the French trotting races (both Monte and Attele which mean ridden and attached so one is where there's a jockey and the other where there's a driver) seem well attended for all some of the tracks look to be in grotty industrial estates.
    Just a few thoughts from a long way away but I enjoy jump racing and there's a place for it. I don't know how many of you watched the Grand National last weekend - it's not the race it was (that's another debate) but it's still visually spectacular. Run the Great Northern or the National for $2,000,000 and invite foreign runners - make it the jump equivalent of the Melbourne Cup.
    Final thought - the grass roots - pony club racing, point to points - both have to be nourished and developed to keep a flow of jockeys and horses. Import two or three jumping stallions from up here.
  10. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    FInally, time to review Grand National day at Aintree and a dry night and a warm and dry afternoon left the ground on the Mildmay course Good to Soft.
    Three championship races alongside the feature handicap starting with the Mersey Hurdle over 4000m for the intermediate novices. The morning scratching of CALDWELL POTTER left BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD a warm favourite against the second and third from the Gallagher, JIMMY DU SEUIL and ILE ATLANTIQUE who had no answers to BALLYBURN at Prestbury Park.
    An impressive performance by the mare BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD who looks destined for much greater things on this evidence. Trainer Gordon Elliott has always held her in high regard and her defeat by GOLDEN ROSE at Cheltenham was a real blow. Over this trip and on this better ground, she looked much more at ease and fences look on the cards next year - it's been a while since we've had a really good staying mare among the chasers but this one could put that right.
    ILE ATLANTIQUE ran far too keen through the first circuit and was beaten two out and it was the outsider STAFFORDSHIRE KNOT who made it a 1-2 for Elliott and Gigginstown Stud with even bigger outside BUGUISE SEAGULL outrunning his 50/1 odds in third.
    The staying hurdlers had their turn in the Liverpool Hurdle over 4850m and this looked an open race. FLOORING PORTER, second in the stayers at Cheltenham, went off favourite while there was support for the Irish challengers HIDDENVALLEY LAKE and BUDDY ONE in a race perhaps a notch below the usual quality.
    I've been a fan of STRONG LEADER for a while - he ran a fine race in the Cleeve at Cheltenham and it's quite clear connections were waiting for this race and also for better ground and the ground dried enough for him to show his best. He was always travelling well, indeed a little too well down the far side on the second circuit and Sean Bowen had to take a pull but he was able to pick up HIDDENVALLEY LAKE and BUDDY ONE approaching the last and won with authority.
     Although a 10-y-o, MONKFISH doesn't have many miles on the clock and continued his revival here - back in 2021 he was one of the top novice chasers and there's another big race in him on this evidence. FLOORING PORTER did his usual front running effort but I thought he went quick enough and he was well beaten two out and put in a disappointing effort. CRAMBO jumped poorly and I just wonder if he prefers to go right handed.
    After the theatricals of the big race, we still had a final championship race - the Maghull Novices Chase over 3200m and to be honest I thought FOUND A FIFTY was a certainty and had placed a big bet (for me) at 5/2 ante post and it's always good to see the on-course punters agreeing as he went off 11/8 favourite - doesn't make him a winner though.
    As you can imagine, I died a thousand deaths up the run in but credit to Jack Kennedy who had ridden the second in the National an hour earlier. I thought FOUND A FIFTY was a certainty and up to the second last I was confident but MASTER CHEWY who had fallen two out in the Arkle when arguably heading for third place put in a much better effort and outjumped FOUND A FIFTY at the last. On another day, he'd have prevailed but Kennedy and the winner were the epitome of courage and tenacity and rallied to snatch the spoils.
    LIBBERTY HUNTER ran on into third but was beaten 11 lengths. The winner might go ever further next year but MASTER CHEWY looks a real 3200m type. Never mind, it was a good run and cleared a decent profit on the meeting where I think I offered six of the eleven championship race winners so well done to me.
    The Trainers' Championship looks like it will go right to the wire - thanks to winning the National and other big races, Willie Mullins has poached a £40k lead on Dan Skelton and Paul Nicholls despite only having won 19 races in the UK. - the table is ranking, trainer name, winners, placed horses,  number of runners and total win and place prize money.                                                      
      1 W. P. Mullins 19 64 124 £2,874,693 2 Dan Skelton 113 360 733 £2,834,894 3 Paul Nicholls 123 239 513 £2,756,253 There's still the Scottish Grand National meeting at Ayr this weekend and the Finale at Sandown on Saturday week. 
  11. Like
    stodge got a reaction from Pam Robson in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    The first day of the Grand National meeting took place on ground described as Soft, Heavy in places on the Mildmay track and Heavy, Soft in places on the Grand National course.
    Four Grade 1 championship races on the day and the card opened with the Manifesto Novices Chase over 4000m which saw the 1-2 from the Turners at Cheltenham (GREY DAWNING and GINNY'S DESTINY) take on the third from the Arkle in the form of IL ETAIT TEMPS.
    IL ETAIT TEMPS had been let down by his jumping in the Arkle but he's got a serious engine and Paul Townend declined the early gallop sent by Harry Cobden on GINNY'S DESTINY. They went a decent but not insane gallop but on a flat track IL ETAIT TEMPS seemed much happier which he had shown in the Irish Arkle in February.
    When Townend put the horse in the race at the third last it was game over for both GINNY'S DESTINY and GREY DAWNING who both look like 4800m chasers for next season and IL ETAIT TEMPS powered away to win by nine lengths. I don't know if Punchestown is on the agenda and the problem they are going to have with this one is he doesn't quite have the speed to mix with the 3200m types but has too much tactical speed for the 4800m races. A race like the Melling here next spring over the same course and distance would be ideal.
