RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.

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  1. I do agree with your comments for sure , but then again the stock have to do he job, no room for excuses in this game. Are you affiliated with Super Easy? Or just a believer?
  2. Was a super 3yo miler winning 3 G1 Mile races. By a super stallion in Invincible Spirit and has good blood through damlines (Montjeu/Machiavellian) Personally was not impressed by his yearlings that sold as an overall group, lacked a bit of scope and quite plain (but there were some out of good mares that sold well), has made a solid start in the UK (never means much though) In the last 2 years has only served 60/70 mares so hasnt been supported much after a decent sized first book. A super racehorse with good bloodlines, will be following his progeny with interest.
  3. NZ Record is horrendous especially when taking out Prom Queen. Prom Queen did a super job as a 2yo and 3yo but without her: 21 runners (that have had a total of 98 starts) for 2 winners and a total of $53,530 (from 98 starts), 9.5% winners to runners in NZ without Prom Queen in the mix In Australia has had the 6 runners for 5 winners, none yet at black type level but 4 of the 5 have been city performers. So obviously can leave a handy'ish' horse but a whole lot of rubbish!, the majority of the handy ones are for whatever reason are in Australia Overall stats are only very ordinary 32 runners to race for 28% winners to runners, 3% Stakes winners to runners. he has been well supported and got good numbers so no excuses for a stallion at his level, some work to do and likely that his numbers served will continue to decrease as they have tended to over the years
  4. Just read that he was a $90,000 yearling purchase (NZ Thoroughbred Breeder's press release) so may have been privately. Of course you can just "getting a gage on the 'type of horse he is as he had such a low reserve for the way he is bred", the hardest thing will be getting mares, might serve a small book of mares probably owned by the owner of the stallion (he was a major shareholder) and good luck to him, he realistically is a private stallion. He is standing at a very low fee from which he deserves to, might get the odd winner and thats about all they would be hoping for. Stud vet fees and agistment are included in the $2,000 service fee so nearly standing for free
  5. He's by Redoute's Choice out of a G1 winning mare but to be fair it stops there, 21 starts and the only black type is a 2nd in a Dunedin Guineas, not exactly any race form! Why was he such a cheap yearling purchase? I think I read somewhere that was only $80,000 (for a Redoute's Choice colt out of a G1 winning mare), bad X-Rays?, ordinary type? would be interested to know.
  6. Would compare him to maybe Supido, the others look on a different page demand and appeal wise. Russian Revolution a dual G1 winner (by the leading sire Snitzel) and standing at over $50,000 , Invader by Australias current leading sire (Snitzel) and a G1 winner and Hellbent by the current 2nd position and in fashion sire (I Am Invincible) and also a G1 winner which is super important commercially.
  7. Grunt bred on a similar pattern (not quite as close) in terms of inbreeding to superior females. By O’Reilly and out of a mare that traces back to Hunza (O’Reillys family) Would love a NZ stud to make a play for him, the sons of O’Reilly are doing a job (Alamosa, Shamexpress, Sacred Falls to come)
  8. The rain?, that f**k up was caused by the course manager overwatering and leaving the irrigation on!, not the rain! Unfortunately the track is in very bad shape and the sand addition was a patch up job and it hasnt worked, a tired track that needs some serious assistance!, not attempted patch up jobs.
  9. Can you please put up the pedigree of the Derby winner Masar. By a son of Galileo (New Approach) and from the dam line of Galileo, so a cross of the great mare Urban Sea!
  10. Hope they can get his fertility levels improved , may have a decent sized book so will be under more pressure.
  11. Would have to be standing for next to nothing, no real race performance (4 wins from 30 starts, won a Listed 2100m 3yo race), all that really stands out is that his 3rd dam was a champion. Likely to serve a handful of mares at most.
