RaceCafe..#1...Tipsters Thread.... Share Your Fancies For Fun...Lets See Who The Best Tipsters Here Are.
racetrackringo

Who is the countries most under rated jockey?

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Good to see sha wahab gets a win today, i think its his first, was ridden with plenty of patience. I think racha cuneen is abit under rated, certainly is riding well at the moment. Certainly is a tough life, and we must spare a thought to the ones that we have lost over the years.

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1 hour ago, ngatimaru said:

Would 1 Win per 33 rides be average Or a bit Dodgy Or Poor ?

None of the above. it could be bloody superb if everyone of the rides is over $50. 

S/R of jockeys has zero relevance unless the price of the runner is taken into account.

The only way to determine a jockeys ability is to apply an Actual to Expected formula over a long period of time.

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9 minutes ago, gubellini said:

Newmarket note that Autumn Wind today was one of the few favourites that Lynsey ever gets to ride. Her previous winner was First Honour at Ellerslie on November 26. He paid $56.10. Sadly she mainly rides only longshots!

Lynsey's A to E is the 2nd lowest in the North, so regardless of price the runner is paying she doesn't have a positive influence on the horses chances.

So if using a graph to illustrate, she is significantly on the wrong side of break even line through the middle on anything she rides. Where as the 3 I mention above are significantly above the break even line and have a strong positive influence.

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18 minutes ago, gubellini said:

Newmarket note that Autumn Wind today was one of the few favourites that Lynsey ever gets to ride. Her previous winner was First Honour at Ellerslie on November 26. He paid $56.10. Sadly she mainly rides only longshots!

These days maybe .  but it wasn't always like that in the past.    To put in in the best way.....   going from riding favourites  to outsiders can happen if a jockey argues  back to  top trainers.

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2 hours ago, The Crucible said:

Just to clarify, under rated does not mean the jockey with the worst strike rate in the country.  Some of those named are contenders for that honour.

The have to start some where, and often struggle for rides, cant all be at the top.

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24 minutes ago, Shad said:

The have to start some where, and often struggle for rides, cant all be at the top.

Not referring to the new starters - a couple of those mentioned in the first four responses on this thread have had plenty of rides - over 5,000 in fact and have strike-rates of roughly 1 in 20 and 1 in 18.

You might say it's because they don't get the rides that the top jockeys do, but as someone said, there's a reason for that.

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The Crucible great quote from the legendary jockey the late Pat Eddery 11 times English Champion Jockey.

" Being a jockey is 50 per cent what you do on the course and 50 per cent off it.If you don't manage those relationships well, particularly in times of disappointment, you'll be finished."

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5 hours ago, puha said:

Probably more that are overrated than underrated . 

If you're riding in NZ are you aren't making headlines and you've had more than 100 rides you've got problems. If you're riding in the South Island or Central Districts and not riding a lot of winners consider yourself lucky to be employed.

A lot of riders in NZ are woeful.

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