RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.
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Jacinda Ardern

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6 hours ago, rdytdy said:

Instead of worrying about who the author is why don't you focus on what is actually being said for a change. Picking out someone and referring to something done in the past or disliking the person for whatever reason as a means to discredit them as the basis for their current reasoning is ludicrous. There are a number of other opinions posted here expressing the same sentiments of those that you want to dismiss.    

The same applies to you referring to the past re the election result, you keep bringing it up, no one else is. What is actually being brought is current policy and state of affairs of the present inept and seemingly incompetent coalition government. You need to focus on what is happening in the present instead of focusing on the past.  

The author is someone of dubious integrity who stood up in  Parliament and made big noises about MPs spending and then spent up large himself. Why would I want to listen to him?

 

Its good to see you contributing Ted without cutting and pasting.

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5 hours ago, Ohokaman said:

Labour 37% National 44%....Dicked ? Yes, by a bitter old sot dumped by his own Electorate, who put personal grudges ahead of the welfare of the Country, and put this unprepared, inexperienced motley crew in power. 

Make the most of it, it won't last long.

The Tories have the same problem, no mates so they need to undestand how MMP works. They tried to rub out Winston and get over 50% but they failed and paid the price.

What about The Tories Motley Crew. "Do you know who I am" (remember that idiot) Crusher (I crushed 3 cars) Collins who you love, Hekia and the pay roll debacle. Nathan Clown who gave Thoroughbred racing an all weather track at Addington. Nick Smith (there is no housing crisis) plus many more.

 

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18 minutes ago, bloke said:

The Tories have the same problem, no mates so they need to undestand how MMP works. They tried to rub out Winston and get over 50% but they failed and paid the price.

What about The Tories Motley Crew. "Do you know who I am" (remember that idiot) Crusher (I crushed 3 cars) Collins who you love, Hekia and the pay roll debacle. Nathan Clown who gave Thoroughbred racing an all weather track at Addington. Nick Smith (there is no housing crisis) plus many more.

 

No doubting there are some numpties there, but they are still miles ahead of this lot. Have retained their support, and the way this mob are going, won't need any partners. Winston will be gone, as will his party, and those votes will come back. The Greens won't be far behind.

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When labour declared to be anti nuclear the Tories rubbished them. When they introduced an individual super scheme Piggy removed it and introduced a socialist scheme called National Super which we have been stuck with. Labour introduced GST, deregulated and floated the dollar the Tories rubbished it. Labour stayed out of Iraq the Tories wanted to go. Labour banned smoking in public places the Tories rubbished it. Then of course there was Kiwi Saver which the Tories rubbished.

Then guess what the Tories jumped on board all of these  because the policies were  proved to be right and popular. Tell me one decent policy introduced by the Tories? All I have seen them do is rave on about law and order and beat the shit out of solo parents.Other than that they are conservative moaners just like you two have been doing. They are poor losers  Oh and they call Labour left wing which of course is the pot calling the kettle black. 

 

 

 

 

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1 hour ago, bloke said:

When labour declared to be anti nuclear the Tories rubbished them. When they introduced an individual super scheme Piggy removed it and introduced a socialist scheme called National Super which we have been stuck with. Labour introduced GST, deregulated and floated the dollar the Tories rubbished it. Labour stayed out of Iraq the Tories wanted to go. Labour banned smoking in public places the Tories rubbished it. Then of course there was Kiwi Saver which the Tories rubbished.

Then guess what the Tories jumped on board all of these  because the policies were  proved to be right and popular. Tell me one decent policy introduced by the Tories? All I have seen them do is rave on about law and order and beat the shit out of solo parents.Other than that they are conservative moaners just like you two have been doing. They are poor losers  Oh and they call Labour left wing which of course is the pot calling the kettle black. 

 

 

 

 

Stick with it Blokey, sensible New Zealanders might just see things differently once reality, and the taxes hit.....:rolleyes:

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Sure they tinker with tax and social welfare after all they are left wing like Labour. But how about something put into law which changed NZ for the good. I see that the Bill Of Rights was passed by the Tories in 1990 but of course was introduced by Labour in the late 1980s so I give them some small credit for agreeing with Geofrey Palmer on that.