    Nicky Henderson had a wretched Cheltenham failing to secure a win for the first time since 2008 but with signs the stable was coming back, SIR GINO was strongly supported for the Anniversary 4-y-o Hurdle against the Triumph runner up KARGESE and the promising KALIF DU BERLAIS.
    An emphatic win for SIR GINO who was simply too good for KARGESE after the last and you'd think on that line he'd beat MAJBOROUGH as well. Whether he'll be asked to go to Punchestown I don't know but Henderson commented the horse might go chasing in the autumn rather than be aimed at the Champion Hurdle. KARGESE ran well and is the best juvenile filly out there and will no doubt pay her way next year.
    The track was all wrong for KALIF DU BERLAIS who looks like a chaser now and I think would beat SIR GINO over fences but that's a question for another day.
    Just 27 days after finishing runner up in the Gold Cup, GERRI COLOMBE was a big fancy for the Aintree Bowl. Among the opposition were Gold Cup also rans BRAVEMANSGAME and GENTLEMANSGAME and the enigmatic SHISHKIN as well as the promising staying novice CORBETTS CROSS.
    A workmanlike win for GERRI COLOMBE who ultimately had too much class for AHOY SENOR who, as usual, raced close to the pace at a track where he always performs well. CORBETTS CROSS looked to have every chance two out but couldn't go with the leaders in the final stage. SHISHKIN ran okay but didn't jump with much fluency and I just think he prefers decent ground these days while BRAVEMANSGAME has disappointed all season and I think the hard race in the 2023 Gold Cup bottomed the horse.
    CORBETTS CROSS is only a 7-y-o and this was a run full of promise and I can see him being competitive in the Gold Cup next year as we know he stays strongly. AHOY SENOR was runner up to SHISHKIN in this last year and again ran a blinder. He seems to prefer the flatter tracks and doesn't perform at the likes of Cheltenham.
    GERRI COLOMBE was no match for GALOPIN DES CHAMPS at either Leopardstown or Cheltenham but he's a very good horse and also has time on his side. He's another who looks to like faster tracks and quicker ground and given how wet the winter has been he's done well. I'd love to see him in the King George at Kempton on decent ground.
    There's no Grade 1 4000m hurdle for those outside novice company and the Aintree Hurdle fills the role for the intermediate specialists though plenty of Champion Hurdle types have run in the race in times past. This year, IMPAIRE ET PASSE was backed into favourite having missed Cheltenham but looked to have plety to do against BOB OLINGER who had chased home STATE MAN in the Irish Champion Hurdle and for whom the return to 4000m was a big plus.
    A race with drama and controversy in abundance and tv viewers got to hear the jockeys giving evidence at the subsequent stewards' enquiry (though not the deliberations of the stewards themselves). From the second last there was a lot of pushing and shoving among the first three home and with IMPAIRE ET PASSE jumping right at the last and LANGER DAN jumping left and the two jockeys trying to correct their mounts, it all got very messy and with BOB OLINGER also leaning in close to the post and the front three split by a nose and a short head you can appreciate the sense of drama.
    In the end, I suspect, the stewards opted to file the whole thing in the "too difficult" column and IMPAIRE ET PASSE kept the race. You could argue both BOB OLINGER and LANGER DAN were unlucky and on another day you might get a different result. The winner has had a difficult season and I do wonder if they will finally put him over fences in the autumn. BOB OLINGER is a solid performer at this trip and while LANGER DAN won a handicap at Cheltenham I can't help but think he might be the one to try over further and join the stayers division.
    I'll mention the fact I gave you all four winners because no one else will. I backed them individually but wish I'd done the accumulator - £10 on the four winners paid £546 which would have kept Mrs Stodge in steak and champagne for a week or so.
  12. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    On to the second day of the Grand National meeting and despite a little overnight rain, the ground remained Soft on the Mildmay course.
    A drier and warmer day brought a larger crowd for Ladies' Day which is more often not about what the ladies are wearing but what they aren't. 
    On the track, four more championship races kicked off with the Mildmay for the staying novices over 5000m. Just six went to post and INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN went off favourite following his wide margin win in the Amateur riders handicap at Cheltenham, GIOVINCO had run third in the Brown Advisory while IROKO had shown a lot of promise on his chase debut before missing much of the winter through injury.
    A 1-2 for the JP McManus colours but those who had backed the favourite were getting ready to tear up their tickets three out as the horse wasn't jumping and was actually last of the six on the home turn but as had happened at Cheltenham Mark Walsh followed the famous adage that when the going gets tough the tough get going and INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN quickened well between the last two to seal the race. He's obviously a fast improving type and you just wonder where he could go next - he won this off 158 so he'll be in the elite 160s cohort putting him right in the mix for all the top staying chases next season.
    IROKO did little wrong for all I think he prefers better ground. The race was marred by the loss of GIOVINCO who took a fatal fall at the last.
    The Top Novices Hurdle over 3200m saw the second and third from the Supreme at Cheltenham, MYSTICAL POWER and FIREFOX, renew rivalry. Many thought the latter had been unlucky at Cheltenham and the two dominated the betting market, the race having lost some of its interest with the late scratching of both DYSART ENOS and GOLDEN ACE, two serious local mares who might have had a real say in this.
    MYSTICAL POWER is a son of the great Annie Power (out of Galileo) who herself won 15 of her 17 races including the 2016 Champion Hurdle following up in the Aintree Hurdle which proved to be her swansong.
