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Oh dear another wannabe So the Dems lied for 4 years about Biden's health but that's ok rite , did squat to stop the war - did fark all with the Israel-Hamas war but geez that cool for u Russia invaded Crimea under Obama - Russia invaded and Ukraine under Biden but under Trump nobody dared fart in case of getting an arse kicking Whitehouse and media lied to a nation and the World - but geez thats ok for u Yesterday prime example -sat on their fat arses while The Don exposed the evil brought about in the 4 years - lets see the left suck up to all the female voters in 4 years time whom they betrayed ( dumb arses ) The criminal charges are a joke and any non-Trump hater saw through that hence why he was elected and thumped corrupt Harris ( do ypu really think if those charges were real he would of been re-elected ) Trump is all out on peace between Russia and Ukraine , yet the past Govt have been all out War and freaking out because he's closer than any national leader has been He's a winner and get over it

On then to the declarations for next Wednesday, the second day. Turners Novices Hurdle - 4200m A big field entered albeit with some double declarations for both the Supreme and Friday's Albert Bartlett for the stayers. On paper, looks to concern just three. Dan Skelton, leading the British trainers' championship currently, has THE NEW LION, who won the Challow just after Christmas. The question really is the strength of the British and Irish form. The best of the Mullins entries looks to be FINAL DEMAND who won the Nathaniel Lacy over 4400m at the Dublin Festival by thirteen lengths and that's form you have to respect. Gordon Elliott has THE YELLOW CLAY who won the Lawlor's at Naas in early January so in effect you have three Grade 1 winners all at 4200-4400m all meeting. Brown Advisory Novices Chase - 4850m Nine have been entered, seven from Ireland and four from the Mullins yard including BALLYBURN who is my idea of the banker of the meeting. He was a convincing winner of the Turners last year and I was certain he would be a staying chaser this season but Mullins brought him to Kempton for the Wayward Lad over 3200m at Christmas and he was well beaten by SIR GINO, one of the more significant missing runners at the meeting. Back to 4450m at Leopardstown in the Ladbrokes Chase at the Dublin Festival, we saw a much improved BALLYBURN and I think the 4850m will bring further improvement. DANCING CITY was third in the Albert Bartlett last year and went on to win the Sefton at Aintree. He's won two over fences but in lower grade and I can't see him bothering BALLYBURN. Queen Mother Champion Chase - 3200m JONBON vs ENERGUMENE once again. JONBON won the Tingle Creek and beat ENERGUMENE convincingly in the Clarence House but for me JONBON is better going right handed and I think he's vulnerable. IL EST FRANCAIS was brilliant in the 2023 King George at Kempton and had a wonderful tussle with BANBRIDGE in the 2024 renewal. We know IL EST FRANCAIS loves decent ground but I wonder about the trip and I wonder about him taking to Cheltenham. MARINE NATIONALE won the Arkle last year but he's been twice by SOLNESS at Leopardstown, once at Christmas and last time in the Dublin Chase. SOLNESS is a big price at 7s - he could be a horse to whom the Joseph O'Brien team have found the key. That brings me to ENERGUMENE who won this in both 2022 and 2023 - he missed the better part of 15 months through injury but returned well at Cork before defeat by JONBON at Ascot but we know ENERGUMENE loves it round Cheltenham and he's my idea of the winner at 15/2. Champion Bumper - 3200m Likely to be a maximum field of 24 for this and Willie Mullins has just the six but four of the first five in the ante post betting. COPACABANA may be the hottest spot north of Havana but the horse of that name won on debut at Navan. Any number of these are unexposed and have claims - the mare BAMBINO FEVER won a Grade 2 Mares Bumper at the Dublin Festival but I like AQUA FORCE who was bought by J P McManus after a 28 length winning romp on debut at Gowran. Now, he probably didn't beat much but he's in the right hands and is, along with many of the others in this field, in the "could be anything" tray.