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For the "Fooly-people" Hesi and Bloke  :D

 

The Labour/Green party Instruction manual

 
 

Foreword by Justinda Ardeau to a special edition of “Nineteen Eighty-Four”, by George Orwell, (sub-titled, “The Labour/Green party Instruction manual”).

1984-Jacinda.jpg

Credit: Luke

My dear comrades,

(with special thoughts to my extra super-heroes and comrades: Helen, Vladimir(s), Karl, Josef, Che, Fidel, Pol, Mao, Angela, Justin, the Georges (1) and the Winstons (2) and also to the myriads of others who have helped with assassination, murder, starvation, deprivation and other of our glorious tools in bringing the triumphant revolution to all four and a quarter corners of the Great Airstrip.(3)

It was with great excitement that I agreed to write a foreword to this new Newspeak edition of the Labour/Green Party instruction guide.

George Orwell could not have imagined in his wildest dreams that I, Comrade Justinda (Stuffed Kiwi) (4) Ardeau, would one day aspire to the position of Big non-gendered sibling-leader in Airstrip Aotearoa, and actually attain that coveted position. Nor that his vision of that utopia would actually be implemented by myself). But as the Supreme Leader of Airstrip Aotearoa (blessed be my name and title), I have followed the design of the utopia described in his book to the letter, except in those instances where I believe, with all modesty, that I have improved upon it.

Airstrip Aotearoa has long been the guinea pig province of the great superstate, (blessed be its name), for all manner of social experiments, due to its ideal sized population to determine the effects, which can then be transferred to more populous airstrips of the Superstate (blessed be its name).

 

Of course, the circumstances of my rise to power (known as “The Riseyness” in Newspeak) are well known, and were made possible by a combination of that very useful system known as MMP, which the people of Airstrip Aotearoa were conned into adopting, and an elderly politician with a forest on his shoulder, who facilitated my rise to power, and the adoption of AoSoc (5)  in this airstrip.

We in the Inner party are not prepared, however, to rest on our almond milk cartons. There still remains much to do. The Thought Police need more resourcing (hope you’re reading this George S) as thoughtcrime (6) still persists in some residents and must be stamped out.

But of course, we, the Inner party, are very grateful to the members of the Outer party who have facilitated our rise to power. “The fooly people” as we in the Inner party refer to them. Particularly the pre-Utopian newsmedia of course: they steadfastly ignored the substantive issues and scandals of the day, and focused on my smile, and followed me faithfully from kindergarten to pre-school, and reported all my skilful handling of the difficult questions these pre-schoolers threw at me. How naïve those children were, very much like the fooly reporters themselves, and how they swallowed (figuratively of course), the Newspeak definition of “free lollipops for all”, which in Oldspeak (which we are working hard to phase out), means “No lollipops for you, suckers”. As you would expect, secondary school students were a bit more challenging, but again the foolies came to my aid magnificently. Naturally, I didn’t visit any of those “charter schools” as they were known, and again the media foolies were very supportive.

The Minitrue (7) has been working very hard on the former students of those “learning institutions” and all of those students were forced to attend local UNICs (8), as of course there is no room for thoughtcrimes in our utopian society. With this in mind, the Miniluv (9) has paid particular attention to those who were subjected to the horrors of these institutions, and they, student and teacher alike, have kept Room 101 (10) busy.

Comrades, this book has been an inspiration to me, and of course, the crowning moment is the point at which Winston Smith, the hero, feels a deep love for “Big non-gendered sibling (11)”. This feeling of deep, warm love for me will soon sweep those few remaining dissidents who remain judgy towards me.  Judginess of any in the Inner party, as we all know, is forbidden, and as soon as the populace is ready, in fact before it is ready, it will become a capital offence. So there will be deep, warm love, or else.