    The progeny is heading in the right direction and has a lot of his mother's tenacity and courage which he needed to repel FIREFOX who got to within half a length. As expected, the two dominated and both are exciting prospects for next winter whether as hurdlers in open company or over the larger obstacles.
    The day's feature was the Melling Chase over 4000m and while the quality of this race has been diminished slightly by the coming of the Ryanair it remains the focal point for the intermediate and speed chasers to meet. JONBON had swerved Cheltenham as part of the issues with the Henderson camp and with EL FABIOLO failing it must be considered a lost opportunity yet for this top 3200m chaser it was a first foray over 4000m. He faced PROTEKTORAT, the former Gold Cup third who had re-invented himself over the intermediate trip this campaign culminating in his Ryanair win. Both CONFLATED and ENVOI ALLEN were strong Irish challengers along with intermediate specialist and former winner of this race PIC D'ORHY who has continued to excel on his favoured right-handed tracks.
    A treble for owner J P McManus but this time from the stable of Nicky Henderson and redemption of sorts for the Cheltenham problems. Rather like his stable companion SHISHKIN who in his younger days had excelled at 3200m before finding a second career over further, JONBON made light of the step up to 4000m and looks a serious contender for races like the Ryanair next season. There was talk of a trip to Punchestown but I think they'll give him a go at the Celebration at Sandown in a couple of weeks.
    CONFLATED ran his best race for a while and has mixed it with the likes of GERRI COLOMBE and GALOPIN DES CHAMPS this year. Aintree seemed to suit him just as Leopardstown does and you could argue on some form lines he comes out very near the head of the table. He reversed Cheltenham form with PROTEKTORAT who, conversely, didn't seem to take so well to the flatter track of Aintree.
    PIC D'ORHY didn't enjoy either the ground or the track or indeed the way the race developed and while the finale race at Sandown would be ideal in some respects I just wonder if he's done enough for the season.
    Finally, we had the staying novice hurdlers in the Sefton Novices Hurdle which oince again saw Cheltenham form represented by THE JUKEBOX MAN and DANCING CITY who had finished second and third in the Albert Bartlett, albeit split by seven lengths. Nicky Henderson had a wretched Cheltenham and SHANAGH BOB, who had looked good when winning at Cheltenham before Christmas, had been his Albert Bartlett possible. With the stable back to some kind of form and the horse fresher than many, the punters backed SHANAGH BOB accordingly and he went off second best at 7/2.
    THE JUKEBOX MAN tried the same front running tactics which had so nearly worked at Cheltenham but both he and KYNTARA, who disputed the lead, probably went half a stride too quick. KYNTATA was exhausted when falling at the last (got up okay) and THE JUKEBOX MAN was easily picked off by DANCING CITY who comprehensively turned round the Cheltenham form and won this well despite idling in front. I imagine we'll see DANCING CITY over a fence next season and he looks a nice prospect as does the runner up.
    The second day then dominated by J P McManus and the ongoing three way battle for the Trainers Championship between Paul Nicholls, Willie Mullins and Dan Skelton with the biggest pot of them all, the National, just a day away.
  13. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    The first day of the Grand National meeting took place on ground described as Soft, Heavy in places on the Mildmay track and Heavy, Soft in places on the Grand National course.
    Four Grade 1 championship races on the day and the card opened with the Manifesto Novices Chase over 4000m which saw the 1-2 from the Turners at Cheltenham (GREY DAWNING and GINNY'S DESTINY) take on the third from the Arkle in the form of IL ETAIT TEMPS.
    IL ETAIT TEMPS had been let down by his jumping in the Arkle but he's got a serious engine and Paul Townend declined the early gallop sent by Harry Cobden on GINNY'S DESTINY. They went a decent but not insane gallop but on a flat track IL ETAIT TEMPS seemed much happier which he had shown in the Irish Arkle in February.
    When Townend put the horse in the race at the third last it was game over for both GINNY'S DESTINY and GREY DAWNING who both look like 4800m chasers for next season and IL ETAIT TEMPS powered away to win by nine lengths. I don't know if Punchestown is on the agenda and the problem they are going to have with this one is he doesn't quite have the speed to mix with the 3200m types but has too much tactical speed for the 4800m races. A race like the Melling here next spring over the same course and distance would be ideal.
    Nicky Henderson had a wretched Cheltenham failing to secure a win for the first time since 2008 but with signs the stable was coming back, SIR GINO was strongly supported for the Anniversary 4-y-o Hurdle against the Triumph runner up KARGESE and the promising KALIF DU BERLAIS.
    An emphatic win for SIR GINO who was simply too good for KARGESE after the last and you'd think on that line he'd beat MAJBOROUGH as well. Whether he'll be asked to go to Punchestown I don't know but Henderson commented the horse might go chasing in the autumn rather than be aimed at the Champion Hurdle. KARGESE ran well and is the best juvenile filly out there and will no doubt pay her way next year.
    The track was all wrong for KALIF DU BERLAIS who looks like a chaser now and I think would beat SIR GINO over fences but that's a question for another day.
    Just 27 days after finishing runner up in the Gold Cup, GERRI COLOMBE was a big fancy for the Aintree Bowl. Among the opposition were Gold Cup also rans BRAVEMANSGAME and GENTLEMANSGAME and the enigmatic SHISHKIN as well as the promising staying novice CORBETTS CROSS.
