RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

Red Rum

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  1. Like
    Red Rum reacted to Ohokaman in One to Follow   
    One in Oz to look out for…..Centroid…..half brother to Enable by Dansili. 
    Bought for 7000 Guineas in October 2020…Dermot Weld trained, ran second both starts in UK, beating Raymond Tusk in one.
    Matt Cumani to train….should be winning a few from 70 rating.
  2. Like
    Red Rum reacted to Breeder in One to Follow   
    I watched the 2yr old fillies race at Flemington earlier. A couple of very highly bred fillies in it, who did not disappoint, especially the winner. Won by Argentia ( Frankel x Princess Coup).who should make a great 3 yr old based on that first up run. Invincible Caviar ( I am Invincible x Black Caviar) was third after leading most of the way. 
  3. Like
    Red Rum got a reaction from Gruff in VIRTUAL TIPSTERS THREAD   
    Looking at the owners business model , the numbers they had at that trials that day ,  that  horse will next be seen at Sha Tin or Happy Valley.  Doubt he will go again in Australia. 
  4. Like
    Red Rum reacted to Gruff in VIRTUAL TIPSTERS THREAD   
    It was the ONLY trial i watched, i had decided out of nowhere to study that particular race 😆 I dont know why but after i watched that trial i couldnt look any further, watch the last 50 m beating the subsequent winner. more to come .. 🙄
  5. Thanks
    Red Rum got a reaction from Gruff in VIRTUAL TIPSTERS THREAD   
    Blimey Gruff  , that's a tip and a half . He didn't have all favours but mowed em down, absolutely done them. Seriously that's some selecting out of a maiden at Bairnsdale , wow. 
  6. Like
    Red Rum got a reaction from Cubes in VIRTUAL TIPSTERS THREAD   
    Haven't looked too much today , but Iam getting on to that though for some interest . Thanks . 
    Few more days for  Prussian Dream until auction closes  , he will go picnic racing I'd guess . 
    Amazed how much Constantinople  going for , he beats himself more often than not,  I backed him last time and he  ripped and teared from start and stopped dead finished tailed off . 
  7. Like
    Red Rum got a reaction from Gruff in VIRTUAL TIPSTERS THREAD   
    He's up for sale Gruff , current inglis online 1250 current bid . Lot 14. Still keen to race according to write up just struggling in Victoria .
    Constantinople in  there too, 16k at moment .Jumps career ahead maybe  . Had breathing op and bit dodgy at times . Got bags talent though .
    CardinI another ex Ballydoyle , no bids yet . Worst write up I've ever seen . Nothing at all about the horse and where it's prospects could be . No effort made whatsoever . No bids is what that effort deserves .
  8. Like
    Red Rum got a reaction from Patiti in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    Charlie Appleby trains the horse that beat Mojo Star  last time out , Manabo then bolted up by 4 lengths next time out and is 2/ 2 .  . A Sea the Stars gelding , his form stacking up pretty well . Appleby has a couple of lightly raced 3 year old geldings who look very handy, the other won on debut last week at Yarmouth .
  9. Thanks
    Red Rum reacted to stodge in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    Apart from the Jockey Club, Chantilly's Sunday card has three Group 2 races.
    The Grand Prix de Chantilly over 2400m sees IN SWOOP and four of those he beat last time in the Hedouville have another go at last year's Arc runner up but the 2400m round here should be ideal and I think IN SWOOP will confirm his position as the leading older French challenger (though events today at Epsom may have shaken up the Arc picture dramatically).
    The Sandringham for the 3-y-o fillies over 1600m sees Pouliches third KENNELLA try to put some meat on the bones of what looks ordinary form. SILVESTRI was well fancied but ran no race but I could see her being better off in this smaller field.
    12 go in the Gros Chene over 1000m which is effectively France's version of the Temple, a trial for the King's Stand. British raider LAZULI won the Palace House and looks a new kid on the sprinting block among the older horses. The really interesting one is the 3-y-o filly IDEAL BEAUTY who took full advantage of the weight allowance to win the St Georges last time beating BERNEUIL and she appeals again getting 10 lbs from the older colts.
  10. Like
    Red Rum reacted to stodge in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    Just watched a couple of races from Wednesday's card.
    A Dirt track, not unlike some of the American tracks. 12 looks the maximum but as you say it's a solid two meetings per week, nine races per meeting. 
    More details here:
    http://www.nicosiaraceclub.com.cy/nrcwebsite/aboutus.aspx
  11. Like
    Red Rum reacted to stodge in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    I have to confess my knowledge of Cypriot racing is extremely limited.
    As for the opener at Leopardstown this afternoon, a nice win for the favourite, JUNCTURE, who is by Dark Angel out of Occurrence (her first foal), an unraced daughter of Frankel. She's a home bred and, to use the well worn phrase, could be anything.
    The four behind her were all on their debut and all shaped with promise - the second, RADIYKA, is with Dermot Weld so will be given all the time she needs. The third, SEISAI, is a daughter of Gleneagles and trained by Joseph O'Brien. DISCOVERIES was fourth and in fifth we had Aidan's runner, MADONNADELROSARIO, a daughter of Caravaggio out of an unraced High Chaparaal mare (her fifth foal) making her a half to the Coventry and Morny winner The Wow Signal.
    It's certainly a race which could have some key formlines going forward.
  12. Like
    Red Rum got a reaction from Pam Robson in Ozzie Derbies   
    Hungary Heart AJC Oaks   , Harlech the dam 60k guineas out of Godolphin after one unplaced  race for them to Yulong  , sent  to Frankel and shipped down so she  also strong in Euro connection . 
  13. Thanks
    Red Rum reacted to stodge in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    A lot of news this evening from up here.
    First, huge news this evening with the announcement from Ballydoyle BOLSHOI BALLET is likely to be the only Aidan O'Brien representative in Saturday's Derby for which the horse is now Evens favourite. HIGH DEFINITION will swerve Epsom for The Curragh and I think this is a shrewd decision as we know he is well suited by the galloping track.
    VAN GOGH heads for the Jockey Club on Sunday and THE MEDITERRANEAN is in at Leopardstown on Thursday evening.
    Final declarations tomorrow but we could be looking at a dozen or fewer runners.
    We've had the final declarations through for Friday's Group 1 races.
    Just seven go in the Coronation Cup and AL AASY is 10/11 against the O'Brien pair, the full brothers JAPAN and MOGUL. I prefer the latter for whom the step back up in trip will be a big help after his third in the Ganay and we know he loves decent ground.
    14 stand in the Oaks -the only scratching was NOON STAR. I fancy SNOWFALL and I'm on SAFFRON BEACH each way at 12s.
    Final declarations tomorrow also for Sunday's Jockey Club - could be as many as 20 runners.
  14. Like
    Red Rum reacted to stodge in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    I seem to recall both the Towcester and Huntingdon evening jump meetings had hunter chases - the old Schlizzi 1906 race being one example.
    Never a big fan of Windsor Monday evenings - the journey on the river back to the station reminded me of a ferry in the Phillipines - massively overcrowded and had anything happened I'd have had no chance. The autumn afternoon meetings were a lot quieter and on those occasions the river journey was delightful.
    Folkestone had the United Hunts meeting in May - its busiest meeting of the whole year - otherwise it was, to be honest, a dump. Towcester was better - in the latter years they experimented with free admission except on Easter Sunday and Boxing Day - the track was owned by Lord Hesketh who had some interesting ideas but in the end he couldn't make it pay. It's a greyhound track now and hosts the Greyhound Derby - I suspect it won't ever come back as a racecourse.
  15. Like
    Red Rum reacted to Phar Lap Fan in Ozzie Derbies   
    Then add imported blood through the dams.
    Explosive Jack - 3rd dam Australian, then Irish.
    Kukeracha - American, Irish & English lines.
    Western Empire - 4th dam was local.
    Johnny Get Angry - 2nd dam Australian, then Irish.
  16. Like
    Red Rum got a reaction from Huey in Ozzie Derbies   
    Just shows they got to get those European middle distance stallions in and the results come . All European bred stallions bar Tavistock and he was 100 per cent European blood . 
  17. Like
    Red Rum got a reaction from Pam Robson in Ozzie Derbies   
    Just shows they got to get those European middle distance stallions in and the results come . All European bred stallions bar Tavistock and he was 100 per cent European blood . 
  18. Like
    Red Rum got a reaction from JJ Flash in Ozzie Derbies   
    Just shows they got to get those European middle distance stallions in and the results come . All European bred stallions bar Tavistock and he was 100 per cent European blood . 
  19. Like
    Red Rum reacted to JJ Flash in Ozzie Derbies   
    Well spotted by Richard Callender
     
