RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

soliloquy

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  1. Your post which I quoted was about deaths after vaccination, which were lower than the natural rate, indicating that they're fine. Your own post and evidence you chose to provide said this. This reply you have sent is about something unrelated, the death rate of the disease itself. I understand that covid is not that deadly. The vaccine is far less so.
  2. Your post which I quoted was about deaths after vaccination, which were lower than the natural rate, indicating that they're fine. Your own post and evidence you chose to provide said this. This reply you have sent is about something unrelated, the death rate of the disease itself. I understand that covid is not that deadly. The vaccine is far less so.
  3. "To date, the observed number of deaths reported after vaccination is less than the expected number of natural deaths" - the 2nd screenshot
  4. soliloquy

    AWT

    They stay and are run on the turf track https://racing.riccartonpark.nz/news/synthetic-track-milestone.html
  5. What makes you think that the amount of posters on a topic is an accurate representation of the people interested in it? Plenty of us read (1,500 views!) but give the doom and gloom reply a miss - I'm pretty sure you know these things but prefer to be as provocative as possible. Why's that? Why don't you apply for any positions in the governance of the industry? (Or, am I mistaken and you have in the past?). You seem to have an eye for detail with some of the things you notice, and seem to think you have identified the cause of the issue in most cases. As has previously been said, the pay isn't bad and it can't be hard to do better than some of the previous administrators, right?
  6. Trentham Race 1: 5 & 8 Trentham Race 2: 1 & 16 Trentham Race 4: 1 & 3 Trentham Race 5: 1 & 3 Trentham Race 6: 7 & 9 Trentham Race 7: 3 & 6 Trentham Race 8: 1 & 2 Thanks!
  7. Non black type SW+P races are done differently to black type ones. Looks like they start on 54 and get 1kg per win up to 4. It's not a very often used one for older horses, I think WFA would have been simpler and just as (if not more) likely to see the race get an upgrade to listed, which I'd guess is the clubs goal - but that's another topic anyhow. So yeah it doesn't do Melarita any favours but there's winners and losers under literally any weight scale. The connections had the option to have her in the Rating 74 (carrying only 0.5kg more) over the same distance earlier on the card
  8. That will be because there are no dead tracks in Australia. Their scale goes from Good to Soft to Heavy. If you go to Racing Australia and most likely any Aussie form website, it will also list all of Aegon's runs as on soft tracks
  9. Ascot Park Race 6: 1, 6, 8, 9 (BB) Ellerslie Race 7: 1, 3, 4, 13 Ellerslie Race 8: 1, 6, 7, 14 Caulfield Race 5: 1, 3, 10, 11 Caulfield Race 6: 1, 7, 8, 9 Rosehill Race 6 4, 9, 11, 12 Caulfield Race 7: 2, 5, 13, 14 Rosehill Race 7: 1, 3, 4, 7 Caulfield Race 8: 1, 2, 7, 15 Thanks!
  10. R1. 4 The Lost Boys R2. 3 Festivity R3. 4 Torque Time R4. 13 Zee Falls R5. 3 Gold Watch R6. 7 Avantage R7. 3 Il Affare R8. 9 Melody Belle R9. 3 Les Crayeres Thanks!
  11. The weights are not done bottom up at all. If they were, Hurry Cane would carry 73kg (Hypatia being a R55 mare*, placing the effective bottom benchmark at 51, HC is 38 points above that, 0.5 for each point is 19 and then add to 54). Indeed, if you looked for more than half a second, you might have spotted the other three horses with higher ratings in that race carded 54kg as well which would not happen if the handicap was bottom up. If you wanted to look for maybe 10 seconds, you would find that every topweight in a non-black type open handicap for the last ~4 months has carried at least 62kg. Say what you want about the overall system, good or (more likely) bad, but this is not an extreme or unusual example.
  12. Having been there and seen it, doubt it's a protestor. The druken dare seems more likely imo. For one, I'd have thought a protestor would take a sign or wear a t-shirt ie. broadcast their opinion while everyone is watching. I think they usually bugger off anyway once people stop coming anyway and this was near the end of the day. When the cops got him to the ground, a beer dropped and spilled everywhere and it definitely could've been his though it looked like some bystanders were half-pie taken out as well. He's a 100% fuckwit either way and of course we'll know more shortly.
  13. At the time of weight declaration (a couple of weeks ago), Beauden was rated 100 which gave him 60kg under those rules - but he has since dropped out.
  14. Solesefei, Gorbachev and Magic Chai I believe. Before them, Savaria and Mister Impatience (who nosed out Penthathlon and cost me a bit). Graphic and Blood Brotha were also earlier in the decade but the exact order escapes me without looking. There's no real need for gatekeeping over who can or can't remember them. Some people just want to enjoy themselves and get on the piss and it's one of the few days where it happens on a racecourse and earns a club a bit of money. The cup field is indeed pretty shit quality wise but at least it's still a good betting race and a good spectacle
  15. They're in niggly places on the calendar. This coming up one should be 1400 to become more attractive for milers that skipped Hastings or have had a freshen since then. They can use it as a lead up for the Captain Cook and then maybe the Zabeel. The up and running lot can use the Couplands if they really need a mile. Currently the two clash too much imo. The NZ Japan trophy is in no man's land being shortly after the G1 WFA season through summer and the best horses are tired. The switch to SW+P for that race while the Easter (the most convenient target race after it) has been changed back to handicap simultaneously means that smart trainers with lower rated horses don't want to risk the large rating penalty that inherently comes with SW+P racing. The South Island black type races probably have bigger fields because of their scarcity. They are almost all handicaps so many have a go with a lighter weight, while the highly rated horses have no other option but to run unless they want to go up north. The concept of scarcity, in my opinion, should be employed all over the country. Fewer really big races mean that everyone has to converge for them and it creates more depth which we are sorely lacking. But, organising a downgrading and better flowing black type calendar would need the co-operation of NZTR and a lot of clubs, and it wouldn't take much unco-operation to throw the whole thing off and we'd be back at the start