    A workmanlike win for GERRI COLOMBE who ultimately had too much class for AHOY SENOR who, as usual, raced close to the pace at a track where he always performs well. CORBETTS CROSS looked to have every chance two out but couldn't go with the leaders in the final stage. SHISHKIN ran okay but didn't jump with much fluency and I just think he prefers decent ground these days while BRAVEMANSGAME has disappointed all season and I think the hard race in the 2023 Gold Cup bottomed the horse.
    CORBETTS CROSS is only a 7-y-o and this was a run full of promise and I can see him being competitive in the Gold Cup next year as we know he stays strongly. AHOY SENOR was runner up to SHISHKIN in this last year and again ran a blinder. He seems to prefer the flatter tracks and doesn't perform at the likes of Cheltenham.
    GERRI COLOMBE was no match for GALOPIN DES CHAMPS at either Leopardstown or Cheltenham but he's a very good horse and also has time on his side. He's another who looks to like faster tracks and quicker ground and given how wet the winter has been he's done well. I'd love to see him in the King George at Kempton on decent ground.
    There's no Grade 1 4000m hurdle for those outside novice company and the Aintree Hurdle fills the role for the intermediate specialists though plenty of Champion Hurdle types have run in the race in times past. This year, IMPAIRE ET PASSE was backed into favourite having missed Cheltenham but looked to have plety to do against BOB OLINGER who had chased home STATE MAN in the Irish Champion Hurdle and for whom the return to 4000m was a big plus.
    A race with drama and controversy in abundance and tv viewers got to hear the jockeys giving evidence at the subsequent stewards' enquiry (though not the deliberations of the stewards themselves). From the second last there was a lot of pushing and shoving among the first three home and with IMPAIRE ET PASSE jumping right at the last and LANGER DAN jumping left and the two jockeys trying to correct their mounts, it all got very messy and with BOB OLINGER also leaning in close to the post and the front three split by a nose and a short head you can appreciate the sense of drama.
    In the end, I suspect, the stewards opted to file the whole thing in the "too difficult" column and IMPAIRE ET PASSE kept the race. You could argue both BOB OLINGER and LANGER DAN were unlucky and on another day you might get a different result. The winner has had a difficult season and I do wonder if they will finally put him over fences in the autumn. BOB OLINGER is a solid performer at this trip and while LANGER DAN won a handicap at Cheltenham I can't help but think he might be the one to try over further and join the stayers division.
    I'll mention the fact I gave you all four winners because no one else will. I backed them individually but wish I'd done the accumulator - £10 on the four winners paid £546 which would have kept Mrs Stodge in steak and champagne for a week or so.
  14. Like
    stodge got a reaction from mckenzie in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    The first day of the Grand National meeting took place on ground described as Soft, Heavy in places on the Mildmay track and Heavy, Soft in places on the Grand National course.
    Four Grade 1 championship races on the day and the card opened with the Manifesto Novices Chase over 4000m which saw the 1-2 from the Turners at Cheltenham (GREY DAWNING and GINNY'S DESTINY) take on the third from the Arkle in the form of IL ETAIT TEMPS.
    IL ETAIT TEMPS had been let down by his jumping in the Arkle but he's got a serious engine and Paul Townend declined the early gallop sent by Harry Cobden on GINNY'S DESTINY. They went a decent but not insane gallop but on a flat track IL ETAIT TEMPS seemed much happier which he had shown in the Irish Arkle in February.
    When Townend put the horse in the race at the third last it was game over for both GINNY'S DESTINY and GREY DAWNING who both look like 4800m chasers for next season and IL ETAIT TEMPS powered away to win by nine lengths. I don't know if Punchestown is on the agenda and the problem they are going to have with this one is he doesn't quite have the speed to mix with the 3200m types but has too much tactical speed for the 4800m races. A race like the Melling here next spring over the same course and distance would be ideal.
    Nicky Henderson had a wretched Cheltenham failing to secure a win for the first time since 2008 but with signs the stable was coming back, SIR GINO was strongly supported for the Anniversary 4-y-o Hurdle against the Triumph runner up KARGESE and the promising KALIF DU BERLAIS.
    An emphatic win for SIR GINO who was simply too good for KARGESE after the last and you'd think on that line he'd beat MAJBOROUGH as well. Whether he'll be asked to go to Punchestown I don't know but Henderson commented the horse might go chasing in the autumn rather than be aimed at the Champion Hurdle. KARGESE ran well and is the best juvenile filly out there and will no doubt pay her way next year.
    The track was all wrong for KALIF DU BERLAIS who looks like a chaser now and I think would beat SIR GINO over fences but that's a question for another day.
    Just 27 days after finishing runner up in the Gold Cup, GERRI COLOMBE was a big fancy for the Aintree Bowl. Among the opposition were Gold Cup also rans BRAVEMANSGAME and GENTLEMANSGAME and the enigmatic SHISHKIN as well as the promising staying novice CORBETTS CROSS.
    A workmanlike win for GERRI COLOMBE who ultimately had too much class for AHOY SENOR who, as usual, raced close to the pace at a track where he always performs well. CORBETTS CROSS looked to have every chance two out but couldn't go with the leaders in the final stage. SHISHKIN ran okay but didn't jump with much fluency and I just think he prefers decent ground these days while BRAVEMANSGAME has disappointed all season and I think the hard race in the 2023 Gold Cup bottomed the horse.
    CORBETTS CROSS is only a 7-y-o and this was a run full of promise and I can see him being competitive in the Gold Cup next year as we know he stays strongly. AHOY SENOR was runner up to SHISHKIN in this last year and again ran a blinder. He seems to prefer the flatter tracks and doesn't perform at the likes of Cheltenham.