So my dear comrades, let me introduce this new edition of “Nineteen Eighty-Four”, translated into Airstrip Aotearoan Newspeak. Read the book, Comrades, and familiarise yourselves with every word. For, when it was written in the year 68BJA (12) it seemed unlikely that those events could happen in this province of the Superstate (may it be worshipped, comrades). But the power of fooly people in positions of power and influence, and the power of Newcash in large quantities was underestimated, and here we are, on the cusp of our Airstrip Utopia. Comrades, comrades, comrades; get reading, memorising,  and obeying.

With benign affectionalness,

Comrade Justinda Ardeau.


Footnotes:

1. George Orwell and George Soros.

2. Not the WC person whose name is being expunged from History by editors in Minitrue. (Ministry of Truth). WP is the one Justinda has in mind.

3. The Great Airstrip or the New Superstate of which Airstrip Aotearoa occupies a quarter of a corner.

4. Justinda is famous for the presentation of a stuffed kiwi (emblematic of the process which her government is employing on her citizens) to a European Head of State.

5. AoSoc – Aotearoan Socialism in Newspeak.

6. Thoughtcrime in Newspeak is the crime of  Individualism or Independent thought.

7.  Minitrue: Ministry of Truth. Ministry of Propaganda and Historical Revisionism.

8. UNIC: United Nations Indoctrination Centres, formerly known as State schools. (Not mentioned in 1984).

9. Miniluv: The Ministry of Love, the ministry responsible for torturing dissidents.

10.  Room 101: Airstrip Aotearoa’s version of the Lubyanka. A Torture chamber.

11. Big non-gendered sibling, is, naturally, big brother/big sister as the case may be.

12.  BJA  refers to Before Justinda Ardeau or the Unenlightened Years.

 

by Aspie 101

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As previously pointed out the emperor has no clothes. Just more virtue signaling without thought.

 

No cost benefit analysis, just virtue signalling on oil and gas exploration ban

By CS

 

 
 

motunui-new-zealand.jpg

Oh dear, the government really is in the kack with the revelation that there was no cost benefit analysis done on the prime minister’s decision to ban oil and gas exploration.

Jenna Lynch at Newshub reports:

The decision to ban future oil and gas exploration was made without a cost benefit analysis to back it up, Newshub can reveal.

It’s one of a number of admissions revealed in parliamentary written questions pointing to a lack of evidence behind the decision.

I am not aware of a cost-benefit analysis using the Treasury’s CBAx tool being undertaken in relation to the decision to grant no further offshore oil and gas exploration permits,” Megan Woods said.

Treasury developed the CBAx tool as a common way to assess the pros and cons of policies across government agencies.

Dr Woods’ office told Newshub officials did not think it was appropriate to use the Treasury tool in this case as there were too many unknowns about how much gas and oil was actually out there.

“Searching for petroleum offshore is a low probability of success event but high impact if found, so trying to model the costs and benefits in a traditional option analysis spreadsheet would have required substantial assumptions to be made,” a spokesperson for the minister said. End quote.

 

What a load of hogwash. Their spin is unravelling with facts. Quote:

But Act leader David Seymour thinks that’s rubbish.

“If Treasury is seriously saying they can’t anticipate how much investment will go into discovering oil and gas reserves, then they should all be fired,” he said.

“Regulatory impact analysis requires that before any policy is done, the Government works out if it’s going to benefits that outweigh the costs. If the costs are greater than the benefits it should not continue. This Government is ignoring this whole process for what sounds good rather than what works.” End quote.

Seymour is right, they should be fired, starting with the minister. It also seems that not only was there no cost-benefit analysis done, they also lied about consultation with industry. Quote:

The Energy Minister has also admitted no formal consultation with the Petroleum Exploration and Production Association of New Zealand (PEPANZ) took place.

No formal consultation was undertaken with PEPANZ in relation to the decision to grant no further offshore oil and gas exploration permits. However, I have spoken publicly about the Government’s direction to transition away from fossil fuels and my office has had open dialogue with PEPANZ before this announcement.” End quote.