More likely to be Ardalio or Zormella as they're paying $41. With pathetic promise you are allowed to win $2000. How ridiculous that they come up with a 3.5 million dollar race, spend all this money and effort promoting it as New Zealand's biggest race and then limit a punter to a bet of $50.

SAME FORMAT AS ROUND 1. Please note earlier posting deadline than past couple of weeks. For this week: 1. Either pick two horses in each race listed below - you will have $10 each way on both and a $2 quinella; or if you'd prefer to pick just one horse in any (or all of the races) you can do that and you will have $20 each way on that one runner, but you will forego the quinella. 2. You will have two best bet races where your bet is doubled. They can be any two of the 12 races listed below. Posting deadline this week is 12.30pm This weeks 12 races are as follows - focus mostly on Ellerslie - a good card and good weather forecast (no cyclones in the neighbourhood) 1. Ellerslie R3 2. Ellerslie R4 3. Ellerslie R5 4. Ellerslie R6 5. Ellerslie R7 6. Ellerslie R8 7. Ellerslie R9 8. Ellerslie R10 9. Randwick R6 10. Randwick R8 11. Flemington R5 12. Flemington R9 Please enter horse numbers, not names and remember to nominate two best bet races, and some form of punctuation between your two numbers is very helpful - thanks. Regular scratchings - it is up to you to replace any scratchings prior to the posting deadline. If you don't then you will have only one runner in the race, unless you have two scratchings or a single pick is scratched, in which case you will have no runners in that race. (and for the avoidance of any doubt if you pick two and one is scratched the single remaining runner will be a $10 each way bet). Late scratchings - any late scratchings will default to the TAB sub (and second win favourite if you already have the sub or both your runners are late scratched). In the event of equal second win favourites the second sub will be the horse with the lower saddlecloth number. If you have a single bet and it is late scratched, you will have a single bet on the TAB sub. Abandoned races - we need a minimum of 6 races to be run for the results to stand. Any less than 6 and we will re-run the round next week. If you had a best bet in an abandoned race you can change best bet races up until the posting deadline - after that it is just the rub of the green.

Just watched Jane Ivil’s special show tonight “Kiwi Closeup” on Trackside. Great insight into our runners in the Kiwi, all looking amazing. Great show team. Thoroughly enjoyed it.

What a lot of crap. He hates Zelensky because he didn’t dig up any dirt on Hunter Biden when he asked. Principles. Now he’s in Putins pocket, he humiliates him in the Oval office ( with fuckwit Vance, over a lie ) then cuts off military support and intelligence. That helps who ? Certainly not the poor bastards in Ukraine still suffering from daily drone and rocket attacks. Europe needs to step up and fill the breech, it is in their own best interests to do so. The US cannot be relied upon with this clown in charge and the sooner they free up the billions in frozen Russian assets the better. Humanitarian my arse. He’s the lowest form of pond scum concerned with nothing but himself.

Great post Foxey , I'll add to that on an issue that only time will answer , my thoughts are that by the end of his term Trump will be regarded as a great humanitarian , as I said time will tell but on many issues the well being of people is high on his agenda , take Ukraine / Russia no other leader prioritizes the deaths on both sides , he does just one example of many .

Max was offered double odds last week on Leica Lucy from $1.70 to $3.40 If the offer is on a race out in the sticks somewhere east or west of Gungawooloomooloobaabaablacksheep, I'll have a think about it if there's time. Otherwise, I'm in!