    GERRI COLOMBE was no match for GALOPIN DES CHAMPS at either Leopardstown or Cheltenham but he's a very good horse and also has time on his side. He's another who looks to like faster tracks and quicker ground and given how wet the winter has been he's done well. I'd love to see him in the King George at Kempton on decent ground.
    There's no Grade 1 4000m hurdle for those outside novice company and the Aintree Hurdle fills the role for the intermediate specialists though plenty of Champion Hurdle types have run in the race in times past. This year, IMPAIRE ET PASSE was backed into favourite having missed Cheltenham but looked to have plety to do against BOB OLINGER who had chased home STATE MAN in the Irish Champion Hurdle and for whom the return to 4000m was a big plus.
    A race with drama and controversy in abundance and tv viewers got to hear the jockeys giving evidence at the subsequent stewards' enquiry (though not the deliberations of the stewards themselves). From the second last there was a lot of pushing and shoving among the first three home and with IMPAIRE ET PASSE jumping right at the last and LANGER DAN jumping left and the two jockeys trying to correct their mounts, it all got very messy and with BOB OLINGER also leaning in close to the post and the front three split by a nose and a short head you can appreciate the sense of drama.
    In the end, I suspect, the stewards opted to file the whole thing in the "too difficult" column and IMPAIRE ET PASSE kept the race. You could argue both BOB OLINGER and LANGER DAN were unlucky and on another day you might get a different result. The winner has had a difficult season and I do wonder if they will finally put him over fences in the autumn. BOB OLINGER is a solid performer at this trip and while LANGER DAN won a handicap at Cheltenham I can't help but think he might be the one to try over further and join the stayers division.
    I'll mention the fact I gave you all four winners because no one else will. I backed them individually but wish I'd done the accumulator - £10 on the four winners paid £546 which would have kept Mrs Stodge in steak and champagne for a week or so.
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    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    Already got a scratching on today's accumulator and other bets with CALDWELL POTTER taken out this morning. I've switched to ILE ATLANTIQUE.
    The National is down to 32 runners with two morning scratchings. I AM MAXIMUS has been supported in to 6s - he has solid form but tends to jump left and over 30 fences that's going to cost him ground and energy. CORACH RAMBLER was 4/1 (a stupid price) three days ago but is now 8s.
    The ground on the National course has dried to Soft, Good to Soft in places so it's not going to be as attritional a race as seemed likely at the beginning of the week except it will be - the ground is tacky and holding and if they go too quick early, they won't get home over 6850m.
    My two against the field are last year's runner up VANILLIER, who is well weighted with a number of these but he's 16s which is too big each way. I've also had a small punt on ADMIRABLY CHOSEN at 50s who won over 5200m at Down Royal last time but all his form is on drying ground and he could be unexposed.
  16. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    The final day declarations are in for the Grand National meeting and while we'll get to this afternoon's excitement in good time, for now time to look ahead.
    Nine go in the Mersey Novices Hurdle over 4000m. Cheltenham form is represented by BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD, runner up in the Mares Novices Hurdle and by the second and third from the Gallagher, JIMMY DU SEUIL, who completely outran his odds of 66s and ILE ATLANTIQUE. Neither were any match for the potential superstar BALLYBURN but I think ILE ATLANTIQUE could be the one to come out in front.
    The interesting one is CALDWELL POTTER who won the Grade 1 novice hurdle at the Christmas meeting at Leopardstown and was on course for Cheltenham when his owners, having lost a couple of young horses in quick succession, decided to get out of racing. All the horses went to a dispersal sale and CALDWELL POTTER was bought by the Hales, Mason, Done and Ferguson syndicate and sent to Paul Nicholls but the time out of training had taken its toll and the horse couldn't be got ready for Prestbury Park. If he brings his best form to the table he has a big chance and he's my idea of the winner.
    Twelve go in the Liverpool Hurdle for the stayers over 4850m. SIRE DU BERLAIS was fifth in the Stayers at Cheltenham but has won this the past two years and for all he is now a 12-y-o, he has a big chance. FLOORING PORTER has been second and third in the past two runnings and at Cheltenham was second to TEAHUPOO (who swerves the gig this time). Is this the time for the younger horse to prevail? Possibly. CRAMBO won the Long Walk at Ascot but disappointed at Cheltenham and I just think he might want quicker ground. The other interesting one is the lightly raced HIDDENVALLEY LAKE who won the Boyne at Navan last time and is on the upgrade. STRONG LEADER is fascinating over this course - he was second in the 3200m novice hurdle last year but ran well in the Cleeve at Cheltenham at the end of January and will be fresh for this race. Into the mix we can throw King George winner HEWICK but he was nowhere near as good as hurdles and while some believe Shark Hanlon can perform miracles, this will be right up there with the parting of the Red Sea.
    I don't have an angle into this race - the old stagers look vulnerable as they showed at Cheltenham while the younger horses have question marks over the ground. In the hope of some drier conditions, I'm going to side with CRAMBO. 
    After the Grand National, we have the final championship race, the Maghull Novices Chase over 3200m. FOUND A FIFTY was no match for GAELIC WARRIOR in the Arkle but there's nothing of that class in this field. The likes of ETALON, HERCULE DE SEUIL and LIBBERTY HUNTER are solid Grade 3 performers but this is the top table and I've had a nice bet on the favourite at 5/2 which looks huge.