So the claims of consultation were rubbish. I’m told that the industry was told of the moves at about 0730 on the morning of the decision. That isn’t consultation, that is government dictating to business. This won’t go down well with any sector of New Zealand business. But, wait, it gets worse. Quote:

There’s also been no estimates on whether global greenhouse gas emissions will fall as a result of the decision.

No specific estimate has been provided to me. I have been advised by officials that the effect on global emissions depends on the response of New Zealand’s large gas users.”

Seymour says that’s the most damning revelation.

The worst part of this policy announcement is they haven’t even figured out if it will achieve its intentions,” he said.

They don’t know how much substitution of coal should occur, and if the net result is people moving to coal, net emissions will be even worse than they are now. I’ve seen some own goals in my time in politics. This Government is an expert.”

Advice or estimates on increases or decreases to gas prices are also missing from the background work on the policy.

No specific estimate has been provided to me on the price impact on gas of the decision to grant no further offshore oil and gas exploration permits. Officials have advised that gas prices have risen in the past when the supply of gas has been constrained,” Dr Woods said. End quote.

Oh dear me. Another inept minister and further proof that the prime minister is unfit for office.

It seems that all it takes is a few hippies and a petition and you can wreck a whole industry. This proves that the Labour party and the Greens are economic saboteurs.

The list of inept minister is growing. Megan Woods can now join Clare Curran and Kelvin Davis in the witless protection programme.

 

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Don't worry Ted the fraudulent globalist/left agenda will be destroyed by October.

Jacinda will be just another casualty as they run for cover when the world discovers all their atrocities.

Enjoy the show!

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2 hours ago, bloke said:

 Ted your knowledge of politics is crap mate. All you can do is cut and paste random shit. 

Factual random shit, that is economically going to put us as a country into the same stuff.

The problem Bloke is they are proving very quickly that they were so ill prepared for office, despite having 9 yrs to get the house seriously in order.

The unravelling is not far away from happening and then watch the vote for them erode to next to nothing, labour voters desert in droves when their own wallet gets hit.

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The shit continues Bloke. Literally, enjoy:

Looks like bad news for Cindy and Clark 

By CS

 
 

david-clark-labour-file.jpg

The Middlemore story is looking pretty bad now for David Clark and now it has trapped Jacinda Ardern who looked decidedly shifty when questioned by media yesterday.

Stuff reports:

Two Counties Manukau District Health Board members have been pushed out by the health minister in the wake of the Middlemore Hospital building saga, but questions remain over what really happened.

The DHB has been under fire after news that several buildings at Middlemore Hospital were dealing with extreme mould, asbestos and raw sewage issues.

Mark Darrow is a professional director, chartered accountant and Justice of the Peace who sits on numerous boards, including the New Zealand Transport Agency, and who lived in the Counties Manukau area for nearly 30 years.

He leaves the board with a “heavy heart” and says he has had absolutely no explanation for why he’s been removed.

The story begins in December 2016 when four ministerial appointments were made under the then-National government. They were Darrow, Rabin Rabindran, Lester Levy and George Ngatai.

Levy has already left, Ngatai is staying on, but for Rabindran and Darrow their time on the board has ended without warningsimply a letter from Health Minister David Clark saying they’re being removed.

Earlier this month Rabindran, who is the acting chair, and Darrow received a letter from Clark saying their position on the board was being reconsidered and they had until April 12 to make a case for why they should keep their jobs.

Rabindran, fed up with how things had been handled, chose to respond by saying he didn’t want to continue on the board regardless of Clark’s final decision.

Darrow, however, responded several times through until late on April 11 with documents outlining how the Board had dealt with various issues over the last year.

But by 7.39am on April 13 Darrow had a response from Clark – his time was up and his last day on the board would be May 2. End quote.

 

Seems rather high handed. But the spin of Clark unravelled over the sewage claims, and so heads had to roll. Now he’s misled the prime minister and the media that the process of board changes are still underway while in the background he’s sacked two of them. Quote:

Twelve days later however, and Clark is still telling media that the process around Rabindran and Darrow’s future is still underway despite them already having their termination letters.