  12. Mr Clint a Singapore G1 Guineas winner, a new stakes winner for Power.
  13. Well done to the team with a deserved Group win. Talented horse that has had his fair share of problems.
  14. Definitely a fair comparison, 2 young stallions doing a really good job early on, Power has scope to improve also as his current crop of weanlings has over 100 foals on the ground (nearly double than anyother crop) Zacinto has 5 stakes winners from only 57 runners 8.7% stakes winners to runners (including 2 in Australia), and running at 54% winners to runners early on so has made an excellent start particularly as it has been done of a low service fee in the South Island. Powers overall stats have been compromised from his shuttling record in IRE/UK But in NZ/AUS/SING Is 44 runners for 26 winners (59% winners to runners), and 3 stakes winners (6.8% stakes winners to runners), also has another 6 stakes placegetters to is running overall at 20% stakes performers to runners in NZ/AUS/SING which is a tremendous start.
  15. Comparing Hong Kong International Listed form to Irish Group form i guess and I believe the new boy has a much better pedigree. Sweet Orange now serving in QLD
  16. Absoultely! Has stated that some will end up in China and some in NZ so you would have to expect that, but to be fair if you are breeding at a level and hoping/relying on a $10,000 deal where you woudnt be making much profit at all you cant be picky, we are talking low level!
  17. Lovely female line (Terlingua), War Decree's 5th dam (Chapel Of Dreams) is Postponed's 2nd dam from memory. War Decree was a very well performed 2yo that didn't really train on and wasn't of the standard required for the major races he was targeted towards (therefore his price), not training on has been a bit of a trait among the War Front progeny although in recent times Coolmore have had a bit of luck with his progeny as older horses (Declaration Of War, Roly Poly come to mind) Looks to have some nice credentials pedigree wise and race form wise and looks a nice type.
  18. War Decree has been announced to stand at Inglewood Stud as a replacement for Zacinto (Kevin Hickman heavily involved in the ownership also of this new stallion) A G2 and G3 winner by War Front out of a Street Cry mare, standing for $6,500 Good luck to them, hope he can have the same success Zacinto has given them.
  19. Interesting, depends what stage he will ‘buy’ these foals back?, as it woudnt be to much of a profit after you have paid the $3,000 + GST service fee, paid for vet bills, agistment, vet expenses, foaling fees, NZTR Stud book costs etc. But an effective way for him to get numbers on the ground of his stallion , foal numbers on the ground in the region in general, a way for breeders to get their dam’s progeny racing without their output (just hoping they dont go to China) and a bit of an ‘insurance policy’ for breeders.
  20. Zacinto has relocated to Valachi Down’s $15,000. Has made a super start at stud from a low fee and a South Island base with 5 stakeswinners already from only 50 or so starters. Do feel sorry for the South Island having recently lost 2 promising stallions in Zacinto and Highly Recommended that have made a super start from modest books.
  21. He is going from Cambridge Stud to Oakland's Stud in Queensland, not quite the Hunter Valley!. Looks like he is off the roster at Coolmore in Ireland so likely has been sold, did only shuttle to Cambridge Stud (not owned by Cambridge Stud)
  22. Australian market more competitive as Australian performance of Savabeel was the target of this conversation.
  23. Another very valid point, the Savabeel's may have served sharper mares as you have mentioned. 3 great stallions that have stood in NZ, and so many more well bred Savabeel's to hit the track in the future (his recent book's have been amazing)
  24. Fair point on data but..... I would suggest a much more competitive stallion market now, lack of truly dominant stallions (Snitzel the exception last couple of years, amazing seasons!), as well as the concept of shuttling stallions taking off more, another factor to take into consideration is that these top Australian stallions are serving 200-220 mares a season!, very hard to compete with that especially at distances 1600m and below. Savabeel has sired G1 winners of the Queen Elizabeth Stakes, Vinery Stakes, Turnbull Stakes, Queensland Oaks, Victoria Derby, Champagne Stakes, Queensland Derby so doing a very good job in Australia and all at a distance of at least 1600m. Other stats in Australia are 70% winners to runners and 8.2 stakes winners to runners, the game and the stallion market has changed so much since Sir Tristram's days, but does emphaisse what a remarkable job these stallions from the same line have done! )through in Lonhro now and Pierro into the future)