    Selections - Day Three:
    Mersey Novices Hurdle: CALDWELL POTTER
    Liverpool Hurdle: CRAMBO
    Maghull Novices Chase: FOUND A FIFTY (nap)
     
  17. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    We've got the declarations for the second day of the Grand National meeting on Friday - the ground is now Soft, heavy in places on the Mildmay course while the National course is Heavy, Soft in places.
    Four more championship races to preview - the card opens with the Mildmay Chase for the staying novices over 5000m. The nicely named INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN hacked up in a warm handicap at Cheltenham and while this is a big step up to Grade 1 class he's obviously improving very fast. CHIANTI CLASSICO won a similar handicap also at Cheltenham and these handicap winners are always worth following - the 2023 winner of the equivalent race was CORACH RAMBLER and we all know how much he's gone on.
    IROKO represents the solid form having run fifth in the Turners and we know he goes well round here because he was third in the Sefton last year so he's right in this as well. I wouldn't rule out the lightly raced HEART WOOD who won a decent handicap at the Dublin Racing Festival back in early February and is another in the "could be anything" section. INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN is the one for me but this is an interesting race for the future.
    The TOP Novices Hurdle over 3250m has the second and third from the Supreme at Cheltenham and there's very little between MYSTICAL POWER and FIREFOX - I thought the latter didn't get the best of runs at Cheltenham and I think he'll come out on top. DYSART ENOS hasn't run in this company over hurdles for all he's unbeaten in five races. He won the Grade 2 Bumper over the course and distance last year. GOLDEN ACE was a surprise winner of the Mares Novices Hurdle at Cheltenham and that gives him claims but I prefer FIREFOX this time.
    When you get six horses rated above 160 in opposition you know you have a serious race on your hands and for the jumping pursuits the Melling Chase over 4000m is the highlight of the meeting. JONBON is favourite for all he has beaten in the Clarence House at Cheltenham. He had previously won the Tingle Creek but this is his first run at 4000m - I think it will help if anything to be going a notch slower but the trip is a legitimate concern.
    PROTEKTORAT won the Manifesto in 2021 but had his time in the wilderness before returning to the top table in the Ryanair at Cheltenham. This 4000m trip seems to suit his front running extravagant style these days and he's on the short list as is the intermediate trip expert PIC D'ORHY and were this race taking place at Ascot or Kempton I'd fancy him strongly but he won this (albeit a weaker renewal)  last year so has to be considered. ENVOI ALLEN won the 2023 Ryanair and was second to PROTEKTORAT this year - on this track I'd fancy him to reverse the places and in a race with a lot of angles I just fancy ENVOI ALLEN to prevail.
    Nine go in the Sefton for the staying novice hurdlers over 4850m. The Albert Bartlett form from Cheltenham is represented by THE JUKEBOX MAN (second) and DANCING CITY (third) and you can argue both have a claim to come out on top. SHANAGH BOB from the Henderson stable has a bit to find but if the stable has rediscovered its form could go very close. MY idea of an each way fancy is KYNTARA who was second in the long distance handicap hurdle at Cheltenham, is a course and distance winner and comes here with plenty of experience.
    Selections - Day Two:
    MIldmay Novices Chase: INOTHEWAYURTHINKIN
    TOP Novices Hurdle: FIREFOX
    Melling Chase: ENVOI ALLEN
    Sefton Novices Hurdle: KYNTATA (each way)
    No sign unfortunately of any Trackside Live Coverage of the Grand National meeting or the big race itself which is disappointing.
  18. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    The final declarations are through for the first day of the Grand National meeting at Aintree. The ground remains Soft, Heavy in places and the weather looks set fair after today's rain.
    The card opens with the Manifesto Novices Chase over 4000m. Just five go to post. The first and second from the Brown Advisory re-oppose. GREY DAWNING beat GINNY'S DESTINY two lengths at Cheltenham but the former has always looked a stayer as he showed in the Kingmaker at Warwick while the latter may be much better suited to the sharper track and I think the places will be reversed. However, into the mix comes IL ETAIT TEMPS who has been beaten twice this season by GAELIC WARRIOR notably last time in the Arkle at Cheltenham. IL ETAIT TEMPS got outpaced but ran on well up the hill and I think this trip is what he needs and at 7/2 I take him to score an early Irish win against the two locals.
    Six go in the Anniversary 4-y-o Hurdle and as I've mentioned, SIR GINO missed Cheltenham due to the health issues in the Henderson stable. He was the dominant British juvenile and having swerved Prestbury Park, should be spot on for this. KARGESE ran a gallant second in the Triumph but that's always a hard race and it takes a very good one to back up here.  KALIF DU BERLAIS was an impressive winner of the Adonis at Kempton but he's a great big thing and physically looks a chaser in the making. I just think at this stage SIR GINO will be too sharp for him but the former is certainly one with a big future.
    Seven go in the Aintree Bowl over 5000m and this is one of those races which you can argue dozens of different ways. Ostensibly, it's Aintree's version of the Gold Cup though it's more like the King George run the other way round. GERRI COLOMBE was second at Cheltenham and BRAVEMANSGAME fifth but the latter failed badly in this two years ago and I have my doubts. GERRI COLOMBE won at Down Royal and a 23 length defeat by GALOPIN DES CHAMPS at Christmas became just three and a half lengths at Cheltenham and on the latter form he's going to take some beating.
    However, into the mix comes the enigmatic SHISHKIN who who won this last year and was travelling powerfully in the King George when stumbling and unseating the rider two out. He's a quirky soul as he showed at Ascot and that would be my worry. If he's on his best behaviour I think he can beat GERRI COLOMBE though there's little between them. CORBETTS CROSS won over 6000m at Cheltenham but this is a much better race. I'm not playing given all the variables but put 20 dollars of @Ohokaman's in my hand and I'll play on the favourite at 6/4.