At Cheltenham the continued dry, warm early spring weather has prompted officials to carry out selective watering to hold the ground at Good to Soft. The five day entries for the first day are now through. Supreme Novices Hurdle - 3250m 17 entered of which no less than 9 are from the Clonsutton yard of Willie Mullins. 15 of the 17 are trained in Ireland which speaks volumes. KOPEK DES BORDES, as you might expect a French import, is unbeaten in three and won the Tattersalls Ireland Novices Hurdle by 13 lengths at the Dublin Festival at Leopardstown in early February. That was on soft ground and on a very different track - Leopardstown is a flat track, Cheltenham more undulating and galloping. Could he be vulnerable on a better surface? Perhaps, perhaps not but I wouldn't be taking 8/11 or 4/5 about this one now. I much prefer ROMEO COOLIO from the Elliott yard who won the Future Champions Novices Hurdle at Christmas and has looked good on decent ground. He's worth a play at 11/2 or 6s. Of the others, IRANCY from the Mullins yard has been backed from 25s to 10s and it's no surprise given the way he handled Good turf at Punchestown in November. He looks a pacey type and could well be a player at a price. SALVATOR MUNDI was sixth in last year's Triumph so the hustle and bustle won't bother him. He won the Moscow Flyer at Punchestown but this is a tougher task for all he should run well. Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices Chase - 3200m With BALLYBURN set to go for the Brown Advisory, this has cut up to just eight runners and MAJBOROUGH from the Mullins yard is 8/15 to follow up his Triumph Hurdle win of last year. He was an impressive winner of the Irish Arkle at the Dublin Festival and a reproduction of that will probably be good enough but he's very short. L'EAU DU SUD is a strong local challenger having won the Henry VIII and the Kingmaker and jumping round Cheltenham and Warwick suggests a decent lepper and he could take advantage of any chinks in the favourite's jumping. Nicky Henderson runs JANGO BAIE but his form is over 4000m and you just think they'll go too quick for him. Close Brothers Mares Hurdle - 4000m LOSSIEMOUTH was widely touted as a Champion Hurdle challenger last season and ran CONSTITUTION HILL close at Christmas before falling in the Irish Champion Hurdle last time. However, she opened her campaign with a win over Stayers' Hurdle favourite TEAHUPOO in the Hatton's Grace over this distance and I think 4000m is her trip now. Up in trip and against her own gender, she is 4/7 to win this and it's hard to oppose her. The one who might chase her home is stable companion KARGESE who was runner up in the Triumph Hurdle last year and while beaten at Ascot on her seasonal debut this year, she's the type to come here and run a big race and 10/1 looks an each way play. Champion Hurdle - 3250m This may well cut up to just five runners. CONSTITUTION HILL should be chasing his third win in the race but illness ruled him out in 2024. He returned from that and wind surgery to win the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton before following up in the Unibet at Cheltenham. Is he the machine of 2023? I don't think so but he could still be good enough. STATE MAN stepped into the gap caused by CONSTITUTION HILL's injury in 2024 and was the top Irish hurdler until being brutally eclipsed at Christmas in the Neville Hotels when he was more than thirty lengths behind BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD. Yes, STATE MAN returned to win the Irish Champion Hurdle at the Dublin Festival and you could argue 9s is a big price. The mare BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD had previously beaten STATE MAN three quarters of a length in the Morgiana and I suspect that will be much more like the gap between them on Tuesday. Whether either can beat CONSTITUTION HILL seems doubtful if the latter is on form but I'm not convinced. This is a race I want to lay down and avoid (like a good Aussie wine).

My mates horse was racing over Christmas. The trainer got interviewed on TV and said he wasn't happy with its recent track work. It then drifted from 5s to 21 and we backed it back down to 9s as the trainer had told my mate it worked the house down. Never listen to what the trainers tell you on TV.

Just see them advertising on TV if you open up a TAB account and deposit $20 they will give you a $50 bonus. Meanwhile us mugs who have been keeping the TAB afloat and betting for years get offered nothing!! They have in the past given us account holders a bonus bet. How nice would’ve it have been to do something for us on what is meant to be NZ’s biggest ever race day. Am I expecting too much??

All I ever get these days is offers to double the fixed odds on some obscure Aussie midweek horse I have never heard of. I take no notice of them.