Much of that delay is around the wording Clark’s office proposed to use in a press release that implied they were being removed because of the building problems, Darrow claimed.

On Tuesday a spokesperson for Clark’s office said both Rabindran and Darrow remain in their positions and “an announcement will be made in due course”.

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said the process is still underway and she wouldn’t be commenting on it while it was ongoing.  End quote.

Pork pies anyone? Quote:

Darrow said he has given Clark three chances to meet with him but had been declined or not given the courtesy of an answer on every occasion.

To this day he’s never met Clark, never spoken to him or received any correspondence from him other than a final notice letter and then his removal letter, he said.

He never rang me, never raised any issues and he won’t meet with me. In the letters he’s never even said what, if any, his concerns are – no one, not him, his office or anyone in the Ministry of Health, has ever outlined to me any issue at all with my or the Board’s performance.”  End quote.

And now there is confirmation the sewage issue was a massive beat-up from the government. Quote:

Suggestions sewage was running down the walls are “a complete beat up” and while there was a leak, it was in 2013/14 and was fixed, Darrow said.

There is one type of PVC pipe in one building that remains a risk but the “contract for repair has been signed and work is imminent”.

A settlement was negotiated and a contract was sorted for the Scott Building and Rabindran, who is a specialist lawyer in this area, did the grunt work behind getting that difficult issue sorted.

“As we were doing that other building issues came up, and it’s true that building issues were generally known about and talked about and reported on, but there was no complete list of all issues.”

In May last year the audit and finance committee, which Darrow chairs, asked Middlemore management for a full stocktake of “every problem in every building” with a report due back in August.

“They reported in August that the job was bigger than they thought and there were more problems than they thought.”

A report arrived with the committee in October and went straight to the main board meeting on October 25.

“Within a few weeks we had a full facilities remediation plan together and within two weeks all that data was with both the Capital Investment Committee and the Ministry,” Darrow said.

“Any suggestion that this board didn’t do its job or alert the appropriate authorities is just absolute rubbish. The real question is why the ministry or the Capital Investment Committee did not advise the Minister on the issues that were raised with them in detail on multiple occasions. The briefings and meeting minutes from the DHB are all on file.”  End quote.

So the sewage story was pretty much fabricated. I’m told the idea came from the permanent crisis management team ensconced in Ardern’s office. But now we know why Jonathan Coleman was never told…because the reports were all completed and forwarded to the ministry after he ceased being the minister and David Clark was in fact in charge.

David Clark has some explaining to do because prima facie it looks like he and his team have conspired to fabricate a crisis based in fibs, innuendo and now a cover-up involving the sacking of two board members.

Jacinda Ardern ran hard and fast with this in parliament and also in press conferences, is she complicit in this? What about her election promise to never tell a lie. The video on the Stuff story has plenty of mistruths that a body language or micro-expressions expert would pick holes in.

This government still thinks and acts like they are in opposition. Whilst they could get away with their dishonesty then, they can’t now. They are being held to account and have been found wanting.

Screen-Shot-2018-04-16-at-1.33.51-PM.png

 

 

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Peters has a lot to answer for, putting this lot of halfwits in charge...what the fuck was he thinking....? Well, he probably wasn't....but hey, he had a few scores to settle, he could screw them a bit more, get the Deputy PM slot to improve the Super, ponce about all over the World talking a lot but saying and doing fuck all....and at the end of it.....swan off into the Sunset, leaving someone else to clean up the mess they have left behind....while the hapless, or hopeless Ardern disappears to suburbia to produce more sprogs with Fish Boy......

Make it soon.....:rolleyes:

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Jeez Blokey, you need to get out more.

