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Swynford

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About Swynford

  • Rank
    R91 - not quite Grp level

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  • MSN
    patrickweal@gmail.com

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Matamata
  • Interests
    Thoroughbred pedigrees, Breeding and racing horses,family Golf, music, (piano and bass player,) travel, Good food, cooking and glass of good red wine.

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877 profile views
  1. Swynford's Challenge PremierSelections

    Berri... there has only been 4 Group One winners come from this sale.... so on average you would have to look inside 100 boxes to find One. If you add horses that ran either 2nd or 3rd in Group One races there was only another 4 of these. So if you were looking for a Group One winner/performer that year there was one, on average in every 50th box. The 400 horses that sold are by the best stallions and out of the best mares New Zealand can offer and each yearling was scrutinised by any number of experts before selection to make sure they didn't waddle etc. One in 100 or even One in 50 is not impressive. Maybe more will turn up. Using my theories I found One inside 15 . And I never left my desk.
  2. Swynford's Challenge PremierSelections

    have you never heard the song The Gambler
  3. Swynford's Challenge PremierSelections

    Thanks Sleepy, glad you are getting something out of it, and yes I do like more than one pattern. There was about four with Jimmy, the first being the position of Bletchingly being the main one, I think the brood-mare sires in any stallions female line are very easy to tap into and will give you more bang for your buck. There is a connection between mares from the Century male line (Veyron was out of a Centro mare) but too complicated to explain and probably meaningless to most any way. Richard has always loved Imposing in a pedigree and has served him well. Another pattern is on the 'male line' of the dams lower in the pedigree and questionable whether it had any effect but it appears in these positions in some world class race horses both from the Nearctic male line and another which is almost gone and that is with stallions from the Star Kingdom line. Chouxmanni have always paid me for advice so wrong for me to turn around and give the same away here. I enjoy sharing knowledge, we can learn either 'how to' or perhaps 'how not to' from each other but I'm also a bit little like Kenny Rodgers... "on warm summer's evening on a train bound for ......" where ever he was going.....
  4. Swynford's Challenge PremierSelections

    We (Chouxmaani Investments ) and myself hunt for the 'right mare'' as first priority. ( and I think this is why you and I Berri don't get on, you come across as a real stallion and nothing but the stallion person) Jimmy Choux was created this way. His dam was brought for $2500. Thorn Park's service fee from memory was only about $12K. And they were matched using my software and input. Richard loved Bletchingly and I pinpointed the best position in a stallion to tap into it. There is a full sister that didn't really fire but $3.6 million still leaves a lot of profit in that. Tomorrow Miss Wilson from the same mare will be attempting Group One (she is already a Group Three winner twice and Group Two placed and 4th at Group One level) Very few mares produce two stakes winners. Some one else on the forum will know better but my guess Miss Wilson as a brood-mare is probably worth at least half a million. Maybe more. The dam of both her and Jimmy already on sold for similar figure. People say to Richard 'you are a lucky bugger ' and he laughs at them. This is the latest horse that we 'created" using my software and breeding theories. To my mind a much cheaper and lower risk option than paying mega bucks at Karaka.
  5. Swynford's Challenge PremierSelections

    It has been a very interesting exercise for me and I put myself up against what is supposed to be considered the best in the industry as I believed I could hold my own against them. I have not lost faith in that. ( competing against you Berri doesn't interest me one bit) this is a breeding forum, you don't even breed horses. I am a little disappointed with my results so far but I guess the race is still only half run. There is very little between myself 'the breeder of the decade' the cream of the Premier crop and a guy who has reportedly spent $60 Million buying yearlings at the sales and receives awards for his efforts. They are all disappointing results (thus far) . I think we all share the same vision or goal, and that is to obtain a Group One winner, I came close with Saville Row and who knows it could still happen with one of the others. And of course the other big factor and that is cost. We are told that Karaka is 'where winning begins " but with only 5 horses in total from all of the groups making a profit in the two years since that sale, I can think of other terms (three of those in Singapore, one in Hong Kong, Saville Row the only one to make PROFIT in New Zealand or Australia. I stick by my selections, and I look for improvement in them, but who knows maybe my theories don't work at Karaka, I will add that I do not go to Karaka with either my own money, or my clients money looking for that Group One winner. I am a breeder and will show you 'my creations' and how we go about obtaining a Group one winner.
  6. Swynford's Challenge PremierSelections

    Berri.. I am wondering if you are have the balls to front up to NZ Bloodstock, also our leading buyer, and vendor with this ..'oh dear' statement. I'm sure they would be pleased to see you.
  7. Swynford's Challenge PremierSelections

    15 of the top priced lots from leading VENDOR Premier Yearling Sale 2015 So far only one horse Sacred Ibis in profit Lot 392 O'Reilly - Flutter SACRED IBIS $160,000 2: 1 - 0 - 0 $186,434 (HK$1,003,200) Lot 124 Savabeel - Prickle LINCOLN BLUE $220,000 11: 3 - 3 - 2 $113,350 Lot 85 Savabeel - Natural Rhythm SHIELD WALL $260,000 14: 2 - 4 - 3 $87,929 Lot 38 Pins - Lowland CROSS STITCH $160,000 10: 1 - 2 - 2 $85, 304 Lot 340 Fastnet Rock - Dance on By ROCK AND SWING $600,000 7: 1 - 0 - 1 $57,550 Lot 123 O'Reilly - Pretty DAHOOIL $340,000 5: 1 - 1 - 1 $40,843 Lot 78 Savabeel - More To Love SAVE THE DATE 300,000 9: 3 - 2 - 1 $35,535 Lot 315 Pins - Charlotte Revenge DORMOCH $230,000 11: 2 - 1 - 3 $37,974 Lot 404 Savabeel - Girls on Top GOLD VELVET $260,000 9: 0 - 1 - 0 $26,983 (HK$145,200) Lot 47 O'Reilly - Make A Wish TWENTY ONE TIMES $400,000 5: 1 - 1 - 0 $8600 Lot 16 Savabeel - Kowtow FAWN $250,000 2: 1 - 0 - 0 $6,250 Lot 128 O'Reilly - Promenade BOOMERANG $160,000 2: 0 - 1 - 0 $1750 Lot 31 Savabeel - Lego LUCY WILDSTYLE $200,000 4: 0 - 0 - 0 $250 Lot 374 O'Reilly Etoile Du Nord LIBRETTO $400,000 yet to race . 0 Lot 33 O'Reilly Lightning Star .......... $260,000 yet to race . 0
  8. Swynford's Challenge PremierSelections