Regulatory-Impact-Statement advice to GOVT regarding protecting TAB from offshore on-line betting to ensure sustainable racing, random excerpts; The cash injection (Entain) has had a significant impact, and the agreement has been well received by much of the industry. However, the increased returns from the Entain partnership are only guaranteed until 2028. After this time TAB NZ will receive a 50% share of the revenue with no guaranteed minimum funding. It is difficult to assess whether Entain can grow TAB NZ's market share and revenue enough to maintain the current level of returns from 2028, particularly without increased protection from the substantial and currently legal operations of offshore competitors. As noted, TAB NZ estimates that around $180 million a year is being lost to overseas operators by New Zealanders betting offshore. However based on POCC figures, in 2023 the reputable online market was worth a minimum of $45 million. We have been unable to investigate the reasons for this difference, however a portion of this is like to be TAB NZ's estimate taking in to account operators who do not pay the POCC ( but this is unlikely to account for the full difference ) ' Point Of Consumption Charge" There are 3 options discussed, the preferred option is "2"; Option 2; TAB NZ hold an online monopoly- TAB NZ's land-based betting monopoly is extended to the on-line environment. Offshore operators would be prohibited from offering betting products to New Zealanders; alongside a package of measures to give the required oversight and monitoring of TAB NZ protections for customers in light of this monopoly to TAB NZ. There are a number issues that could be detrimental to this option, one of which is..." that the proposed interim enforcement regime will not be sufficient for TAB NZ to receive the related payments from Entain.

Did the hard yards too. Came three wide from the half, margins deadheat and deadheat.Missed by the commentator at the line. Interesting when I was showjumping in late 50's & 60's you didn't buy a horse that was nearing ten years old. Nowadays showjumpers and eventers are barely hitting their straps at that age. Times have changed.

Thanks Guys - I'll be fair to myself and say a bit going on at the moment so couldn't see the error of my ways I can go and spend it happily now

$119.80 is correct according to aceodds bet calculator - Bet Calculator - Quickly Work Out Your Sports Bet Return

In terms of successful barrier draws, since the Ellerslie track was rebuilt, there have been a total of 16 1500m races but only 8 with 12 or more starters. With a big caveat around the very small sample size, the winning barrier draws for those 8 races have been: 4, 6 (twice), 7, 9, 10, 12 and 14. So, interestingly, the 3 inside barrier draws have not been successful in those 8 races and the outside half of the draw has won more often than the inside half. If we look at the slot race barrier draws, these should be no real drawback for Sethito (in no. 7), Damask Rose (8), Evaporate (10) and Pivotal Ten (12), who are all in the first 7 favourites. From there, the betting odds start to blow out.

The more we see and hear Jayne on Trackside the better.

Well, it’s NZ Derby week, with final late nominations tomorrow (costing $27,500) and final withdrawals on Wednesday (costing $14,375). At this stage there are only 16 horses remaining, which is under the starting limit of 18. It doesn’t look like a stallion maker’s race, with 2 colts and 14 geldings remaining. As for training locality, there are 9 from Cambridge, 1 from Matamata, 3 from Karaka, 2 from the CD and 1 from Australia. As for lead up racing, 13 horses started in either the Avondale Guineas (11) or the Waikato Guineas (2) at their last start. The only other approaches are the R65 2100m at Ellerslie (Grey Area), a maiden 2050m at Tauherenikau (Don Pedro) or the R75 2200m at Waverley (Ayteem). That’s it! In terms of ratings, only 5 horses are rated 70 or above, making this one of the weaker Derbies since the race was moved to March. It appears to be around the Gingernuts (78), Vin de Dance (75), Crown Prosecutor (73) and Asterix (63) level of overall rating. In contrast, some of our more highly performed Derby winners went into the race on much higher ratings: Sharp ‘n’ Smart (110), Wahid and Jimmy Choux on 94, Orchestral (93) and Silent Achiever (88). Not exactly a vintage edition of what used to be our prime 3 yo classic.

$30 into over $776k and it looks like he got better than SP in every race except one where he matched it. https://www.nzherald.co.nz/sport/racing/30-bet-nets-auckland-punter-776k-at-whanganui-greyhound-races/YMRCFS5TMBH6NKJXHKNTZFLW4U/