National were such a disaster they left Labour a $2.44B surplus to the end of June, up from $1.15B the year before. The economy had grown for 24 out of the previous 25 quarters, creating thousands of jobs and putting unemployment at the lowest level since the Financial Crisis. That's 200,000 jobs in the last two years alone, resulting in 60,000 fewer people on benefits ( now watch Labour fuck that up ) and average wage growth twice the rate of Australia. Any wonder immigration is on the rise....Free Doctors visits for kids 4-13 and free health checks for pre schoolers. A change to tax thresholds was in the planning which would have made 1.3m working families better off and Superannuitants would also have received an income boost over and above the annual increase. But our mate Winston put himself first so that went out the window....and we've got what we've got.....but hopefully, not for long......:rolleyes:

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They generated their first surplus in 8 years after partially selling off prime assets which is like selling the crown jewels to pay for the groceries. They borrowed massively after labour had reduced debt to stuff all and had $20 Billion in The Cullen Fund.

Sure I do not blame them too much for this but you Tories are the first to go on about spending and borrowing. The economy boomed  on the back of large borrowing. Gee working for Families and more for pensioners! is that not socialism?   Surely as a good Tory you would want any surplus  to go towards  repaying the massive debt run up.

You like to put the boot into Jacinda because in your opinion she is ugly ( is your wife attractive?) and pregnant.  You are so desparate you pick on her partner. John Key went around pulling girls' hair and he is normal? At least he knew he screwed up and got out.

I am still waiting for you to show  great legislation in the last say 40 year that the Tories have introduced.

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NZ govt debt Bloke is tiny on a world scale and we are ranked 100 as a % of GDP, hardly earth shattering stuff.

The issue Ted, Ohoka & the likes of myself are pissed about is that we had a stable intelligent govt that has been replaced by a party that is in power despite themselves, they were not ready to govern and are already being found out in so many ways, its not inexperience, its incompetence.

The likes of Clark and Cullen would be flinching at the level of incompetence displayed so far, for all Cullens faults he was an intelligent stable finance manager, who could have served in either party.

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1 hour ago, bloke said:

They generated their first surplus in 8 years after partially selling off prime assets which is like selling the crown jewels to pay for the groceries. They borrowed massively after labour had reduced debt to stuff all and had $20 Billion in The Cullen Fund.

Sure I do not blame them too much for this but you Tories are the first to go on about spending and borrowing. The economy boomed  on the back of large borrowing. Gee working for Families and more for pensioners! is that not socialism?   Surely as a good Tory you would want any surplus  to go towards  repaying the massive debt run up.

You like to put the boot into Jacinda because in your opinion she is ugly ( is your wife attractive?) and pregnant.  You are so desparate you pick on her partner. John Key went around pulling girls' hair and he is normal? At least he knew he screwed up and got out.

I am still waiting for you to show  great legislation in the last say 40 year that the Tories have introduced.

Having been through the Christchurch Earthquakes, thank Christ this mob wasn't in power. They wouldn't have known where to start. You conveniently forget the Global Financial Crisis and the huge cost of the natural disasters we have been through while still achieving what we have, as alluded to before.

As for Ardern. I think she is totally unqualified for the role and is all front and no substance. I don't like her, her policies or her party. Fish boy thinks she is attractive, that's all that matters. I couldn't care less about her frankly.

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1 minute ago, bloke said:

Yeh right I  see that the Government is up for a $1 bIllion  bill to correct the fuckups of faulty workmanship on correcting buildings. Jerry Brownlie (The Whale Rider)  has screwed up. 

 

 

That's an EQC problem....some of the horror stories you would not believe. Others have done very well.

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11 hours ago, barryb said:

NZ govt debt Bloke is tiny on a world scale and we are ranked 100 as a % of GDP, hardly earth shattering stuff.

The issue Ted, Ohoka & the likes of myself are pissed about is that we had a stable intelligent govt that has been replaced by a party that is in power despite themselves, they were not ready to govern and are already being found out in so many ways, its not inexperience, its incompetence.

The likes of Clark and Cullen would be flinching at the level of incompetence displayed so far, for all Cullens faults he was an intelligent stable finance manager, who could have served in either party.

Stable intelligent Government. What Hekia, Nathan Clown, Crusher Collins, We had a Prime Minister who claimed rent for his family trust property and claimed  he did not know. Shit he was the Minister of Finance

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