    KIWI POWER
    Don’t mention this in the Hunter Valley, but Kukeracha’s win in the Queensland Derby on Saturday meant all six Australian Derbies this season have been won by New Zealand-bred horses.
    Explosive Jack (by Jakkalberry) won in New South Wales, Tasmania and South Australia, Johnny Get Angry (Tavistock) won in Victoria, Western Empire (Iffraaj) won in Western Australia and Kukeracha (Night Of Thunder) won in Queensland.
    Kukeracha, who raced in Neville Morgan’s well known blue and white silks, was bred at Waikato Stud and sold for $130,000 at Karaka in 2019.
  20. Thanks
    Red Rum reacted to stodge in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    19 stand in the Derby at the five day declaration stage.
    BOLSHOI BALLET has strengthened to 5/4 favourite and with the ground drying, his wins in the Ballysax and the Derrinstown look very compelling form.
    To be fair, neither are Group 1 races and MAC SWINEY brings Group 1 form with his win in the Irish 2000 Guineas a fortnight ago. The problem is all his form is on soft or heavy turf and I struggle to see him coping with the quicker conditions at Epsom.
    HIGH DEFINITION was winter favourite on the back of his win in the Beresford last autumn but he didn't convince in the Dante running a strange race looking one of the first in trouble but finishing really well. He takes time to get going and I think he'll be out of his ground in the Epsom straight.
    Then we come to the home challenge and some of the key trial winners. JOHN LEEPER would be a fairytale win as the horse carries the name of the late John Dunlop who trained the winner twice but he looked far from straight forward at Newmarket and I'm not sure he's an Epsom horse. MOHAAFETH looked very good at Newmarket but the form of that race hasn't worked out and while I could see him running a place that's all.
    HURRICANE LANE stepped up from a conditions at Newbury to the Dante and that's often a good place to find a Derby winner. He's a silly price at 12s in my view. THIRD REALM won the Lingfield Derby trial which produced ANTHONY VAN DYCK so you know he'll stay every yard and the track shouldn't be an issue. He's another who looks overpriced at 14s. 
    From there, it gets more problematic - VAN GOGH looked an unlikely Derby winner last time but ONE RULER at 33s looks a sporting each way bet if you think he'll get the trip. He beat VAN GOGH last autumn and was second to MAC SWINEY at Doncaster. His sixth in the 2000 Guineas wasn't a bad effort and he ran on as though the step up in trip would help.
    The money has been shovelling on BOLSHOI BALLET in the past 48 hours (from 15/8 to 5/4) and it's not hard to see why as he ticks so many boxes.
    Looking for an each way play against the favourite, I think the Godolphin pair of HURRICANE LANE and ONE RULER look sporting bets to fill the frame.
    It's also worth mentioning there's another "Derby" this weekend though purists would argue the Jockey Club at Chantilly is run over the incorrect distance and I must admit I tend to look to a race like the Grand Prix de Paris as a more exact replica of Epsom. That said, the Jockey Club remains a huge race in its own right and Poulains winner ST MARK'S BASILICA looks an interesting runner but we'll know more later in the week.
     