    15 of the top priced lots brought by leading buyer Premier Yearling Sale 2015 The first two on the list the only ones to be showing a profit at the moment NZ $ unless stated ,Lot 355 Draci Brahma - Distinctive Lass .... DISTINCTIVE DARCI purchase price $100,000 16: 6 - 5 - 0 earnings $480,221 (Singapore $446,016) lot 258 Darci Brahma - Amaryllis JUSTICE LIGHT $120,000 9: 3 - 0 - 1 $138,782 (Singapore $124,253) Lot 85 Fastnet Rock Myrrh HEROIC VALOUR $400,000 14: 4 - 4 - 3 $332,969 Lot 252 Savabeel - Almaviva BEAUMARCHAIS $160,000 12: 2 - 1 - 2 $64,425 Lot 182 O'Reilly - Starbelly O'REILLY'S STAR $120,000 8: 0 - 1 - 1 $31,752 (Singapore $29,474) Lot 269 Rip Van Winkle - Bak Da Princess HONOR $80,000 9: 1 - 0 - 0 $23,099 (Singapore $21,442) Lot 6 Savabeel - Kay's Awake WIDE AWAKE $150,000 10: 2 - 2 - 2 $19,200 Lot 59 Zacinto - Miss Avalon ZAVASTIC $100,000 8: 1 - 1 - 5 $13,050 Lot 325 Smart Missile - Corporate CORPORATE MISSILE $150,000 12: 1 - 0 - 1 $6,775 Lot 186 Savabeel - Steal STOLEN LOVE $80,000 7: 0 - 0 - 1 $1,525 Lot 58 Snitzel - Mini Tales EPIC TALE $400,000 6: 0 - 0 - 0 $1,125 Lot 95 Fastnet Rock - Ocean Pearl OCEAN ROCK $220,000 2: 0 - 0 - 1 $1,050 Lot 31 Savabeel - Legs LUCY WILDSTYLE $200,000 4: 0 - 0 - 0 $250 Lot 171 No Excuse Needed - Singing Star WINEHOUSE $100,000 2: 0 - 0 - 0 .......... Lot 429 Fastnet Rock - Il Quello Veloce IL PIU VELOCE $800,000 yet to race ..........
  9. Swynford's Challenge PremierSelections

    15 Top priced lots from Karaka 2015 Premier Yearling Sale Regency Bo Bo racing in Hong Kong the only one showing a profit thus far. Lot 429 F Fastnet Rock - Il Quello Veloce $800,000 Il Piu Veloce -- yet to race .......... Lot 340 C Fastnet Rock - Dance on By $600,000 Rock and Swing 7: 1 - 0- 1 AU$52,275 Lot 251 F High Chaparral - Alma Star $500,000 Not To Be Caught 9: 0 - 2- 1 A27,815 Lot 37 F More Than Ready - Lovetrista $450,000 Attenborough 5: 1 - 0 - 0 AU19,450 Lot 36 F Cape Blanco - Love Diamonds $450,000 Diamaint 3 0- 0 -0 ............ Lot 436 C Savabeel- Invermoray $420,000 ........ yet to race Hong Kong ........... Lot 287 C So You Think - Better Alternative $420,000 Angelucci 10 3 - 1 - 0 AU 33,000 Lot 47 F O'Reilly - Make A Wish $400,000 Twenty One Times 5: 1- 1 -0 8,600 Lot 58 C Snitzel - Mini Tales $400,000 Epic Tales 6: 0-0-1 1,125 Lot 85 C Fastnet Rock Myrrh $400,000 Heroic Valour 14: 4- 4- 3 332,960 Lot 216 C Denman - Tsukioka $400,000 Regency Bo Bo 16: 3-6-1 HK 3,688,950 ($NZ 685, 479) Lot 249 C Fastnet Rock Allez France $400,000 Rocket Go .........yet to race Hong Kong .............. Lot 367 C Savabeel Eloa $400,000 Reach For Heaven 11 3 - 1 - 3 $91,590 Lot 374 F O'Reilly - Etoile Du Nord $400,000 Libretto . yet to race......... Lot 435 F More Than Ready - Insouciant $400,000 Paris 4 0-1-1 $A6,575
  10. Jakkalberry Classic

    Similar pedigree
  11. Jakkalberry Classic

    Winner of the Listed Jakkalberry Classic today at Rotorua.
  12. Inbreeding to Danehill

    One of the better two year olds in Europe this year. No ' sex balancing ' going on here
  13. Inbreeding to Danehill

    With the mating of Sound Proposition my analysis of why it has worked is exactly the same as with inbreeding to Danehill, its what is 'on the male line' of the rest of the dams in the mares lower in the pedigree and how they fit with the stallion. Deciding if something works or dosen't work based on one single duplication in a pedigree is to my mind rediculous.
  14. Inbreeding to Danehill

    Winner of the Group Three Up and Coming Stakes today
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