    Eight go in the Aintree Hurdle over 4000m - sometimes the Champion Hurdle form gets a testing in this but not this year and indeed this looks a sub standard renewal. BOB OLINGER was second and IMPAIRE ET PASSE third in the Irish Champion Hurdle but neither went to Cheltenham. Both should relish the extra 800m and for all BOB OLINGER was very good in the Relkeel, I remember IMPAIRE ET PASSE only just failing against TEAHUPOO in the Hatton's Grace and on that basis I just prefer him.
    LUCCIA was third and NEMEAN LION sixth in the Champion Hurdle and the former isn't to be underestimated while LANGER DAN won a warm handicap at Cheltenham but this is a stronger race.
    Selections - Day One:
    Manifesto Novices Chase: IL ETAIT TEMPS
    Anniversary Hurdle: SIR GINO
    Aintree Bowl: GERRI COLOMBE
    Aintree Hurdle: IMPAIRE ET PASSE
     
  19. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    We've now got the entries for Grand National day.
    The Mersey Novices Hurdle over 4000m completes the trio of novice hurdle races with the other two championship races over 3200 and 4800m so as you might imagine plenty of double and even triple entries so we'll know a lot more on Thursday when we get the final declarations.
    The Liverpool Hurdle over 4850m is the staying hurdle championship race. TEAHUPOO won the Stayers at Cheltenham and is a likely runner as is the runner up, FLOORING PORTER and a number of those further back are also having another try. CHAMP missed Cheltenham but this may be his last race. IRISH POINT and HEWICK would be interesting if they ran.
    As there are a number of novice hurdles over various distances, the same is true of the novice chasers with the Manifesto opening the meeting on Thursday and the Maghull over 3100m the penultimate race. Again, a number of double declarations so we'll see who decides to run here in preference to the other novice events.
  20. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    A dry and quite warm weekend in southern England but plenty of rain in Ireland and Scotland causing more abandonments.
    The ground at Aintree remains Soft, Heavy in places.
    Another four championship races on Friday starting with the Mildmay Chase for the staying novices over 5000m. Turners winner GREY DAWNING is one of a number who have been declare din this as well as the Manifesto on Thursday so we'll need to see how this shapes up midweek,.
    The 1-2-3 in the Supreme head the field for the Top Novices Hurdle over 3250m. SLADE STEEL and MYSTICAL POWER were split by a length and a half at Prestbury Power with an arguably unlucky FIREFOX close behind. CALDWELL POTTER won the Future Champions Novices Hurdle at Leopardstown over Christmasn but the owners lost a couple of young horses in quick succession and sold off their entire string soon after. This one was bought by the successful Mason, Ferguson, Hales and Done syndicate who have the likes of PROTEKTORAT with Dan Skelton and any number of good young horses with Paul Nicholls. The absence means the horse comes to the race fresh and that's often worth noting at this meeting.
    The Melling Chase over 3980m is another of the meeting's features and draws a strong field of chasers wir5h form from 3200 to 4800m. JONBON has been entered as has Ryanair winner PROTEKTORAT but with a lot of double entries with the Bowl the previous day, I'll hold fire on this until we see the shape of the final field. 
    The 1-2-3 in the Albert Bartlett all line up in the Sefton Novices Hurdle over 4850m. STELLAR STORY beat THE JUKEBOX MAN with DANCING CITY third at Cheltenham. SHANAGH BOB won a Grade 2 at Cheltenham and swerved the Festival in common with so many other Henderson runners but he brings a significant new dimension to the race.
  21. Like
    stodge got a reaction from Leggy in Frankie's still got it   
    Just goes to show there's plenty of life in the old dog yet but the race he missed was the Santa Anita Derby where the 5/4 favourite, INSPIRATION, was second.
    Fulsome praise from Bob Baffert among others carving out a second (or third) career in Southern California. I suspect they'll try to get him to Royal Ascot.
  22. Like
    stodge got a reaction from Craig hitchcock in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    The weather continues to play havoc with the fixture list up here. Three meetings lost today, two already gone tomorrow and two more facing morning inspections.
    The rain has been relentless but I'm sure eventually that will change.  However, since January 1st, 78% of turf races have been run on soft or heavy ground compared with 43% in 2023 and 42% in 2022. Field sizes have suffered with good ground horses staying in their boxes.
    In France, they seem more used to heavy turf and Longchamp stages the first European Group 2 on Sunday with the Prix Hocquart over 2000m. FEED THE FLAME was eighth in the Arc and should find this an easier task. MILITARY ORDER represents Charlie Appleby and William Buick and won the Winter Derby at Southwell on the Tapeta. How he'll go on this ground I don't know - it was soft when he won a Newbury maiden last year. HORIZON DORE will be better for his pipe opener at Saint Cloud a month ago and shoukld be thereabouts.
    We ave the five day entries for the first day of the Grand National meeting at Aintree where the ground remains Soft, Heavy in places on the National course. The meeting has improved leaps and bounds in recent years and there are four Grade 1 championships on the opening afternoon.