  21. Thanks
    Red Rum reacted to stodge in News from the North(ern) Hemisphere   
    Indeed, the world has changed and while there's a notional beginning and end to the flat season, in truth it never really stops. The turf season still ends at Doncaster - they tried a Flat card at Folkestone the following Monday for a couple of seasons but that soon became a jumps card.
    The Zetland isn't a bad race and some decent horses have won it down the years but it's the best of a small series of 2000m juvenile turf races.
    We now have 1400m turf races for juveniles before the Woodcote - one of the first was at Yarmouth last Friday and produced an impressive performance by the Godolphin-owned NEW SCIENCE who looks an ideal type for the Chesham.
    The official end of the jump season is now at Sandown at the end of April where the traditional "mixed" Saturday card has become an all-jumps meeting with a Grade 1 as well as the Whitbread (or a race like the old Whitbread). Needless to say, there's only a week's break before we're off again with a race like the Swinton at Haydock.
    For a while, the Stratford two-day meeting continued with the Novice Hunter Chase championship on the Friday and the Horse & Hound on the Saturday but in recent years we now have a single all-hunter chase meeting on the Friday evening (it doesn't clash with point-to-points on the Saturday).
     
  22. Like
    Red Rum got a reaction from Breeder in Vale Khalid Abdullah   
    Tilsit was only just nosed out in final stride at Longchamp on Sunday , closely related to Kingman .
    Not a day goes by in UK and Ire without a Juddmonte bred stallion getting a win somewhere . They were all over the show the other day from 3 mile hurdles to 5 furlong sprints .
    That exciting  chaser of Skeltons Allmankind goes back to the family mentioned above by John Clydesdale , goes back to  Bahamian .
  23. Like
    Red Rum reacted to Berri in Where would you rate Melody Belle in the list of great mares?   
    Colt called Sun and Heir. Sunset by Hussonet died hours after having him. Real shame. Quite strong, more in the mould of Hussonet
  24. Like
    Red Rum reacted to pole in Where would you rate Melody Belle in the list of great mares?   
    Magic of the Sun. I think? Stephen McKee trains at Takanini.
  25. Like
    Red Rum got a reaction from Pam Robson in Northern Dancer   
    The last Northern Dancer offspring to run in Europe was a filly called Wajd ,out of Dahlia so the best to the best . Bred by Nelson  Bunker Hunt and owned by Sheik Mohammed . She was  trained by Andre Fabre. She was very good and ridden during her  career by Asmussen, Cauthen and the Choir Boy Walter Swinburn  before Jarnet rode her in a Japan Cup . She ended up producing a few good ones , Nedawi who won a St Leger and placed in some top line races the year after Leger win. Nedawi ended up a successful stallion in Brazil and I see he still has runners there.  Another she produced was Wall Street the first horse to win for  Dettori in his magnificent 7 at Ascot in 96 . She also produced a horse that ended up jumping round Down Royal needing binoculars to see the leaders .