    The 4000m Manifesto Novices Chase has attracted a very strong field of 18 runners with top Cheltenham performers IL ETAIT TEMPS,  GREY DAWNING, GINNY'S DESTINY and CORBETTS CROSS all in the mix. The Anniversary Juvenile Hurdle has attracted 13 entries. One of the features of the Cheltenham Festival was the absence of the Henderson runners as the stable was going through a period of poor health. There's some evidence a corner has been turned and SIR GINO, who was the Triumph Hurdle favourite before his withdrawal, is 5/4 favourite to follow up here. KARGESE, who was second in the Triumph is 11/4. The ground was pretty bad on Gold Cup day and she had a hard enough race in defeat. Paul Nicholls saddles Adonis winner KALIF DU BERLAIS but he's a big type who might not enjoy the sharpness of Aintree.
    12 go in what I shouldn't call the Gold Cup consolation but the Aintree Bowl over 5000m is a decent prize in its own right. Ryanair winner PROTEKTORAT should enjoy this more but he faces the Gold Cup runner up GERRI COLOMBE, King George winner HEWICK and the enigmatic SHISHKIN.
    The 4000m Aintree Hurdle is often seen as the next step for the Champion Hurdler but with STATE MAN waiting for Punchestown and CONSTITUTION HILL out for the rest of the season, the Cheltenham runner up IRISH POINT has a huge chance over the extra 800m.  
  23. Like
    stodge got a reaction from Craig hitchcock in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    A quiet weekend coming up which gives me a chance to do a little housekeeping.
    The Grand National meeting kicks off on April 11th and runs to the 13th and from the 16th to the 18th we have the Craven Meeting at Newmarket and on the 20th the Scottish National and the Newbury Spring Meeting. The 26th has the first British Group 2, the Mile at Sandown and the 27th the finale of the jumps season at the same venue. A week later, on May 4th, we have the 2000 Guineas and on the following day the 1000 Guineas both over the straight 1600m at Newmarket.
    The current ground at Aintree is Soft on the Mildmay Course and Soft, Heavy in places on the National course with more rain forecast.
    My coverage for the Flat season will be as follows:
    Britain: Group 1 and Group 2 races in detail - mention of Group 3 events especially classic trials.
    Ireland and France: Group 1 races in detail - mention of Group 2 races.
    Elsewhere in Europe: mention of Group 1 races with UK or Irish runners.
    North America: mention of Grade 1 races with UK or Irish runners.
    Obviously, the big meetings such as Royal Ascot, Goodwood, the Derby meeting, the May and August meetings at York will be extensively covered and hopefully Trackside will cover them for those who fancy spending the night watching top European racing.
  24. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    The weather continues to play havoc with the fixture list up here. Three meetings lost today, two already gone tomorrow and two more facing morning inspections.
    The rain has been relentless but I'm sure eventually that will change.  However, since January 1st, 78% of turf races have been run on soft or heavy ground compared with 43% in 2023 and 42% in 2022. Field sizes have suffered with good ground horses staying in their boxes.
    In France, they seem more used to heavy turf and Longchamp stages the first European Group 2 on Sunday with the Prix Hocquart over 2000m. FEED THE FLAME was eighth in the Arc and should find this an easier task. MILITARY ORDER represents Charlie Appleby and William Buick and won the Winter Derby at Southwell on the Tapeta. How he'll go on this ground I don't know - it was soft when he won a Newbury maiden last year. HORIZON DORE will be better for his pipe opener at Saint Cloud a month ago and shoukld be thereabouts.
    We ave the five day entries for the first day of the Grand National meeting at Aintree where the ground remains Soft, Heavy in places on the National course. The meeting has improved leaps and bounds in recent years and there are four Grade 1 championships on the opening afternoon.
    The 4000m Manifesto Novices Chase has attracted a very strong field of 18 runners with top Cheltenham performers IL ETAIT TEMPS,  GREY DAWNING, GINNY'S DESTINY and CORBETTS CROSS all in the mix. The Anniversary Juvenile Hurdle has attracted 13 entries. One of the features of the Cheltenham Festival was the absence of the Henderson runners as the stable was going through a period of poor health. There's some evidence a corner has been turned and SIR GINO, who was the Triumph Hurdle favourite before his withdrawal, is 5/4 favourite to follow up here. KARGESE, who was second in the Triumph is 11/4. The ground was pretty bad on Gold Cup day and she had a hard enough race in defeat. Paul Nicholls saddles Adonis winner KALIF DU BERLAIS but he's a big type who might not enjoy the sharpness of Aintree.
    12 go in what I shouldn't call the Gold Cup consolation but the Aintree Bowl over 5000m is a decent prize in its own right. Ryanair winner PROTEKTORAT should enjoy this more but he faces the Gold Cup runner up GERRI COLOMBE, King George winner HEWICK and the enigmatic SHISHKIN.
    The 4000m Aintree Hurdle is often seen as the next step for the Champion Hurdler but with STATE MAN waiting for Punchestown and CONSTITUTION HILL out for the rest of the season, the Cheltenham runner up IRISH POINT has a huge chance over the extra 800m.  
  25. Thanks
    stodge got a reaction from Hedley Jordan in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    The seasons change but the domination of Irish racing by two or three trainers continues.
    The Group 3 Ballysax over 2000m at Leopardstown on Sunday has an illustrious roll of honour including Galileo, High Chaparaal, Yeats, Fame and Honour and more recently Broome.
    All trained by Aidan O'Brien and he has eight of the ten entries for the 2024 renewal. Possibly the best are ILLINOIS and CAPULET. The former was third in the Criterium de Saint-Cloud and the latter was third in the Royal Lodge at Newmarket so solid Group 1 form. Also entered is OCEAN OF DREAMS who won on debut at Leopardstown over 1600m and went straight into the notebook as a potential 3-y-o to follow.